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张津镭:关税支撑VS技术回调,黄金静待CPI引爆行情
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 04:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the impact of U.S. tariffs on gold prices and the anticipation of the upcoming U.S. CPI data, which is expected to influence market sentiment and gold trading strategies [1][2]. - Gold experienced a volatile trading session, reaching a high of $3374 before closing at $3343, indicating a cautious market ahead of significant economic data releases [1][2]. - The announcement of tariffs by Trump on the EU has created a supportive environment for gold, although the EU's restrained response has alleviated some market fears [1][2]. Group 2 - Technical analysis suggests that gold is currently in a corrective phase, with key support levels at $3340-3350 and resistance at $3370-3375, indicating potential price movements based on the U.S. dollar's performance [2]. - The upcoming U.S. CPI data is critical, with expectations of a core CPI year-on-year increase of 3%, which could either strengthen or weaken gold prices depending on the actual results [1][4]. - Recommendations for trading gold include short positions at $3368-3370 with a stop loss at $3375, targeting lower levels around $3340-3300, while also considering long positions if prices stabilize above $3375 [3].
ETO Markets 每日汇评:欧元狂飙1.18关口近在咫尺?美联储内讧曝光降息信号,今日多单必看!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 05:06
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold exhibited a volatile pattern with an intraday range of approximately 251 points, facing resistance near the H1 trend line before retreating to a low of 3312 and then rebounding, closing as a small shadow candlestick [1] - The market is currently experiencing a dual challenge with geopolitical risks and safe-haven demand potentially driving gold prices higher, while the Federal Reserve's high interest rate expectations exert downward pressure [1] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3360-3363, with a short-term pullback pressure noted after breaking above the H1 trend line [1] Group 2: Euro Market Analysis - The Euro continued its bullish trend, breaking previous highs to around 1.1665, closing with a bullish candlestick, driven by optimistic economic outlooks in Europe and a weaker dollar [7] - Resistance levels for the Euro are set at 1.175 and 1.180, while support levels are at 1.157 and 1.162, with a strategy to buy on dips around 1.164-1.165 [9] Group 3: GBP/USD Market Analysis - The British Pound extended its gains to 1.3671, closing with a bullish candlestick, influenced by weak labor market signals and easing Middle East tensions, despite expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England [12] - Key resistance levels for GBP/USD are at 1.376 and 1.381, with support at 1.358 and 1.363, recommending a buy on dips around 1.364-1.365 [14] Group 4: GBP/JPY Market Analysis - GBP/JPY broke the H1 trend line, reaching a new high of 198.6, closing with a bullish candlestick, with a pullback observed to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level [16] - Resistance levels are identified at 199.5 and 198.6, with support at 197.0 and 196.2, suggesting a buy on dips around 197.6-197.3 [18]
蓝莓外汇BlueberryMarkets:贸易战降温预期助力美元企稳
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 03:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent dovish trade signals from the Trump administration are reshaping the dollar pricing logic, leading to a decline in the dollar index and a shift in risk asset preferences [1][3] - The dollar index has dropped to 99.65, down 0.25% from the opening price of 99.90, indicating a dual battle of "policy expectation reversal" and "technical resistance" [1] - The Trump administration's shift in attitude towards the Federal Reserve, moving from criticism to a more cooperative stance, is seen as reducing systemic risks related to political interference in monetary policy [3] Group 2 - Analysts note that the relationship between the White House and the Federal Reserve is improving, which is strengthening the Fed's policy independence and raising market expectations for maintaining high interest rates for a longer period [3] - CME interest rate futures indicate that traders have reduced their bets on the number of rate cuts by the Fed this year from 2 times to 1.5 times, suggesting a revaluation of the dollar's interest rate advantage [3] - The dollar index is at a critical juncture; if it can break through the 100.00 level and stabilize above the downward trend line, it could open an upward channel towards the 101.50-102.00 range [3]