金十数据7月8日讯，据两位知情人士向AXIOS网站透露，以色列正为伊朗可能重启核计划做准备，其 高级官员认为美国总统特朗普可能批准以军发动新一轮打击。特朗普和以色列总理内塔尼亚胡在当地时 间周一晚于白宫共进晚餐时，伊朗核危机的前进道路将是一个主要话题。以方称，以色列总理内塔尼亚 胡希望就未来美伊核谈判及可能触发军事行动的"红线"与美方达成共识。以总理高级顾问罗恩·德尔默 在闭门简报中透露，他近期华盛顿之行获得明确信号——在某些情境下，特朗普政府将支持以色列对伊 朗实施新打击。消息人士指出，触发情形包括：伊朗试图转移福尔多、纳坦兹及伊斯法罕受损设施内的 高浓缩铀，以及德黑兰着手重建核计划（尤其是铀浓缩设施）。 消息人士：以方研判特朗普或为对伊新军事行动开绿灯 ...

音频由扣子空间生成 伊朗周三宣布暂停与国际原子能机构（IAEA）合作，拒绝国际核查人员评估美以空袭对其主要核设施 造成的破坏，此举将引发与美国及西方列强的新冲突。伊朗的决定将使IAEA暂时无法监督德黑兰可能 重启的核工作，也无法核实其大量浓缩铀库存的下落。 据伊朗国家媒体报道，总统马苏德·佩泽希齐扬（Masoud Pezeshkian）正式批准实施上周议会通过的暂 停合作法案，该暂停生效直至满足多项条件，包括保障伊朗核设施与科学家的安全。 AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 IAEA监测失灵，400公斤高浓铀成安全隐患 IAEA发言人表示已知悉相关报道，但"正在等待伊朗进一步官方信息"。 IAEA和美国官员称，伊朗纳坦兹（Natanz）浓缩铀基地及伊斯法罕（Isfahan）核设施也遭严重破坏。 七国集团（G7）外长包括美国国务卿马可·鲁比奥（Marco Rubio）警告，若要外交解决核危机，伊朗必 须向IAEA"提供所有核材料的可验证信息，包括允许检查人员进入"。 这一决定可能导致伊美核谈判前景进一步复杂化。特朗普称美国对谈判持开放态度，而伊朗要求美方承 诺不再发动新的军事打击才会考虑重启谈判。 自6月13 ...

Core Viewpoint - The assessment of the impact of the recent U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear capabilities differs significantly between European officials and the Trump administration, with Europe indicating that Iran's enriched uranium stockpile remains largely intact [1][3][5]. Group 1: Intelligence Assessment - Preliminary intelligence provided to European governments suggests that Iran's stockpile of high-enriched uranium, totaling 408 kilograms, was not concentrated at the Fordow facility during the U.S. attack, but rather dispersed across multiple locations [1][3]. - The U.S. Defense Secretary stated that there is no known intelligence indicating that Iran has moved its enriched uranium, which contrasts with the European intelligence assessment [3][6]. - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has not confirmed the location of any transferred enriched uranium and has not conducted on-site evaluations of the damage [4][10]. Group 2: Damage Assessment - The U.S. used bunker-buster bombs to target the Fordow and Natanz facilities, with reports indicating that while the Fordow facility suffered significant damage, it was not completely destroyed [6][9]. - Satellite imagery revealed that the entrances to the Fordow facility were blocked, and there were signs of damage consistent with the use of precision-guided munitions [9]. - A confidential U.S. intelligence report indicated that the military action only delayed Iran's nuclear program by a few months, with the potential for Iran to restart its nuclear activities within one to two months [6][9]. Group 3: Diplomatic Implications - The differing assessments of the damage to Iran's nuclear capabilities complicate the diplomatic resolution of the international nuclear crisis [5][13]. - The Trump administration has not provided clear intelligence to European nations regarding Iran's remaining nuclear capabilities post-attack, leading to uncertainty in diplomatic strategies [13]. - Trump indicated that the U.S. would engage in talks with Iran regarding a potential nuclear agreement, but he expressed skepticism about the necessity of such an agreement, maintaining that the U.S. has successfully diminished Iran's nuclear capabilities [13].