槓桿交易

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中移動88元阻力能否突破?窩輪牛熊高槓桿揀邊隻?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-14 04:57
參考上日(10日)收市資料顯示,中移動(00941)全日收報84.8元,單日漲幅0.53%,成交額達 18.93 億元,交投保持活躍,可見資金對其關注度未減。 支持位與阻力位方面,最新數據顯示中移動支持位分別在 81.6 元和 78.3 元,阻力位則調整至 88 元和 91.3 元,對比上日點評的阻力位略有變動。 截至今日(13日)上午9點40分,中移動最新報84元,暫微跌0.94%。現時股價距離88元阻力位尚有一定空間,若後市能帶量突破 88 元關口,有望進一步挑 戰 91.3 元高位;反之若未能站上 85 元整數關,則需關注 81.6 元附近的支持力度是否足夠。 回顧早前部署,2025 年 10 月 8 日提及的中移動窩輪同牛熊證表現相當突出,其中花旗認購證(13110)兩日升幅高達 44%,中銀認購證(25695)亦有 39% 升幅;牛熊證方面,滙豐牛證(64103)兩日升 13%,瑞銀牛證(63412)升 14%,而同期正股兩日升跌僅 1.92%,可見在把握對方向的情況下,窩輪與牛熊 證的槓桿效應能有效放大回報,跑贏正股表現。 上日我哋【港股播報】中都有點評中移動:大市下跌,中移動逆勢上揚,走勢比較醒 ...
建設銀行技術強勢結構下的輪證與牛證部署策略:短中期交易如何精準擴大勝率?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-04 10:59
Core Viewpoint - China Construction Bank (CCB) has shown strong stock performance, with a recent price of HKD 8.1, indicating a bullish trend and attracting investor attention [1][4][8]. Technical Analysis - CCB's stock has consistently maintained upward momentum, breaking through key moving averages and approaching significant resistance levels, suggesting a strong upward trajectory [1][4][8]. - The technical indicators are predominantly signaling a "strong buy," with a high rating of 16 points, indicating a consensus among various technical factors [7]. - The stock's recent price movements have resulted in a bullish alignment of moving averages, with the stock currently positioned above MA10 (HKD 7.90), MA30 (HKD 7.47), and MA60 (HKD 7.10) [4][8]. Market Activity - CCB's stock has experienced a moderate volatility of 3.6% over the past five days, with increased trading volume supporting the upward trend [4][8]. - The stock's RSI is currently at 72, indicating it is in the overbought territory, which may suggest potential short-term corrections but does not negate the overall bullish trend [4][8]. Derivative Products - Several derivative products linked to CCB have shown significant leverage effects, particularly call options, which have outperformed the underlying stock in terms of percentage gains [2][9]. - Specific call options, such as those from UBS and HSBC, are highlighted for their favorable pricing and leverage characteristics, making them suitable for investors looking to capitalize on CCB's upward movement [9]. - Conversely, put options from JPMorgan and Citigroup are noted for their potential in scenarios where stock price corrections are anticipated, providing investors with options for risk management [12]. Investment Strategy - The current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for both medium-term holders and short-term traders, with strategies suggested for entering positions around key support levels or after breaking through resistance [7][8]. - Investors are advised to consider the technical signals and market dynamics when selecting appropriate derivative products to enhance potential returns [8][9].
技術面突破初現,招商銀行有望展開新一輪升浪
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-24 09:48
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is gradually recovering, with specific high-quality blue-chip stocks, such as China Merchants Bank (3968.HK), showing potential for technical breakthroughs, making it a noteworthy option for short to medium-term traders [1][4]. Price Performance - As of June 23, China Merchants Bank's stock closed at HKD 53.9, up 1.51% for the day, indicating a favorable technical position [1]. - The stock recorded a 5% price fluctuation over the past five trading days, with a trading volume of HKD 1.078 billion, reflecting high market interest [1]. - The stock is currently above several key moving averages, suggesting a strengthening overall trend [1]. Technical Indicators - The 10-day moving average is at HKD 52.74, while the 30-day and 60-day moving averages are at HKD 50.5 and HKD 47.4, respectively, forming a bullish pattern known as a "golden cross" [1]. - The RSI indicator is at 67, indicating a slight overbought condition but still showing strong buying momentum without signs of a pullback [1][2]. - Other momentum indicators, such as CCI, MACD, and various oscillators, are also signaling bullish trends [2]. Support and Resistance Levels - Short-term support is at HKD 51.5, with a stronger support zone at HKD 49.4, indicating solid downside protection [2]. - The first resistance target is set at HKD 55.5, with a further target of HKD 57.2 if the initial resistance is breached [2]. - The estimated probability of an upward movement is 53%, slightly favoring bullish strategies [2]. Overall Technical Summary - The technical indicators collectively suggest a "strong buy" rating, with a high intensity score of 17 on June 23, making it one of the few stocks in the Hong Kong market to receive such a high technical evaluation [2][4]. - If the market continues to stabilize and trading volume remains active, the stock is expected to break through the HKD 55.5 resistance level, initiating the next upward phase [4]. Derivative Products - Two call options linked to China Merchants Bank are analyzed for potential investment strategies: - The first product, issued by UBS (code 17405), has a strike price of HKD 61.55 and an expiration date of November 24, 2025, with a premium of 18.11% and approximately 7.5 times leverage, suitable for conservative investors [5][6]. - The second product, issued by Citigroup (code 16652), has a lower premium of 14.16% and a higher leverage of 12.6 times, making it more suitable for aggressive investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements [6][8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider entering positions near support levels (e.g., HKD 51.5) with initial target prices set between HKD 55.5 and HKD 57.2, while placing stop-loss orders below HKD 49.4 to manage risk [4][8]. - The two call options provide different risk-return profiles, allowing investors to choose based on their risk tolerance and investment horizon [8].