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时代的红利
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为什么高收入可能不会持续:从行业红利到时代红利 | 螺丝钉带你读书
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-31 13:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "era dividends," emphasizing the different stages of industry development and the opportunities and challenges they present for individuals and companies [4][11]. Industry Dividend Periods - **Startup Phase (0-5%)**: In this initial stage, small entrepreneurial teams innovate to meet customer needs, while large companies are less involved due to limited profit potential [6]. This phase is characterized by high risk for founders [7]. - **High Growth Phase (5%-30%)**: As the industry matures, larger companies enter the market, leading to rapid growth and increased demand for professionals. During this period, personal income can grow significantly, often outpacing average societal growth [8][9]. - **Mature Phase (30% and above)**: The competitive landscape stabilizes, with a few leading companies dominating the market. This results in an oversupply of professionals, leading to slower income growth and potential layoffs [10]. Recent Era Dividends - The last few decades have seen widespread era dividends driven by globalization, urbanization, and technological advancements. For instance, joining the WTO spurred rapid growth in domestic manufacturing, transitioning from low-end to high-end industries [11][12]. - Urbanization led to a real estate boom, benefiting various related sectors and significantly increasing wealth accumulation for many [12][13]. - Technological progress, particularly in the internet and AI sectors, has also resulted in explosive salary growth for professionals in these fields [13]. Conclusion on Era Dividends - Era dividends are finite, and every industry will eventually reach a saturation point. Individuals should be aware of the cyclical nature of income growth and prepare for future changes by saving during high-growth periods [15][16]. - New era dividends will continue to emerge, with disruptive innovations occurring approximately every 10-20 years, providing new opportunities for each generation [18][19]. - The current economic landscape suggests a reduction in high-growth sectors, prompting individuals to consider their strategies for future success [20][22].
如何站在未来看现在
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-02-09 07:45
美国镀金时代( 1870-1890 )的亿万富翁(卡耐基、洛克菲勒、古尔德、摩根)都出生在十九世纪三十年代,那时正值美国经济发展的窗口期。在 他们出生后的几十年,美国经济高速发展,成为人类历史上经济最繁荣的时期之一。 我们国家 1990-2010 的高速增长,也是全球范围内前无古人后无来者了。 经 wei 张颖接受访谈时说,我们的员工都是其他行业很普通的员工,如果换一拨人,这么多年过来,他们仍然可以做得很出色。我们吃到的其实都是时代 的红利。 中芯 ju yuan 成立的时候,只是母公司财务部下属的一个部门,工资待遇和母公司的基层员工是持平的。 那个时候如果你是里面的一名基层员工,哪怕你只是会计专业,哪怕你对半导体完全不懂,凭借熬年头到现在,你大概率也是一个 MD ,甚至合伙人。 如果你能做到中芯 ju yuan 的 MD ,跳槽去其他机构,年薪百万应该没太大问题吧?我没有核实过,我只是感性认知。 我想说,这也是时代的红利。 因为 AI ,我们处在一个生产力大变革的时代。数据取代了石油,算力芯片取代了蒸汽机,算法取代了老师傅们的手艺。 从春节期间就开始爆红的 DeepSeek ,不仅让全球看到中国在 AI 领 ...