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为AI供电--美国接下来会如何出招?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-14 09:24
Core Insights - The report from Morgan Stanley highlights the critical bottlenecks in the U.S. AI industry, specifically "time to power" for electricity access and reliance on key materials, predicting significant actions from the next government [1][2] Group 1: Energy and Material Bottlenecks - The interconnectivity between AI, electricity, chips, and key materials is driving profound changes, with the potential Trump administration expected to act urgently to address delays in electricity access for data centers and foreign dependency on key materials [2] - The report identifies nearly 20 materials with high dependency, including rare earths, silicon carbide, lithium, graphite, cobalt, and tungsten, which are essential for modern military, energy, and semiconductor industries [2] Group 2: Potential Policy Actions - The report outlines a potential "combination punch" of actions the U.S. government may take to reshape domestic supply chains and clear obstacles for AI infrastructure development, including: 1. Accelerating the grid interconnection process for gas turbine projects related to data center development [6] 2. Supporting the manufacturing of gas turbines and potentially fuel cells in the U.S. while integrating orders from large tech companies [6] 3. Establishing public-private partnerships for nuclear fuel conversion and enrichment [6] - These measures could benefit specific companies in the power equipment, natural gas, nuclear energy, and related infrastructure sectors, creating clear investment pathways [6] Group 3: Strategic Value of "Time to Power" - The concept of "time to power M&A" is introduced, emphasizing the increasing value of quickly obtaining electricity as a scarce resource amid the non-linear growth of AI capabilities [7] - A high-performance computing data center that connects to the grid a year earlier could be valued at least $4 per watt, indicating a rising "time arbitrage" value [7] - Companies that can provide rapid electricity solutions may be revalued strategically by the market and could become potential acquisition targets for tech giants [7] - The U.S. Department of Energy has initiated the "Speed to Power initiative," signaling a shift in policy direction [7]