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抛售美元资产
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商品货币逆势走强 加元趋势延续下行
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-21 02:26
值得关注的是,加元对加拿大总理马克.卡尼寻求拓展全球贸易伙伴的相关消息作出了积极反应。卡尼 政府致力于强化与中国的合作关系,目前已签署多项小型贸易协议。不过,受加拿大地理位置限制,且 其经济对美国仍存在巨额依赖,这意味着该国摆脱美国经济影响的空间相对有限。 1月21日回顾前一交易日(1月20日)美国盘初表现,尽管美股自早盘低谷逐步回升,整体市场风险偏好却 依旧处于低迷状态——但这一情绪若仅通过商品货币走势观察,恐怕会得出完全相反的结论。 实际上,澳元、纽元和加元兑美元汇率均录得上涨,这种走势在市场避险情绪升温的环境下实属罕见。 这一异常表现让人联想到去年类似的市场异动,当时特殊交易逻辑曾引发"抛售美元资产"的市场浪潮。 而此次,特朗普对相关议题态度坚决,并无退让迹象,甚至再度重申了收购格陵兰岛的诉求。更令人难 以设想的极端情景是,特朗普可能动用军事力量夺取格陵兰岛控制权。尽管他在面对记者追问时回避了 这一问题,但"吞并"这一构想本身就足以引发市场动荡,给全球市场带来不确定性冲击。 与此同时,美国最高法院就相关政策合法性的裁决再度搁置,结果预计推迟至2月20日公布。这一延迟 为市场预留了充足的反应时间,在特朗普 ...
黄金价格在因美联储独立性担忧飙升后企稳
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 06:57
Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Gold prices stabilized around $4,585 per ounce after a significant increase of 2% in the previous trading day, driven by concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following threats from the Trump administration to pursue criminal charges against Chairman Jerome Powell [1][3] - The recent attacks on the Federal Reserve have reignited a trend of selling off dollar assets, leading to a decline in the dollar's exchange rate and a sell-off in U.S. Treasury securities [1][3] - Factors such as increased geopolitical risks, trade tensions, and central banks accumulating gold have contributed to gold prices reaching historical highs last year, with expectations for continued upward momentum through 2026 [1][3] Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have stabilized after recovering from a 2% drop, with significant volatility driven by speculative inflows, as indicated by the soaring implied volatility of the largest silver ETF [4] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange is set to adjust margin requirements for gold, silver, platinum, and palladium futures, which will take effect after Tuesday's close, reflecting the increased volatility in precious metals [5] - Citigroup forecasts that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce and silver could surpass $100 per ounce within the next three months, with expectations of a continued bull market in precious metals [5]