Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Indicators - The Bank of Japan's Governor Ueda Kazuo indicated that the central bank will assess the pros and cons of interest rate hikes in the December policy meeting, marking the clearest signal for a potential rate increase to 0.75% [1] - Japan's core inflation rate reached 3% in October, the highest since July, with the core inflation rate excluding fresh food and energy rising to 3.1%, supporting the case for a rate hike [3] - Japan's GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 1.8% in the third quarter, contrasting with a growth of 1.6% in the previous quarter, indicating a slowdown in economic growth [4] Group 2: Currency and Market Reactions - The recent rise in the yen has led to increased volatility in the currency market, with the USD/JPY exchange rate rising approximately 2.19% as of November, and 9.52% over the past six months [3] - The tightening of Japan's monetary policy is impacting risk assets globally, with Bitcoin experiencing a significant sell-off, dropping 6% to below $85,000, and Ethereum falling nearly 9% [5] - Investors are reassessing yen-based carry trades and arbitrage strategies due to the changing interest rate environment, which is leading to a reduction in liquidity and increased financing costs globally [6][7]

新华财经北京8月14日电 美国财政部长贝森特在接受彭博电视专访时，首次明确表态认为日本央行应加 快加息步伐以应对通胀风险，直言其货币政策已"落后于形势"。这一言论与日本央行行长植田和男坚持 渐进式紧缩的立场形成直接交锋，引发市场对日本货币政策转向的密切关注。 贝森特在采访中强调，日本面临的通胀压力正在累积，且这种态势已对全球资本市场产生连锁反应。他 指出，美国30年期国债收益率近期走高的部分动因来自日本及德国长期债券收益率的攀升，暗示海外央 行政策调整正重塑全球资本流动格局。"我的判断是，日本央行确实落后于形势，因此他们将会加 息。"贝森特如是说，但未对具体加息时点作出预测。 此番表态与日本央行行长植田和男的公开立场形成鲜明对比。尽管植田和男承认存在加息可能性，但其 始终以"潜在通胀尚未达标"为由维持审慎态度。所谓"潜在通胀"，主要指剔除鲜食品和能源的核心CPI 指标，该指标需稳定达到2%以上方符合日本央行的政策目标。然而，部分国际分析师质疑这一标准过 于保守，认为日本央行政策正常化进程缓慢已导致日元持续贬值，进而推升进口成本并加剧国内通胀螺 旋。 贝森特透露，他此前已与植田和男就此展开过直接沟通，但未透露对 ...