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瑞银财富管理胡俊礼:资产配置的核心在于稳健达到长期回报
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-20 13:02
Core Insights - The core viewpoint emphasizes that asset allocation should focus on achieving long-term returns rather than maximizing short-term gains, highlighting the importance of diversification in investments [1]. Group 1: Asset Allocation Strategies - The investment strategy suggests a balanced approach where a client seeking a 6%-7% long-term annual return could allocate 50% to stocks and 50% to bonds, while those aiming for 8%-9% returns might invest entirely in global stocks [1]. - For clients open to alternative assets, a 20%-40% allocation to private equity, private debt, and real estate is recommended to enhance long-term returns [1]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The report identifies opportunities in Chinese stocks, high-yield domestic stocks, Singaporean stocks, and Indian stocks, particularly noting a 30% increase in Chinese overseas stocks this year with potential for double-digit growth in the next 12 months [1]. - Asian local bonds are projected to yield 3%-4%, with an expected annual currency appreciation of 2%-3%, making them attractive from a total return perspective [1]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to separate their wealth into liquid and growth portions, with the liquid part allocated to safer assets like fixed deposits, money market funds, and bonds, while the growth portion can be invested in higher-risk assets like stocks and private equity [3]. - Institutions should focus on long-term return goals and diversify investments across stocks and bonds to mitigate risks during market downturns, while also incorporating themes like artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing for potential excess returns [3].