金价反弹至4090附近承压，这一水平很可能是一个重要的技术阻力位。这可能是前期下跌的起点（前高）、或者是关键整数 心理关口，也可能是日线级别布林带的上轨或某个重要斐波那契回调位（如38.2%或50%）。在该位置附近，卖压会显著增 强。从K线形态上看，可能会出现看跌吞没、黄昏之星或连续的上影线，表明上行动能衰竭。因此，在4090附近布局空单， 是博弈价格遇阻回落，向下方支撑位寻求测试。止损设置在4100上方，是为了有效规避价格假突破后反转上行的风险。 黄金反弹4090附近做空，止损10个点，目标4050附近。 黄金回调4030附近做多，止损10个点，目标4070附近。 文/江问樵专业国际市场点评，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的 研究，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担。 4030附近则构成了当前震荡区间的强有力支撑。该位置可能是前期多次回调的低点平台、日线布林带下轨，或者是上升趋势 线所在的位置。当价格回调至此，会吸引多头入场抄底，同时空头也会选择获利了结，从而形成买盘支撑。从指标上看，如 果价格触及4030时，相对强弱指数（RSI）可 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent dovish trade signals from the Trump administration are reshaping the dollar pricing logic, leading to a decline in the dollar index and a shift in risk asset preferences [1][3] - The dollar index has dropped to 99.65, down 0.25% from the opening price of 99.90, indicating a dual battle of "policy expectation reversal" and "technical resistance" [1] - The Trump administration's shift in attitude towards the Federal Reserve, moving from criticism to a more cooperative stance, is seen as reducing systemic risks related to political interference in monetary policy [3] Group 2 - Analysts note that the relationship between the White House and the Federal Reserve is improving, which is strengthening the Fed's policy independence and raising market expectations for maintaining high interest rates for a longer period [3] - CME interest rate futures indicate that traders have reduced their bets on the number of rate cuts by the Fed this year from 2 times to 1.5 times, suggesting a revaluation of the dollar's interest rate advantage [3] - The dollar index is at a critical juncture; if it can break through the 100.00 level and stabilize above the downward trend line, it could open an upward channel towards the 101.50-102.00 range [3]