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中国国贸(600007):投资性物业租金出租率承压,营收归母净利同比下滑
Minsheng Securities· 2025-11-02 09:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit have slightly declined, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 4.39% to 2.821 billion yuan and a net profit decrease of 7.69% to 940 million yuan as of Q3 2025, primarily due to lower average rents and occupancy rates in office buildings and shopping malls [1][2]. - Despite the pressure on rental income and occupancy rates, the company's performance remains better than the overall market in Beijing [2]. - The hotel industry is facing operational pressures, but recent government guidelines aimed at promoting high-quality development in the accommodation sector may provide a positive outlook for recovery [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - As of Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 28.21 billion yuan, down 4.39% year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.40 billion yuan, down 7.69% year-on-year [1]. - The increase in marketing and management expenses contributed to the decline in net profit, with sales expenses rising by 7.15% and management expenses by 2.11% [1]. Rental Performance - The average rents for the company's office buildings, shopping malls, and apartments as of Q3 2025 were 613 yuan, 1308 yuan, and 363 yuan per square meter per month, respectively, showing declines of 4.96%, 2.02%, and 1.09% compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - The average occupancy rates for these properties were 92.3%, 95.5%, and 90.4%, with slight declines in office and shopping mall occupancy rates, while apartment occupancy increased by 1.1 percentage points [2]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 39.36 billion yuan, 40.07 billion yuan, and 40.90 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting growth rates of 0.6%, 1.8%, and 2.1% respectively [4]. - The projected net profits for the same period are 12.90 billion yuan, 13.47 billion yuan, and 14.04 billion yuan, with growth rates of 2.2%, 4.4%, and 4.3% respectively [4].