有记者提问：据报道，东盟特别外长会22日在马来西亚吉隆坡举行，会议重点讨论当前柬泰边境局势， 但目前柬泰未达成停火共识。中方对此有何评论？中方能否介绍外交部亚洲事务特使邓锡军在柬、泰斡 旋情况？ 林剑：柬埔寨和泰国都是东盟重要成员。中方赞赏并支持东盟特别是马来西亚的劝促努力。作为柬泰两 国的朋友和近邻，中方真诚希望柬泰双方从维护两国边境和平稳定和两国人民的根本利益出发，尽快停 火止战，重建和平。 外交部：中方真诚希望柬泰双方尽快停火止战 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 柬泰冲突再度升温以来，中国一直在以自己的方式斡旋劝促。王毅外长同柬、泰两国外长通话，外交部 负责人同柬、泰和有关东盟国家就此保持沟通，外交部亚洲事务特使邓锡军正在柬、泰两国穿梭调停。 关于邓锡军特使斡旋情况，中方将适时发布消息。中方将继续积极劝和促谈，为缓局降温发挥建设性作 用。(完) 中新网北京12月22日电 (记者 曾玥 谢雁冰)中国外交部发言人林剑22日主持例行记者会。 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：董文博 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众 ...

【环球时报-环球网报道 记者李萌】在12月22日外交部例行记者会上，有记者提问称，据报道，东盟特 别外长会今天在马来西亚吉隆坡举行，会议重点讨论当前柬泰边境局势，但目前柬泰未达成停火共识， 中方对此有何评论？中方能否介绍外交部亚洲事务特使邓锡军在柬泰的斡旋情况？ 对此，发言人林剑表示，柬埔寨和泰国都是东盟的重要成员，中方赞赏并支持东盟，特别是马来西亚的 劝阻能力。作为柬泰两国的朋友和近邻，中方真诚希望柬泰双方从维护两国边境和平稳定和两国人民的 根本利益出发，尽快停火止战，重建和平。 林剑表示，柬泰冲突再次升温以来，中国一直在以自己的方式斡旋劝促，王毅外长同柬泰两国外长通 话，外交部负责人同柬泰和有关东盟国家就此保持沟通，外交部亚洲事务特使邓锡军正在柬泰两国穿梭 调停。关于邓锡军特使斡旋的情况，我们将适时发布消息，中方将继续积极的劝和促谈，为缓局降温发 挥建设性作用。 ...

郭嘉昆：作为柬埔寨和泰国的友邻和朋友，中方高度关注当前柬泰边境事态，对冲突造成柬、泰两国民 众伤亡深感痛心并表示诚挚慰问。柬埔寨和泰国是搬不走的邻居，"亲仁善邻，国之宝也。"当务之急是 停火止战、保护平民。希望双方从维护两国边境和平稳定及两国人民利益出发，保持最大程度克制，采 取一切有利于实现停火的措施，尽快实现降温缓局。 中方谈柬泰边境冲突：希望双方保持最大程度克制 尽快实现降温缓局 中新网北京12月15日电 (记者 谢雁冰 曾玥)中国外交部发言人郭嘉昆15日主持例行记者会。 有记者提问：连日来，尽管有关国家领导人同柬埔寨、泰国领导人通话，推动柬泰两国尽快停火，但柬 泰边境冲突仍在持续，中方对此有何评论？中方为推动停火作了哪些努力？ 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview")，看更多精彩财经资讯。 柬泰边境冲突发生以来，中方根据柬泰两国意愿，通过多渠道多层级同双方保持密切沟通，积极斡旋劝 促，为柬泰对话创造条件、提供平台。中方支持柬泰双方直接对话协商，支持东盟特别是马来西亚的劝 促努力，支持在东盟框架下寻求 ...

坚持原则与实际操作之间找到平衡，而不是盲目附和他国。在这场多边外交的博弈中，欧洲的角色尤为 复杂。它既要在北约框架下与美国合作，又要保障自身的利益与地区的安全；既希望推动和平的解决方 案，又不能牺牲欧盟的团结。领土让步是一个极其敏感的话题，任何公开表态都可能引发不同的反应。 默茨强调乌克兰总统和人民来决定的立场，表面上看似留有余地，但实际上却传递出一个明确的信号： 欧洲不会轻易代替乌克兰做出决定，也不允许外部压力凌驾于乌克兰的主权之上。这个提案还提醒国际 社会，欧洲并非在乌克兰问题上无所作为。它继承了默克尔时代的务实外交风格，寻求通过协调与对话 来影响大国决策。虽然欧洲的立场不如美国那般强硬，但在谈判策略上显得更加谨慎与稳健。欧洲不仅 是平衡力量的存在，也是冲突管理者，在复杂的局势中努力寻找妥协的空间。 未来几天的会谈将成为 欧洲外交智慧的试金石。特朗普作为决策的核心人物，他的态度与回应将直接影响谈判的进程。如何在 保护自身利益与推动和平解决方案之间找到恰当的平衡，既是外交艺术的体现，也将决定乌克兰局势的 走向。欧洲的斡旋既反映了责任感，也揭示了面对大国压力时的策略灵活性。当柏林会议召开时，每一 次谈判桌上的 ...

今年5月底，泰柬在泰国东北部乌汶府与柬接壤的一处存在领土争议的地区发生冲突。7月下旬，双方在 边境地区再次发生武装冲突。据双方公布的数据，冲突已造成上百人伤亡，逾10万民众被疏散至安全区 域。特朗普7月26日在社交媒体上说，他当天分别与柬埔寨首相洪玛奈、泰国代理总理普坦通电话，称 两国只有结束边境冲突，美国才会考虑与两国达成贸易协议。10月26日，泰柬在东盟峰会期间签署和平 联合声明，随后双方陆续从边境撤出重型武器。11月10日，泰柬边境的四色菊府发生地雷爆炸，两名泰 国士兵受伤。泰国总理阿努廷称，就泰国士兵在泰柬交界处因地雷爆炸受伤一事，他已指示有关部门考 虑向东盟临时观察团抗议柬埔寨，并决定暂停执行泰柬和平联合声明。 【环球网报道 记者 李梓瑜】据法新社、路透社报道，美国总统特朗普于美东时间9日在宾夕法尼亚州一 场集会上发表讲话称，他将于当地时间10日就泰柬新一轮边境冲突进行通话斡旋。 泰柬边境于12月7日再起冲突。泰柬两国军方在边境地区发生交火，双方互相指责对方率先开枪，泰称 两人受伤，柬称未还击。8日，柬埔寨和泰国互相指责对方发动袭击。柬埔寨参议院主席洪森8日就此 称，泰国军队对柬方发动袭击，柬埔寨方 ...

因为这家智库2023年、2024年、2025年连续三年发布了关于台海冲突的兵棋推演，其中2024年 推演的是核武器（核威慑），2025年推演的是围困。 结合其他美国智库的表现，笔者大致点评如下： 第一，面对台湾（问题），美国智库的学者普遍有一种圣母和救世主心态。 美国智库先是开出了武力介入和经济制裁两剂猛药，随着中国 实力的增长，相对温柔的外交斡旋"药方"也出现了。归根到 底，解决台湾问题，中国有自己的策略和节奏，来自美国的干 预，不会实质影响两岸的统一进程。美国智库的推演，不过是 隔靴搔痒而已。 作者：王义伟 封图：视觉中国 对于多家美国智库近些年陆续发布的针对台海局势的兵棋推演（wargame），笔者一直兴趣不 大。原因在于这些智库里那些在其母国土生土长的所谓中国问题专家，对于现代中国的政治、经 济、军事以及中国历史、国共历史、台湾问题由来等基础性知识的储备太薄弱了。基础不牢，发布 的报告就漏洞百出。 之所以还想谈谈这个话题，是因为这几天日本和台湾媒体在炒一盘冷饭。 这盘冷饭就是美国智库战略与国际研究中心（CSIS，下称"战国中心"）于2023年1月发布的一份 报告，题目是"下一场战争的第一场战役：中国入 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article critiques the recent wargaming reports by American think tanks regarding the Taiwan Strait situation, arguing that the foundational knowledge of these experts about modern China is insufficient, leading to flawed conclusions [2][4]. Group 1: Wargaming Reports - The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) released a report in January 2023 titled "The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan," which outlined 24 battle scenarios, with the US, Japan, and Taiwan winning in 22 of them [4][5]. - The report has been widely circulated and commented on by Japanese and Taiwanese media, indicating a coordinated narrative supporting Japanese Prime Minister's statements on Taiwan [6][7]. - CSIS has conducted wargaming exercises for three consecutive years, with different focuses each year: nuclear deterrence in 2024 and blockade scenarios in 2025, totaling 65 scenarios across all years [8][11][12]. Group 2: American Think Tanks' Perspectives - Analysts from American think tanks exhibit a "savior complex" regarding Taiwan, influenced by historical, political, and financial factors, leading to a biased perspective [9]. - The reports acknowledge the significant military and economic disparity between Taiwan and China, emphasizing that Taiwan cannot face China alone and requires US assistance to maintain its democratic system [10]. - The wargaming exercises are criticized for their limited practical military value, as they primarily serve as a basis for future propaganda rather than actionable strategies [14][15]. Group 3: Proposed Solutions - American think tanks have suggested two main responses to potential Chinese military actions: military intervention and economic sanctions, though the latter is seen as beyond their expertise [17][19]. - A new approach introduced by CSIS includes diplomatic mediation, suggesting that the US should provide China with a way to save face, such as allowing international observers in Taiwan's customs and reiterating the "1992 Consensus" [20][22]. - The article argues that ultimately, China's strategy regarding Taiwan will not be significantly influenced by American interventions, rendering the think tanks' wargaming efforts largely ineffective [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - German Chancellor Merz plans to propose using frozen Russian central bank assets to provide interest-free loans to Ukraine for military equipment purchases at the upcoming EU summit, amidst domestic opposition advocating for dialogue with Russia instead of military support [1][3] Group 1: Political Reactions - Multiple opposition parties in the German Bundestag are calling for the government to cease arms supplies to Ukraine and instead engage in diplomatic discussions to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - Sören Pellmann, co-chair of the Left Party parliamentary group, argues that the military approach has not yielded success and has only resulted in prolonged suffering for soldiers and civilians alike [1] - Pellmann criticizes the EU's proposed €2 trillion long-term budget increase for defense investments, claiming it primarily benefits arms companies rather than serving the interests of EU citizens [1] Group 2: Economic Concerns - The largest opposition party, the Alternative for Germany (AfD), emphasizes the need for Germany to restore friendly relations with all countries, including Russia, and to resume imports of Russian natural gas due to high energy prices and economic challenges [1] - AfD co-chair Tino Chrupalla highlights that sanctions and military support are not effective solutions to the conflict and calls for a quick resolution that brings peace to Europe [1] Group 3: Public Sentiment - There is widespread controversy within Germany regarding the government's decision to continue military support for Ukraine, with many politicians and citizens believing that ongoing arms supplies may escalate regional tensions and deepen Germany's involvement in the conflict [3] - Calls are being made for the government to allocate more resources towards diplomatic efforts rather than expanding military engagement [3]

Core Viewpoint - Turkish President Erdogan held a phone call with US President Trump to discuss bilateral relations and the situation in Gaza, emphasizing the importance of cooperation in defense industries and regional peace efforts [1] Group 1: Bilateral Relations - Erdogan stated that his previous visit to Washington helped strengthen the relationship between Turkey and the US [1] - Both countries should advance cooperation in defense industries to a new level [1] Group 2: Regional Stability - Turkey is actively working towards peace and stability in the region, including Gaza, and welcomes related peace initiatives [1] - Erdogan called for Israel to cease military actions promptly to create conditions for regional peace [1] Group 3: Diplomatic Efforts - Turkey will continue to accelerate diplomatic mediation and actively contribute to the global vision of peace [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that European leaders are attempting to undermine the progress made since the U.S.-Russia leaders' meeting in Alaska, despite publicly supporting U.S. President Trump's efforts to resolve the Ukraine crisis [1] - White House officials assert that European leaders cannot delay the conflict while presenting unreasonable expectations and expecting the U.S. to bear the costs [1] - A senior White House official mentioned that the U.S. is seriously considering temporarily withdrawing from diplomatic mediation until one or both parties show greater flexibility [1]