北约即将举行核演习 将模拟核武器使用场景 中新网10月10日电 据路透社报道，北约年度核威慑演习"坚定正午"将由荷兰主办，定于下周开始，共 有来自14个国家的71架飞机参与。 北约官员表示，此次演习不会使用核武器，但会模拟可能使用核武器的场景。北约核政策主任斯托克斯 表示，演习是"例行性的"，并非针对任何国家。 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：董文博 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 北约秘书长吕特在一段视频中表示，此次演习"向任何潜在对手发出了一个明确的信号：我们将并能够 保护并捍卫所有盟友，抵御所有威胁。" 报道称，吕特是在荷兰沃尔克尔空军基地录制的这段视频，该基地是此次演习的主要主办地。北约方面 表示，比利时的克莱恩·布罗格尔基地、英国的莱肯希思基地和丹麦的斯克里德斯特鲁普基地也将参与 此次演习。 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview")，看更多精彩财经资讯。 图片来源：路透社报道截图 ...

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the potential military intervention of Europe in Ukraine and the subsequent response from Russia, which could escalate tensions significantly [2][22] - Russia's "red line" is defined as foreign military intervention in Ukraine, particularly in Eastern Ukraine and Crimea, due to historical fears and national security concerns [2][3] - The response from Russia would likely involve a multi-faceted approach, including conventional military strikes, nuclear deterrence, and asymmetric warfare tactics [3][4][6] Group 2 - Conventional military retaliation would target European troops and critical infrastructure in Ukraine, utilizing missiles and drones to disrupt European military operations [3][4] - Nuclear options would include tactical nuclear weapons for preemptive strikes and strategic nuclear weapons for deterrence, with a focus on maintaining a credible threat to NATO [4][5] - Asymmetric methods could involve energy weaponization, cyberattacks, and financial sanctions to destabilize Europe and create internal chaos [6][7][8] Group 3 - Three potential catastrophic scenarios could arise if Europe crosses the red line: limited conflict with nuclear threats, accidental escalation to full-scale war, and a non-conventional war impacting Europe's economy and infrastructure [9][10][12][15] - The consequences of European military involvement could lead to significant losses for European forces, economic turmoil, and heightened nuclear risks, making it a high-stakes gamble [16][18] - Historical precedents indicate that direct confrontations between Europe and Russia have historically resulted in severe consequences, suggesting that diplomatic solutions are preferable [18][21] Group 4 - The article advocates for diplomatic negotiations to de-escalate tensions, emphasizing the importance of dialogue over military confrontation [20][21] - It suggests that both Europe and Russia should prioritize peace and stability rather than engaging in a potentially destructive conflict [22]

Group 1: Meeting and Diplomatic Tensions - The meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin is scheduled for August 15 in Alaska to discuss the Ukraine crisis, marking their first face-to-face meeting since 2019 [1] - Trump has expressed disappointment in Putin and indicated that the deadline for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine remains valid, with a potential shortening of the 50-day timeline [3][4] - The ongoing verbal exchanges between the US and Russia have escalated, with both sides making strong statements regarding nuclear capabilities and treaties [2][6] Group 2: Nuclear Threats and Military Posturing - The current tensions between the US and Russia are described as the most explicit nuclear threat since the Cuban Missile Crisis, with both nations engaging in military posturing [8][20] - Trump announced the deployment of two US nuclear submarines to "appropriate areas," likely near Russian waters, emphasizing the seriousness of nuclear threats [7][9] - The US Navy operates 71 nuclear submarines, including 14 Ohio-class submarines, which can carry up to 24 Trident II missiles, each with a yield of 475 kilotons [11] Group 3: Arms Control and Treaty Developments - Russia has announced it will no longer adhere to the self-imposed restrictions of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, which previously limited the deployment of land-based missiles [14][15] - The last remaining nuclear arms treaty between the US and Russia, the New START treaty, is set to expire on February 5, 2024, raising concerns about a new arms race [22] - The US has been expanding its intermediate-range missile capabilities since its withdrawal from the INF Treaty in 2019, with deployments planned in various allied countries [16][17]

Group 1: Military Movements - The U.S. military has confirmed the withdrawal from three military bases in Syria and Iraq, which have supported operations against ISIS for years [4][5] - The Pentagon's report indicates that U.S. personnel and coalition partners left these bases in May, with some troops relocating to other bases or returning to the U.S. [4] - The U.S. plans to dismantle and remove infrastructure from these bases or hand them over to the Syrian Democratic Forces [4] Group 2: Nuclear Submarine Deployment - President Trump announced the deployment of two U.S. nuclear submarines to a necessary area in response to threats from Russia [7] - Russian officials have cautioned against nuclear rhetoric, emphasizing that there are no winners in nuclear war [7][8] Group 3: Oil Trade Tensions - President Trump has threatened to significantly increase tariffs on Indian goods due to India's continued purchase of Russian oil [2][11] - India's oil imports from Russia have surged from an average of 68,000 barrels per day in January 2022 to 1.12 million barrels per day by June 2022, peaking at 2.15 million barrels per day in May 2023 [11] - The U.S. and India have been in trade negotiations, but India has resisted U.S. demands for tariff concessions on agricultural products [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the U.S. and Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict, highlighting the U.S. threats of imposing severe tariffs on Russia and the ongoing nuclear deterrence rhetoric between the two nations [3][11]. Group 1: U.S. Diplomatic Efforts - The U.S. is sending high-level officials to Russia and Ukraine as a last-ditch effort to address the Ukraine crisis before the August 8 deadline for potential tariffs [3][4]. - U.S. Middle East envoy, Wittekov, is expected to visit Russia to clarify potential U.S. actions if no progress is made in resolving the conflict [4][6]. - The U.S. is in a difficult position, trying to balance pressure on Russia while avoiding appearing weak, as it seeks to manage the complex dynamics of the Ukraine crisis [7]. Group 2: Russia's Stance - Russia maintains its objectives in the special military operation, aiming to control more territory and ensure Ukraine remains neutral and not join NATO [8]. - The Kremlin emphasizes the importance of political and diplomatic solutions to the Ukraine issue, with President Putin open to meetings with Ukrainian President Zelensky under certain conditions [6][8]. Group 3: Ukraine's Position - Ukraine is focused on stabilizing its domestic governance while adopting asymmetric warfare strategies due to its unfavorable military position [9]. - Concerns persist in Ukraine regarding potential U.S.-Russia agreements that could force Ukraine to concede to Russian demands, despite some alleviation of risks due to U.S. policy changes [9]. Group 4: Potential for Escalation - The article notes that the differing positions of the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine are unlikely to reconcile in the short term, raising the risk of escalating conflicts [10]. - The ongoing diplomatic stalemate and military actions could lead to heightened tensions and further complications in resolving the Ukraine crisis [10].

Group 1 - The U.S. is threatening to impose "very severe" tariffs on Russia, with a deadline approaching on August 8, and high-level officials are visiting both Russia and Ukraine to discuss the situation [1][3] - The U.S. has deployed two nuclear submarines to "necessary areas," escalating nuclear deterrence rhetoric between the U.S. and Russia [10][11] - Russia maintains its stance on the Ukraine conflict, emphasizing territorial control and preventing Ukraine from joining NATO, while pushing for the demilitarization of Ukraine [5][6] Group 2 - Ukraine is focusing on stabilizing its domestic regime and adopting asymmetric warfare strategies, facing challenges due to U.S. military aid and European support being insufficient [8] - Diplomatic efforts among the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine are currently hindered, with potential for military conflict escalation [8] - Russia's nuclear capabilities are still a concern, with statements from officials indicating readiness to use them as a last resort [12]

Group 1 - The U.S. is facing a deadline regarding potential sanctions against Russia, with high-level officials visiting both Russia and Ukraine to address the ongoing conflict [1][2] - U.S. Special Envoy for Middle East Affairs, David Satterfield, is expected to visit Russia, potentially to communicate U.S. measures if no progress is made in resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict by the deadline [2][4] - Russia maintains its stance on the objectives of its military operations, emphasizing territorial control and Ukraine's neutrality regarding NATO [5][6] Group 2 - Ukraine is focusing on consolidating its domestic power and adopting asymmetric warfare strategies due to its unfavorable military position [6][7] - The diplomatic process among the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine is currently hindered by differing positions, increasing the risk of conflict escalation [8][9] - The U.S. has deployed two nuclear submarines to a "necessary area," which has heightened tensions, with Russia asserting that there are no winners in a nuclear war [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - Russian officials have indicated that they do not rule out the use of nuclear measures in response to NATO attacks, particularly concerning the Kaliningrad region [1] Group 1 - The Chairman of the International Affairs Committee of the State Duma, Slutsky, stated that any attack by NATO on Kaliningrad would lead to severe responses from Russia, including nuclear options [1] - The member of the Federation Council's Defense and Security Committee, Muratov, emphasized that NATO must understand that any attack on Russian territory would result in extremely serious consequences [1]

Group 1 - Trump announced a "major statement" regarding Russia to be released on July 14, indicating a shift towards a tougher stance against Russia [1][2] - The U.S. government is set to provide $300 million in military aid to Ukraine, potentially including Patriot missile systems and offensive medium-range rockets [1][2] - A new agreement reached at the NATO summit will change the way military aid is delivered to Ukraine, with NATO covering 100% of the costs [2] Group 2 - Russian officials, including spokesperson Peskov, believe that resolving the Ukraine issue is more challenging than initially expected and express a desire for continued dialogue with the U.S. [3] - A meeting between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and U.S. Secretary of State Rubio discussed the Ukraine crisis and the need for a roadmap to end the conflict [4] - The U.S. is looking for greater flexibility from Russia in negotiations, while Russia has proposed new ideas for resolving the conflict [4] Group 3 - Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that negotiations with Russia are currently on hold due to incomplete prisoner exchange agreements [6] - Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine has received necessary political signals from the U.S. regarding the resumption of military aid, including discussions about the Patriot missile system [6] - The Russian military reported successful attacks on Ukrainian military targets, indicating ongoing hostilities in the region [7] Group 4 - The U.K. and France signed the "Northwood Declaration," coordinating their independent nuclear deterrent capabilities in response to changing European security dynamics [8] - The declaration allows for a joint response to threats against the core interests of either nation, highlighting the importance of defense cooperation [8]

Core Points - The UK government announced the purchase of 12 F-35A fighter jets capable of carrying tactical nuclear weapons, marking the largest scale initiative to enhance nuclear deterrence in decades [1] - Prime Minister Keir Starmer is set to officially announce this decision at the NATO summit in The Hague on the 25th [1] - Starmer stated that the increase in defense spending is a response to a time of extreme uncertainty, where peace is no longer taken for granted [1]