Core Insights - The overall trend of domestic economy class ticket prices during the National Day holiday is a gradual decline, but not to the extent of a "plunge," with prices remaining higher than the same period in 2024 [3][4]. Ticket Price Trends - On September 16, the average domestic economy class ticket price for the National Day period was 896 yuan, a slight increase of 0.5% year-on-year [1]. - By September 25, the average price had risen to 819 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.1% [2]. - As of September 28, the average price was 804 yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.2% [3]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - The lack of significant price drops this year is attributed to the supply-demand situation in the aviation market and optimized pricing strategies by airlines [4]. - Airlines initially set higher prices based on expected demand but adjusted dynamically as actual demand did not meet expectations [4]. - The overlap of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays has led to concentrated travel demand, while airlines did not significantly increase capacity, resulting in demand outpacing supply [4]. Flight Operations and Passenger Volume - The total number of passenger flights during the National Day and Mid-Autumn holiday is expected to reach 139,000, averaging over 17,000 flights per day, a year-on-year increase of 5.7% [5]. - The anticipated passenger volume is 19.57 million, averaging 2.447 million per day, which is a 6.4% increase year-on-year [5]. - As of September 29, domestic flight bookings for the holiday exceeded 11.89 million, with a daily average increase of approximately 3% compared to the previous year [5]. Regulatory Environment - The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) has prioritized the regulation of aviation market pricing, influencing ticket pricing strategies this year [5]. - The CAAC has emphasized price monitoring and compliance with national pricing laws, which has contributed to stabilizing ticket prices [5][6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles discusses the pricing trends of domestic airline tickets during the National Day holiday, indicating that while there were some price reductions, they did not reach the level of "plummeting" prices seen in previous years [1][2][3] - Data from various platforms show that the average ticket price for domestic economy class during the National Day holiday was 819 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.1% [2] - The overall ticket pricing trend indicates a gradual decrease leading up to the holiday, but prices remained higher than the same period in 2024 [2][3] Group 2 - Airlines have adjusted their pricing strategies based on supply and demand dynamics, with fewer instances of last-minute price drops compared to previous years [3][4] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) has emphasized the importance of regulating market prices, which has influenced airlines' pricing behavior [4][5] - Predictions for the holiday period include an expected total of 139,000 passenger flights, with a year-on-year increase of 5.7% in flight volume and a 6.4% increase in passenger transport volume [4]

Core Insights - The upcoming National Day holiday is expected to see a significant increase in domestic and international flight bookings, with domestic ticket reservations exceeding 3.26 million and international bookings surpassing 1.16 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 26% and approximately 15% respectively [1][2] - Domestic flight prices during the National Day period are generally stable compared to last year, with a notable price pattern of higher fares at the beginning and end of the holiday, and lower prices in the middle [2][4] - There is a concern regarding potential last-minute price drops for flight tickets, similar to trends observed during previous holidays, which could affect consumer purchasing behavior [3][4] Domestic Flight Market - The search volume for domestic flights has increased significantly, with a more than 30% year-on-year rise in search interest for holiday travel as of September 11 [1][2] - The top ten cities for domestic flight searches include major urban centers known for leisure and vacation attributes, such as Beijing, Chengdu, and Shanghai [1] - The price dynamics show a "high at the ends, low in the middle" trend, with expectations of peak travel days around October 4-5 due to holiday strategies [2] International Flight Market - International flight searches have also surged, with a year-on-year increase of over 60% for outbound travel, particularly to East Asian and Southeast Asian destinations [5] - Popular international destinations for the upcoming holiday include Seoul, Bangkok, and Tokyo, with significant interest in low-cost international flights [5][6] - There are reports of extremely low prices for international flights, with some tickets priced below domestic fares, indicating a competitive pricing environment [4][5] Future Market Trends - Post-holiday, there is an expectation of a significant drop in ticket prices, particularly in November and December, with some flights available for as low as 100 yuan excluding taxes [6] - The aviation industry is experiencing a clear seasonal demand pattern, with ongoing efforts to enhance international route recovery and tap into lower-tier city markets [6][7] - The future of the aviation market is anticipated to undergo structural changes, focusing on experience economy and operational efficiency, rather than merely replicating pre-pandemic conditions [7]