台风"博罗依"登陆越南 广西云南等地有强降雨 中新社北京9月29日电 (记者 陈溯)记者29日从中国气象局获悉，今年第20号台风"博罗依"于29日凌晨登 陆越南，广西、云南等地有强降雨。 中央气象台29日6时发布台风蓝色预警。台风"博罗依"的中心已于29日1时30分前后在越南河静省沿海登 陆，登陆时中心附近最大风力有11级(30米/秒)，中心最低气压为980百帕。29日5时，"博罗依"的中心位 于越南河静省境内，中心附近最大风力有11级(30米/秒)，中心最低气压为980百帕，七级风圈半径220至 250公里，十级风圈半径60至80公里。 中央气象台预计，"博罗依"将以每小时25至30公里的速度向西偏北方向移动，强度快速减弱。29日8时 至30日8时，南海西部、西沙群岛附近海域、北部湾、琼州海峡、广东西部沿海、海南岛及沿海、广西 沿海将有6至8级、阵风9至10级的大风，其中，北部湾偏南海域的风力有9至10级、阵风11至12级。 29日，"博罗依"及其残余环流带来的强降雨主要影响广西、云南等地，部分地区有暴雨或大暴雨。 另外，今年第19号台风"浣熊"(台风级)的中心29日5时位于日本东京偏东方向约2780公里的 ...

Group 1 - Typhoon "Hagupit" is expected to be the strongest typhoon to make landfall in China this year, with significant impacts anticipated [1] - The typhoon has a diameter exceeding 1000 kilometers, indicating its large energy and abundant moisture, necessitating high attention to its subsequent effects [1] - The cold air moving southward is influencing the typhoon's path, which will primarily move westward along the coasts of Guangdong and Guangxi [1] Group 2 - The typhoon's wind radius is 150 kilometers, and vessels in the affected sea areas are advised to return to port and secure port facilities [1] - The combination of the astronomical tide during the lunar calendar's third day and the storm surge from "Hagupit" may lead to seawater backflow in the Pearl River Estuary [2] - Residents are urged to prepare emergency supplies, secure windows and doors, avoid going outside, and closely monitor relevant warnings and forecasts [2]

Core Insights - The reinsurance industry is increasingly cautious due to rising climate risks, with major reinsurers significantly reducing their exposure to catastrophic insurance losses by over 50% in the past five years [1][2] - The industry has established substantial buffers to manage potential losses, with large reinsurers now capable of handling approximately $300 billion in insurance losses equivalent to three "Katrina" scale hurricanes within a year [2] - Natural disaster-related insurance losses are projected to exceed $150 billion this year, significantly higher than the average over the past decade [2] Reinsurance Industry Trends - Reinsurers are prioritizing profitability over growth, particularly in the U.S. property and casualty insurance sector, and are rejecting business that does not meet strict risk-return standards [3] - A survey by Moody's indicates that 75% of respondents expect property reinsurance prices to decline, with some anticipating a decrease of up to 7.5% next year [3] - The frequency of extreme weather events has increased dramatically, from about 50 events annually in the 1970s to nearly 200 in the past decade, posing significant long-term challenges for the reinsurance industry [3] Risk Management Strategies - Reinsurers are raising the payout trigger points to mitigate exposure to secondary risks, which are harder to model and price [4] - The industry has allocated a total budget of $21 billion to address disaster losses by 2025, but only half of this budget has been utilized so far [4] - In contrast, primary insurers in the U.S. have already used 80% of their disaster loss budgets, largely due to the impact of California wildfires [4]

Core Points - Typhoon "Yangliu" formed on August 5, 2023, in the northwest Pacific Ocean, expected to strengthen and make landfall in southeastern Taiwan around noon on August 13 [1] - The typhoon is projected to re-make landfall in the coastal areas of southern Fujian to eastern Guangdong as a strong tropical storm on the night of August 13 to the early morning of August 14 [1] Weather Impact - From August 14 to 16, Guangxi will experience significant rainfall from east to west, with heavy rain mainly in eastern and northern Guangxi [1] - On the night of August 12 to the daytime of August 13, scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected across the region, with localized heavy rain in cities like Qinzhou, Beihai, and Yulin [1] - From the night of August 13 to the daytime of August 14, parts of eastern Guangxi may see moderate to heavy rain, localized torrential rain, and strong convective weather [1] - The weather forecast indicates an increase in rainfall over the next three days, raising concerns about the adverse effects on transportation, tourism, and urban operations, as well as potential secondary disasters like flash floods and geological hazards [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the expected heavy rainfall and severe weather conditions in Guangxi from August 4 to 5, due to the northward movement of the monsoon trough, with significant impacts anticipated in various regions [1] Weather Forecast - Heavy rain to torrential rain is expected in most parts of Guangxi, particularly in eastern and southern regions, with cumulative rainfall reaching 100-200 millimeters and localized areas up to 300 millimeters [1] - Other areas may see cumulative rainfall of 50-100 millimeters, with maximum hourly rainfall of 30-50 millimeters and localized amounts exceeding 80 millimeters [1] Weather Progression - On August 4, eastern and southern Guangxi will experience heavy rain to torrential rain, while other areas will have light to moderate rain, with some regions facing heavy rain or torrential rain [1] - On August 5, central and southern Guangxi will continue to see heavy rain to torrential rain, with other areas experiencing moderate rain and localized heavy rain or torrential rain [1] - By August 6, the area of heavy rainfall will shift northwest, with a slight decrease in intensity, affecting western and northern Guangxi with moderate to heavy rain and localized torrential rain [1] - On August 7, the entire region will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers or thunderstorms, and temperatures in eastern and southern Guangxi will reach 34°C to 36°C, with some areas exceeding 37°C [1] Safety Precautions - Meteorological authorities advise caution against potential secondary disasters such as urban flooding and small river floods due to heavy rainfall, emphasizing the need for safety management in urban operations and agricultural production [1] - The strong rainfall is often accompanied by thunderstorms and short-term strong winds, necessitating precautions for outdoor activities [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The province is expected to experience intermittent rainfall from July 2 to July 8, with significant rainfall and potential severe weather events such as thunderstorms, strong winds, and hail due to the influence of subtropical high pressure and upper-level troughs [1][2]. Group 1: Weather Impact - The rainfall in northern Shaanxi is expected to be prolonged, while western and northwestern Guanzhong will experience intense rainfall, leading to high cumulative precipitation and short-duration heavy rain [1]. - There is a high risk of secondary disasters such as mountain floods, geological hazards, and urban flooding due to the heavy rainfall, particularly in northern Shaanxi where some small and medium rivers are nearing warning levels [1]. - High temperatures in eastern Guanzhong and eastern Ankang may trigger localized severe convective weather, including thunderstorms and hail [1]. Group 2: Agricultural Recommendations - Agricultural experts recommend timely irrigation in areas like southern Xianyang, northern Xi'an, and Weinan, where soil moisture is lacking, and to implement measures such as spraying and shading in kiwi and grape planting areas to prevent sunburn from high temperatures [1]. - Farmers in northern Shaanxi and western Guanzhong should clear drainage ditches in advance to mitigate the adverse effects of water accumulation on crops and enhance pest monitoring and control [1]. - In apple and kiwi production areas in northern Shaanxi and western Guanzhong, precautions should be taken against wind and hail damage to branches and fruits [1]. Group 3: Transportation and Tourism - The rainfall is causing slippery conditions on roads and railways in northern Shaanxi, western and northwestern Guanzhong, with specific highways and rail lines experiencing significant rainfall and high risks of secondary disasters affecting transportation safety [2]. - With the increase in tourists during the summer, local tourism departments are advised to monitor weather forecasts and warnings to mitigate the adverse impacts of severe weather on tourist attractions and outdoor facilities [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the ongoing weather conditions in China, with significant rainfall in certain regions and high temperatures in others, necessitating public awareness and preparedness for potential secondary disasters [1][4]. - The strong rainfall areas have reduced, but regions like Guizhou and Guangxi still face risks of geological disasters such as landslides and mudslides due to previous heavy rainfall [4]. - The southern regions, particularly Jiangnan, are experiencing prolonged high temperatures, with some areas like Zhejiang and Shanghai exceeding 37°C, indicating a need for public heat prevention measures [1][4]. Group 2 - The Central Meteorological Observatory forecasts heavy rainfall in various regions, including parts of Hebei, Shandong, and Jiangsu, with localized areas experiencing severe downpours [1][2]. - The upcoming week is expected to see a continuation of high temperatures across southern China, with cities like Hangzhou facing sauna-like conditions, where nighttime temperatures remain high [4]. - As the subtropical high pressure strengthens, central and eastern regions will likely experience a resurgence of high temperatures, with cities like Zhengzhou projected to reach around 37°C [4].

Group 1 - The strong rainfall in southern China is expected to reduce, but areas like Guizhou and Hunan still need to be cautious of secondary disasters due to overlapping rainfall regions [1][5] - A new round of heavy rainfall has peaked, with significant rainfall recorded in various regions including Chongqing, Guizhou, and Hunan, with Wenchang in Hainan experiencing 211.9 mm of rainfall [2][3] - Meteorological departments warn of potential geological disasters such as flash floods and landslides in areas with high rainfall overlap, particularly in Guizhou and Hunan [5][6] Group 2 - High temperatures have been prevalent in regions like Xinjiang, with local temperatures exceeding 40°C, while the North China Plain is experiencing a temporary reduction in high temperatures [6] - The eastern part of Jiangnan is expected to see an increase in high temperatures, with cities like Hangzhou and Changsha reaching above 35°C [6] - Fuzhou has experienced continuous high temperatures for six days, with the potential for a full attendance of high temperatures in late June [6]

Core Points - Southern China is experiencing continuous rainfall, with a new round of heavy rain expected to arrive tomorrow, potentially leading to secondary disasters [1][2][6] - The temperature in southern regions remains significantly lower than the same period in previous years due to frequent rainfall, while northern areas are seeing a rise in temperatures [1][7] Summary by Sections Rainfall and Weather Conditions - Strong rainfall has been observed in parts of Southwest and South China, with specific areas like Hainan experiencing heavy to torrential rain [2][4] - The Central Meteorological Observatory forecasts that today, regions including Xinjiang, Qinghai, Gansu, and parts of Sichuan and Yunnan will experience moderate to heavy rain, with some areas facing torrential rain [2][5] Temperature Trends - The eastern and southern parts of Southwest China, as well as central and western Jiangnan, are expected to see moderate to heavy rain, with some areas in Guizhou and Hunan facing heavy or torrential rain [4] - In contrast, northern regions are experiencing a rise in temperatures, with areas in Northeast China potentially reaching 30°C, marking the first occurrence of such temperatures this year [7]

Weather Overview - A significant weather change has occurred in China, with the transition from high temperatures to strong rainfall and cooling temperatures starting from May 21 [1] - The southern regions are experiencing their strongest rainfall period, particularly in Jianghan, Jiangnan, and South China [1] Rainfall Forecast - The current round of heavy rainfall in the south is expected to last until May 24, with areas such as southwestern Anhui, northern Jiangxi, southwestern Zhejiang, and northwestern Fujian facing potential heavy downpours [2] - After May 24, the rainfall will begin to taper off, but localized heavy rain may still occur in central and southern South China [3] Temperature Changes - A significant drop in temperatures has been observed in northern regions, with areas like Shanxi experiencing a temperature decrease of 12-26°C, dropping from over 35°C to around 10°C [5] - The cooling trend will extend southward, affecting Jiangsu and Anhui, with temperatures expected to drop to around 10°C [5] - In the following days, most northern areas will see maximum temperatures below 25°C, with some regions even below 20°C, which is significantly lower than the seasonal average [5] Future Weather Outlook - By the weekend, temperatures in the north are expected to rise again as the cold air moves away, with some areas in the northwest and northeast potentially reaching new highs for the year [8] - However, the southern regions will continue to be affected by rainfall, leading to a cooler and wetter week ahead [8]