核心偿付能力比率
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小摩:核心偿付能力比率下降或影响内险股股息 偏好中国人寿(02628)及中国平安
智通财经网· 2025-11-07 09:15
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that several domestic insurance companies experienced a quarterly decline in core solvency ratios, averaging a drop of 9 percentage points [1] - The rebound in mainland bond yields negatively impacted the solvency of many insurance firms, but strong earnings and reserve growth helped mitigate these effects [1] - The report favors China Life (02628) due to its robust earnings and conservative capital management [1] - China Ping An (02318) is also favored based on its leading forecasted dividend yield of 6% for the next year compared to peers [1] Industry Performance - Major life insurance companies in mainland China saw a quarterly decline in core solvency ratios by 16 percentage points, while non-life insurance companies experienced a 3 percentage point increase [1] - Insurance management teams have implemented various measures in response, including issuing perpetual bonds, reducing equity risk exposure, and broadly decreasing non-standard asset balances [1] - Despite strong profit growth for major insurance companies in the first three quarters, the volatility in solvency capital may become a significant offset to year-end dividend forecasts, particularly for small and medium-sized life insurance companies [1]
小摩:核心偿付能力比率下降或影响内险股股息 偏好中国人寿及中国平安
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 09:13
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that several domestic insurance companies experienced a quarterly decline in core solvency ratios, averaging a drop of 9 percentage points, primarily due to the rebound in mainland bond yields negatively impacting solvency [1] Group 1: Insurance Companies' Performance - Major life insurance companies saw a quarterly decrease in core solvency ratios by 16 percentage points, while non-life insurance companies experienced a 3 percentage point increase [1] - Despite strong profit growth in the first three quarters, the volatility in solvency capital may offset year-end dividend forecasts, particularly for small and medium-sized life insurance companies [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - Morgan Stanley favors China Life (601628) due to its strong profitability and conservative capital management [1] - The firm also prefers Ping An (601318) based on its leading forecasted dividend yield of 6% for the next year compared to peers [1] Group 3: Management Responses - Insurance management teams have implemented several measures in response to the challenges, including issuing perpetual bonds, reducing equity risk exposure, and broadly decreasing non-standard asset balances [1]
小摩:核心偿付能力比率下降或影响内险股股息 偏好中国人寿(02628)及中国平安(02318)
智通财经网· 2025-11-07 09:06
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reports a decline in the core solvency ratio of several domestic insurance companies in Q3, averaging a decrease of 9 percentage points [1] - The rebound in mainland bond yields negatively impacts the solvency of multiple insurance firms, although strong profits and reserve growth help mitigate this effect [1] - The report favors China Life (02628) for its strong profitability and conservative capital management, and also prefers Ping An (02318) due to its leading forecasted dividend yield of 6% for next year [1] Industry Summary - Major life insurance companies in mainland China saw a 16 percentage point drop in their core solvency ratio in Q3, while non-life insurance companies experienced a 3 percentage point increase [1] - Insurance management teams are implementing various measures in response, including issuing perpetual bonds, reducing equity risk exposure, and broadly decreasing non-standard asset balances [1] - Despite strong profit growth for major insurance companies in the first three quarters, the volatility in solvency capital may become a significant offset to year-end dividend forecasts, particularly for small and medium-sized life insurance companies [1]