国内热点聚焦 考研初试圆满收官 12 月 21 日 18:00，随着考试结束铃声响起，2026 年全国硕士研究生招生考试初试落下帷幕。本次考试 意义重大，为众多学子开启学术深造大门。 今年四川省共有 18.3 万名考生报名参加，共设置 82 个考点、近 6000 个标准化考场，安排近 2 万名考 务工作人员。考试期间，秩序井然，考风考纪良好，顺利实现 "平安研考" 目标。 为确保考试顺利进行，国家教育考试厅际联席会议成员单位履职尽责、通力协作，各地各高校组建工作 专班、细化职责分工，省教育考试院强化统筹协调、巡查督导、应急处突，形成全链条协同推进的组考 工作格局。 在考试安全保障方面，各地严格落实全流程安全保密要求，构建完善 "六位一体" 防作弊体系，推动人 防、技防、物防有机融合。所有考点全覆盖配备智能安检门、无线信号屏蔽设备，实现保密室实时智能 巡检和考场实时智能巡查全覆盖，实施考场内信号屏蔽与考场外无线电监测巡查 "双管控"。全省规范 自命题管理，统一试卷封装标准，全面排查化解命题、保密、封装等环节风险隐患，全力守护考试公平 公正。 除了四川，其他省份的考研情况也备受关注。例如广东省有 19.11 万考 ...

Group 1: Federal Reserve Policy and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5% during the June meeting, reflecting a more positive outlook on economic uncertainty[5] - The Fed revised down the 2025 GDP growth forecast by 0.3% to 1.4% and raised the core PCE inflation forecast by 0.3% to 3.1%[3] - The updated dot plot indicates two potential rate cuts in 2025, with reductions in 2026 and 2027 dropping from two to one[3] Group 2: Inflation and Tariff Impact - The Fed remains vigilant about the transmission of high tariffs to inflation levels, with a weak expression regarding the restrictiveness of monetary policy[3] - High tariffs are expected to impact inflation levels significantly, with consumer prices likely to rise as companies pass on costs to consumers[8] - The anticipated increase in tariffs may lead to a more pronounced inflationary effect in the summer months[8] Group 3: Market Implications and Risks - The potential introduction of tariff hedging policies in the second half of the year may benefit dollar assets, particularly U.S. equities, as they catch up with other markets[3] - Emerging markets, excluding China, may face increased pressure on corporate earnings and stock valuations due to the anticipated economic conditions[3] - Risks include a potential price war in the oil market and systemic financial risks in emerging markets[3]