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10月20日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、金沙、小米、比亞迪電子、中海油
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-21 04:06
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock index experienced a notable increase, closing at 25,858 points, showing a recovery from previous declines, although trading volume was relatively low [2] - Investors have mixed sentiments; some anticipate a continued upward trend towards 26,000 points or even 26,500 points, while others remain cautious due to low trading activity [2] Technical Signals - Current technical signals indicate a predominance of "buy" signals, with 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals, suggesting a slightly optimistic market sentiment [3] - The resistance level is identified at approximately 26,436 points, with a potential upward movement towards 27,000 points if this level is breached [4] Individual Stock Analysis Kuaishou-W (01024) - Kuaishou's stock price has shown a slight recovery, but overall sentiment remains bearish, with a current support level at 70.4 yuan; a drop below this could lead to further declines [5][7] - Short-term technical signals for Kuaishou indicate a "strong buy," suggesting potential for upward movement despite the overall weak sentiment [8] Sands China - Sands China's stock price increased by about 4.3%, with a current support level at 18 yuan; if this level is breached, it could drop to 16 yuan [11] - Technical signals for Sands China are predominantly "buy," with 10 buy signals and 5 sell signals, aligning with positive investor sentiment [11] Xiaomi Group-W (01810) - Xiaomi's stock price has rebounded slightly after a significant drop, with a current support level at 45.1 yuan; a breach could lead to a decline to 40.5 yuan [14] - The short-term technical signals for Xiaomi show a "strong buy," indicating potential for upward movement [14] BYD Electronic (00285) - BYD Electronic's stock price has also seen a slight recovery, with a support level at 37.4 yuan; a drop below this could lead to a decline to 34.3 yuan [18] - The technical signals for BYD Electronic are primarily "buy," with 10 buy signals and 5 sell signals, reflecting a slight improvement in market sentiment [18] CNOOC (00883) - CNOOC's stock price has risen to 19.04 yuan, standing above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands; however, 19 yuan is seen as a challenging resistance level [21] - Current technical signals are neutral, indicating uncertainty about the stock's ability to break through the 19 yuan level [21]
10月15日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、匯豐、平安、吉利、港交所
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-16 04:03
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a slight recovery, closing at 25,910 points, just below the 26,000-point mark, leading to investor expectations for a potential breakthrough [1] - Bearish investors believe the index will not reach 26,000 points and are opting for bearish overnight positions, while some investors are taking long positions with a bullish outlook [1][3] Technical Signals - Current short-term signals lean towards "buy," with 9 buy signals and 6 sell signals, indicating a slightly positive sentiment [4] - Key support levels are identified at approximately 25,398 points and 24,600 points, with resistance at 26,500 points [4] Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's stock price closed at 627 HKD, showing a weak rebound, with concerns about insufficient upward momentum [7][9] - Short-term technical signals indicate a "buy" with 9 buy signals and 4 sell signals, but the stock faces resistance at 653 HKD and needs to break this level to target 668 HKD [9] HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) - HSBC's stock price rebounded slightly to 103 HKD, raising questions about whether this is a good entry point around the 100 HKD mark [10][12] - Technical signals show a "buy" with 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals, but caution is advised as support is at 99.6 HKD [12] Ping An Insurance (02318.HK) - Ping An's stock closed at 54.75 HKD, with investors questioning if 55 HKD is a significant resistance level [15][18] - The technical outlook is neutral, with 6 buy signals and 7 sell signals, indicating no clear trend [18] Geely Automobile (00175.HK) - Geely's stock price closed at 17.17 HKD, with a general bearish sentiment among investors who believe the rebound may end soon [21][24] - Technical signals show 8 sell signals and 6 buy signals, suggesting a bearish outlook with support at 18.4 HKD [24] Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) - The stock closed at 427.8 HKD, with investors speculating on whether it can stabilize above 430 HKD for further upward movement [27][30] - Current technical signals indicate a "buy" with 11 buy signals and 4 sell signals, suggesting potential for further gains if it breaks resistance at 442 HKD [30]
中移動88元阻力能否突破?窩輪牛熊高槓桿揀邊隻?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-14 04:57
Core Viewpoint - China Mobile (00941) shows resilience in a declining market, with a recent closing price of 84.8 HKD, reflecting a daily increase of 0.53% and a trading volume of 1.893 billion HKD, indicating sustained investor interest [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for China Mobile indicates a 56% probability of price increase, with a 5-day volatility of 2.8%. The overall technical indicators maintain a "buy" signal with a strength of 7. However, some indicators suggest potential short-term fluctuations [1][3]. - Support levels are identified at 81.6 HKD and 78.3 HKD, while resistance levels are adjusted to 88 HKD and 91.3 HKD. The current price is slightly below the resistance level, suggesting potential upward movement if it can break through [3][10]. Investment Products - For investors optimistic about China Mobile's future performance, options include Citibank's call warrant (13110) and Bank of China's call warrant (25695), which have leverage ratios of 20.1x and 23.6x, respectively. These products offer lower implied volatility, making them cost-effective [5][7]. - For those concerned about short-term price adjustments, a put warrant (21480) is recommended, featuring a leverage of 11.8x and a strike price of 75.88 HKD, with the lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products [5][7]. Market Performance - Recent performance of warrants linked to China Mobile has been notable, with Citibank's call warrant (13110) rising by 44% and Bank of China's call warrant (25695) increasing by 39% over two days, demonstrating the effectiveness of leveraging in capturing returns [3][5]. - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with China Mobile's stock price fluctuating below the 88 HKD resistance level, indicating a potential for upward movement if market conditions improve [10][12].
8月20日【港股Podcast】恆指、舜宇、美團、東方甄選、騰訊、人壽
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 11:17
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,165 points, maintaining support at the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 25,142 points, with a downward trend signal [1] - Resistance is noted at 25,491 points, while support is at 24,744 points [1] Group 2: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical's stock price rose sharply, closing at HKD 82.25, marking a 9.74% increase, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band [6] - The stock is given a "strong buy" signal, with resistance levels at HKD 88.6 and HKD 89.6, indicating potential to reach HKD 90 [6] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock price is stable around HKD 120, with a "sell" signal reflecting bearish investor sentiment [12] - Support levels are at HKD 117.3 and HKD 113.1, while resistance is at HKD 125.3 [12] Group 4: Dongfang Zhenxuan (01797.HK) - Dongfang Zhenxuan's stock has shown significant volatility, closing at HKD 37.14 after reaching a high of HKD 53.7 [18] - The stock is rated as a "buy" with a slight positive outlook, and resistance is noted at HKD 47 [18] Group 5: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's stock closed at HKD 590.5, with a cautious "buy" signal amid a sideways trading pattern [20] - Resistance is at HKD 608, while a bear certificate with a redemption price of HKD 610 is considered safe for investors [20] Group 6: China Life Insurance (02628.HK) - China Life's stock closed at HKD 24.62, having nearly doubled since April, indicating a long-term bullish outlook [26] - The stock is rated as a "buy," with short-term support at HKD 22.1 and a more conservative level at HKD 21.1, while resistance is at HKD 25.8 and HKD 27.1 [26]
科技股波動加劇:小米當前價位的多空分析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 10:58
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock price is currently experiencing significant selling pressure, with a recent decline of 1.05% to HKD 56.8, indicating active market trading and a neutral signal without a clear direction [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is positioned slightly below the 10-day moving average of HKD 57.49, yet remains above the 30-day moving average of HKD 56.96 and the 60-day moving average of HKD 54.55, suggesting short-term adjustment pressure but no significant damage to the medium-term trend [1]. - Key support levels are identified at HKD 55.2 and HKD 53.6, while resistance levels are at HKD 58.4 and HKD 60.3. A rebound above HKD 57.5 could challenge the resistance at HKD 58.4, whereas a drop below HKD 55.2 may lead to a decline towards HKD 53.6 [4]. Market Sentiment - Technical indicators show mixed signals, with multiple moving averages issuing sell signals, but the overall market sentiment is not strongly bearish, as indicated by a sell strength of only 10. The RSI is at 53, indicating a neutral zone [4]. - Recent performance in the derivative market shows a significant increase in bearish instruments when Xiaomi's stock price fell by 2.82% on July 24, with notable gains in related put options [4]. Derivative Instruments - Investors looking for bullish positions may consider UBS call options (14816) with a strike price of HKD 61.05, offering a leverage of 5.9 times and low implied volatility. HSBC call options (14677) have the same strike price but offer slightly higher leverage at 6.1 times [7]. - For bearish investors, options such as Bank of China put options (14387) with a strike price of HKD 46.45 and leverage of 3.09 times, or UBS put options (17706) with a strike price of HKD 53.94 and leverage of 4.8 times, are available [7]. Investment Strategy - In the current market environment, a cautious approach is recommended, waiting for a clear breakout above HKD 57.5 or a drop below HKD 55.2 before making further moves. A range trading strategy could be beneficial, positioning call options near support levels and put options near resistance levels [13].
7月8日【中銀做客】:恆指、阿里巴巴、美團、寧德時代、小米集團、騰訊
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-09 01:52
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has stabilized above 24,000, closing at 24,148 points, with an increase in overall trading volume to HKD 213.2 billion [3] - There is a market expectation that if the HSI remains above 24,000, it could challenge levels between 24,500 and 25,000 [3][4] - The market is currently digesting momentum, with three IPOs scheduled for Wednesday, indicating investor interest in speculative opportunities [3] Investment Products - For bullish investors, a specific bull certificate (BOC Bull Certificate 68283) with a redemption price of 23,688 is recommended, as it is unlikely to be redeemed if the HSI stays above 24,000 [3][4] - The distribution of bull and bear certificates shows 65% of investors are bullish, while 35% are bearish, indicating a predominance of bullish sentiment [4] Individual Stocks - Alibaba (9988) has seen significant inflows of HKD 40 million over the past five trading days, making it the top stock in terms of capital inflow [9] - Meituan (03690) has experienced a 2.7% increase in stock price, reaching HKD 122, with bullish sentiment supported by recent trading activity [11] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) has reached a new high of HKD 364, with a recommendation for a specific bull certificate (BOC Bull Certificate 16854) with a strike price of HKD 428.2 [15] Technical Analysis - The technical signals for the HSI indicate 14 buy signals and 2 sell signals, suggesting a bullish outlook [4][11] - For Xiaomi (01810), the stock price has recently reached a high of HKD 61.45, with a recommendation for a bull certificate (BOC Bull Certificate 15166) with a strike price of HKD 68 [20] - Tencent (00700) has found support at HKD 500, with potential to test previous highs around HKD 520, supported by recent buying activity in bull certificates [22]