【环球时报驻伊朗特约记者 包小龙 环球时报记者 樊巍 丁雅栀 余见】美国会对伊朗实施军事行动吗？具体的行动方案可能是什么？如今，这两个问题紧紧 地牵动着国际社会的神经。据英国广播公司（BBC）报道，美国总统特朗普29日说，他希望避免对伊朗采取军事行动，并计划与该国就核问题展开进一步谈 判。外媒认为，特朗普28日发出"最后通牒"后，在29日"缓和了语调"。但鉴于美国正在中东地区大规模集结兵力，当下的局面依旧隐藏着冲突爆发的风险。 伊朗方面正在加紧备战：1000架战略无人机29日正式编入军队作战序列；伊斯兰革命卫队海军将于2月1日至2日在霍尔木兹海峡进行实弹演习；首都德黑兰 市政府已启动战时避难设施建设规划……"美国的克制是化解有关伊朗核问题紧张局势的关键。"卡塔尔半岛电视台引述分析人士的话称，美国需要避免轰炸 伊朗核设施，"给外交一个机会"，过去的经验表明，对话是有效的。 另外，德黑兰启动了战时避难设施建设规划。伊朗光明通讯社29日援引德黑兰市长扎卡尼的话说，"12日战争"（即去年6月发生在伊朗与以色列之间、其间 美国介入的军事冲突）后，修建避难设施、设立防空警报，以及在可能发生战争的情况下保护民众的工作已被列 ...

Group 1 - The core of the escalating tensions between the US and Iran is driven by military and diplomatic actions from Washington, including the potential for significant military strikes against Iran and the deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group to the region [1][2] - The US has issued a series of harsh diplomatic demands to Iran, including the permanent cessation of uranium enrichment, new restrictions on ballistic missile programs, and halting support for regional proxy forces, with the missile range limitation being a major sticking point [2][3] Group 2 - Iran has adopted a hardline stance in response to US military threats, with officials warning that any military action would be viewed as the start of a war, promising immediate and unprecedented retaliation [3][4] - Regional countries are deeply concerned about the potential for conflict, with several nations, including Turkey and Qatar, engaging in urgent diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions, while traditional US allies like Saudi Arabia have stated they will not support military actions against Iran [4][5]

每经编辑｜陈柯名 杜宇 负责中东地区美军行动的美军中央司令部27日发布消息说，其下辖空军部队将举行为期数天的战备演习。前一天，中央司令部宣布美军"亚伯拉罕·林 肯"号航空母舰打击群已驶入中东。 据央视新闻，当地时间1月27日，美国总统特朗普表示，一支舰队正在向伊朗方向航行。 据新华社消息，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军政治副司令穆罕默德·阿克巴尔扎德27日表示，邻国领土若被用于针对伊朗的敌对行动，这些邻国将被视为敌对 方。 他说，伊朗已向邻国明确表示，伊朗将他们视为朋友，但是，若"其领空、领土或领海被用于攻击伊朗，将被视为敌对方"。这些国家已作出积极回应，并 将相关关切转达给美国和以色列。 阿克巴尔扎德表示，伊朗并不寻求战争，但已为应对任何敌对行动做好充分准备，"如果战争强加于我们，回应将比以往更加坚决"。他说，一旦战争爆 发，伊朗"不会后退哪怕一毫米"。 阿克巴尔扎德当天还表示， 伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的管控已超越传统方式，实现了全面智能化。伊朗已对所有海上、水面及水下活动进行实时监控。是否 允许悬挂不同国旗的船只从该海峡通行，完全由伊朗掌控。这一战略通道的安全取决于德黑兰的决策。 霍尔木兹海峡位于阿曼和伊朗之间，连接 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. military has confirmed the deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group to the Central Command area, which covers the Middle East [1] - The USS Lincoln strike group is expected to be positioned in the Arabian Sea or the Gulf of Oman within days, although it has not yet reached a location capable of effectively striking Iran [2] - The USS Lincoln can carry approximately 90 aircraft, including F-35 stealth fighters and F/A-18 fighter jets, and its accompanying destroyers are equipped with Tomahawk cruise missiles [2] Group 2 - The U.S. has additional naval assets in the Gulf, including two destroyers and three littoral combat ships stationed in Bahrain, along with F-15E fighter jets deployed to enhance combat readiness [3] - Military analysts suggest that the U.S. has various options for striking Iran, including surface ship and submarine-launched Tomahawk missiles, as well as air-to-ground missiles from aircraft and drones [3] Group 3 - Iran has declared a state of "maximum readiness" in response to U.S. military pressure and has warned that it will target U.S. military bases in the region if attacked [4] - Iran's ballistic missile capabilities are considered among the most advanced in the Middle East, with the ability to cover all U.S. bases in the region [4] Group 4 - Iran is actively seeking international support and has engaged in diplomatic communications with various countries to emphasize the importance of regional peace and stability [5] - The Iranian government is also focused on stabilizing domestic conditions and maintaining unity, promising to improve living standards and curb violence [6] Group 5 - The U.S. administration maintains that diplomacy remains an option, with senior officials indicating an openness to negotiations with Iran [7] - Experts suggest that the U.S. may prefer limited military actions rather than a full-scale war, aiming to apply pressure on Iran to return to the negotiating table [7] Group 6 - Regional countries and the international community have expressed opposition to foreign interference in Iran's internal affairs, calling for de-escalation and dialogue to resolve differences [8]

Core Viewpoint - The situation between the United States and Iran is escalating, with the U.S. military increasing its presence in the Middle East, particularly with the deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group, while Iran prepares to respond to any potential aggression [1][2]. Military Mobilization - The USS Abraham Lincoln strike group has entered the Central Command area, with expectations to be deployed to the Gulf region soon, capable of launching military operations within one to two days if ordered by the White House [1][2]. - The U.S. has additional naval assets in the Gulf, including two destroyers and three littoral combat ships, along with F-15E fighter jets deployed to enhance combat readiness [2]. - Military analysts suggest that the U.S. has various options for attacking Iran, including cruise missiles launched from surface ships and submarines, as well as air-to-ground missiles from aircraft and drones [2]. Iran's Response Strategies - Iran has declared a state of "maximum readiness" and warned that any U.S. attack would result in retaliation against U.S. military bases in the region [3]. - Iran's ballistic missile capabilities are considered advanced, with the ability to target U.S. bases across the Middle East, and it has successfully tested several missile types in recent conflicts [3][4]. Diplomatic Efforts - Iran is actively seeking international support and has engaged in discussions with various countries to emphasize the importance of regional peace and stability [5]. - The Iranian government is also focused on stabilizing domestic conditions and maintaining unity among its populace while addressing economic concerns [5]. Future Developments - Despite military escalations, the U.S. administration has indicated that diplomatic options remain on the table, with strategic concerns about potential repercussions on global energy supplies and regional stability [6]. - Experts suggest that any U.S. military action may be limited in scope, aimed at pressuring Iran to return to negotiations rather than initiating a full-scale war [6]. - Ongoing diplomatic efforts are being made to facilitate communication between the U.S. and Iran, although there are concerns about the possibility of sudden military actions during periods of apparent calm [6]. Regional and International Reactions - Regional countries and the international community have expressed opposition to foreign interference in Iran's internal affairs, advocating for dialogue to resolve tensions [7].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that diplomatic efforts from Gulf countries and Israel successfully persuaded Donald Trump to abandon plans for a military strike against Iran [1][2][3] - Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman made urgent calls to Washington to delay military action, allowing Iran to demonstrate "goodwill" [1] - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu also urged Trump to postpone airstrikes, expressing concerns that Israel could become a target for Iranian retaliation [3] Group 2 - Trump indicated that he received a commitment that "killing actions within Iran will stop," leading to a de-escalation of military tensions [2] - Iranian Foreign Minister stated that there are currently no plans for executions, specifically mentioning the case of a detained protester [2] - A senior Saudi official described the diplomatic efforts as a "long, tense, last-minute action" aimed at giving Iran a chance and warned of "serious backlash effects" [3]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. is increasing military presence in the Middle East, including deploying an aircraft carrier and additional missile defense systems, as President Trump considers military action against Iran [1][3]. Military Deployment - The U.S. military is expected to send more air, land, and sea forces to the region within days or weeks, including at least one aircraft carrier, to provide military options for Trump if he decides to strike Iran [1][3]. - The deployment of the aircraft carrier is anticipated to take at least one week [1]. Diplomatic Efforts - Gulf countries and Israel have engaged in last-minute diplomatic efforts to persuade Trump to delay military action against Iran, fearing potential retaliation against Israel [4]. - U.S. officials indicate that a large-scale strike on Iran may not lead to the collapse of the Iranian government and could escalate regional conflict, prompting Trump to observe Iran's actions before deciding on military options [4][5]. Economic Sanctions - The U.S. Treasury announced new sanctions against Iran, adding 11 individuals and 13 entities to the sanctions list as part of increasing economic pressure on Iran [3]. Iranian Response - Iran has stated it does not seek escalation but will respond decisively to any form of aggression, with its foreign minister urging the UN to condemn foreign interventions [5][6]. - The Iranian government has expressed concerns over external interference in its internal affairs, emphasizing the need for respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity [6].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. is increasing military presence in the Middle East, including deploying at least one aircraft carrier and additional missile defense systems, as President Trump considers military action against Iran [1][2]. Military Deployment - The U.S. military is expected to enhance its air, land, and sea forces in the Middle East within days or weeks, providing military options for Trump if he decides to strike Iran [2]. - The specific aircraft carrier being deployed is not confirmed, but it could be the "Lincoln" currently in Asia or one of the two carriers that recently left U.S. ports [1]. Diplomatic Efforts - Gulf nations and Israel have engaged in last-minute diplomatic efforts to persuade Trump to delay military action against Iran, fearing potential retaliation against Israel [4]. - U.S. officials indicate that a large-scale strike on Iran may not lead to the collapse of the Iranian government and could escalate regional conflict, prompting Trump to observe Iran's actions before deciding on military options [4]. Economic Pressure - The U.S. Treasury has announced new sanctions against Iran, adding 11 individuals and 13 entities to the sanctions list, as part of increasing economic pressure on Iran [2]. International Reactions - Iran's representatives at the UN have stated that they do not seek escalation but will respond decisively to any aggression [5]. - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization has expressed serious concern over the situation in Iran, opposing unilateral sanctions and advocating for political solutions to the crisis [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that diplomatic efforts, including communications between Iran and the U.S., have led to a de-escalation of tensions in the Gulf region, with regional countries urging restraint from the U.S. government [2][3] - There is an increasing hope that communication between Tehran and Washington, possibly facilitated by third parties like Russia or Oman, could lead to further negotiations in the coming days [4] - Following President Trump's assurance that Iran has stopped executing protesters, global oil prices fell as traders became less concerned about military actions affecting Iran's output or retaliatory actions against shipping routes [5][6] Group 2 - The U.S. military has begun withdrawing personnel and aircraft from the Al Udeid air base, which had approximately 10,000 soldiers stationed, raising speculation about potential military action against Tehran [4] - Despite the apparent de-escalation, military options remain on the table, with indications that President Trump desires a swift and clear outcome similar to previous military interventions [6]

Core Viewpoint - China sincerely hopes for a quick ceasefire and peace restoration between Cambodia and Thailand, emphasizing the importance of maintaining border stability and the fundamental interests of both nations [1]. Group 1: Diplomatic Efforts - The Chinese government appreciates and supports ASEAN's efforts, particularly those of Malaysia, in mediating the situation between Cambodia and Thailand [1]. - Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi has communicated with the foreign ministers of Cambodia and Thailand regarding the conflict, and the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs is maintaining communication with relevant ASEAN countries [1]. - China's Special Envoy for Asian Affairs, Deng Xijun, is actively mediating between Cambodia and Thailand, and updates on his efforts will be provided at an appropriate time [1]. Group 2: Regional Stability - The ongoing conflict between Cambodia and Thailand has escalated, prompting China to engage in its own mediation efforts [1]. - China aims to play a constructive role in de-escalating tensions and promoting dialogue between the two nations [1].