25H1 公司转回500 万元单项计提减值损失但账龄组合计提约1200 万元，关注潜在减值转回对公司盈利 影响。2025 年上半年公司转回单项计提应收账款500 万元，体现出下游客户回款情况逐渐改善，但同期 按账龄组合计提约1200万元，使得公司25H1 仍有约400 万元的坏账减值。我们认为随着公司航线网络 调整以及存量应收账款下游客户现金流能力改善，公司将逐渐进入应收账款回款周期。截至2025 年6 月 底公司有约3.2 亿元坏账减值准备，关注潜在减值转回对公司盈利影响。 投资建议：看好支线市场增长潜力和公司在国内支线航线领域的先发优势，行业降价环境下政府运力购 买模式对公司价格端形成一定支撑。25H1 公司单位成本下降超预期，我们上调公司2025-2027 年归母 净利润至6.2/8.5/11.3 亿元，当前华夏航空股价对应2025-2027 年19/14/10 倍市盈率。维持"推荐"评级。 风险提示：宏观经济复苏不及预期；油价大幅上涨；人民币汇率波动。 利用率回升、油价下降改善单位成本，机队机型结构调整，单位成本或仍有改善空间。25H1 单位成本 延续同比下降趋势，同比-7.4%，利用率回升摊薄租赁折 ...

Group 1: Market Position and Competition - The company emphasizes that regional aviation and high-speed rail serve different travel needs, with most of its routes not overlapping with high-speed rail lines [1] - Regional aviation primarily caters to lower-density cities, while high-speed rail connects densely populated urban areas [1] - The company has developed a regional aviation hub model centered around cities like Quzhou to enhance its route network [1] Group 2: Industry Growth and Demand - The overall airport throughput growth rate during the 13th Five-Year Plan period is approximately 10%, with regional airport throughput growing at about twice that rate [2] - By 2035, the number of transport airports in China is expected to reach around 450, with most new airports being regional [2] - The demand for air travel in regional cities is projected to continue growing due to rising economic levels and consumer spending [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating revenue reached CNY 669,560,000, a year-on-year increase of 29.98% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 26,797,300, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 127.77% [3] Group 4: Operational Efficiency - The average aircraft utilization rate in Q1 2025 was 8 hours, an increase of 0.9 hours year-on-year [3] - The company aims to enhance aircraft utilization to reduce fixed costs associated with leasing and depreciation [4] Group 5: Regulatory Changes and Support - The revised subsidy management measures for regional aviation, effective from January 1, 2024, increase support for economically underdeveloped areas [4] - The new subsidy method shifts from passenger transport volume to actual flight hours, benefiting airlines operating regional routes [4] - In 2024, the proportion of capacity in subsidized routes increased by 4.4 percentage points [4] Group 6: Challenges and Solutions - The company faces challenges in profitability due to the nature of regional aviation, where low passenger volumes hinder route development [5] - Local governments and airports are collaborating with airlines through capacity purchase agreements to stimulate market growth and ensure economic viability [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10][11] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, with a 29.98% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024 and a 232.31% increase in net profit for Q1 2025 [5][10] - The company is expanding its fleet and opening new routes, which is driving growth in flight volume and improving fleet utilization [6][10] - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 76.04 billion, 86.64 billion, and 94.42 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 14%, 14%, and 9% [9][10] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 6.696 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.98%, and a net profit of 268 million, compared to a loss of 965 million in the same period of 2023 [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 1.774 billion, a 9.78% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 82 million, a 232.31% increase year-on-year [5] Fleet and Operations - The company expanded its fleet to 75 aircraft in 2024 and further to 77 in Q1 2025, with a focus on new route openings and increased flight frequency [6] - The available seat kilometers (ASK) grew by 33.21% in 2024 and 23.73% in Q1 2025, while the revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increased by 40.72% and 28.08% respectively [6] Revenue and Cost Analysis - In 2024, the company's seat kilometer revenue was 0.433 yuan, a decrease of 2.4%, while other revenue per seat kilometer increased by 83.8% [7] - The operating cost per seat kilometer decreased by 10.4% in 2024, with significant reductions in fuel costs [8] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 701 million, 1.122 billion, and 1.388 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 161%, 60%, and 24% [10] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 36.88 in 2024 to 6.86 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [10][11]