中央气象台10月11日6时继续发布暴雨蓝色预警： 预计，10月11日08时至12日8时，四川盆地西北部、甘肃东部、陕西中部和南部、山西中南部、河北南 部、山东北部及海南岛东部、西藏东南部等地部分地区有大到暴雨，其中，陕西南部、四川盆地西北部 等地局地有大暴雨（100～130毫米）。 最高气温：德州、济南和淄博16℃左右，枣庄、临沂和南部沿海地区22℃左右，其他地区18℃左右。 12日白天到夜间，全省天气阴，鲁西北、鲁中和鲁南地区有中雨局部大雨，其他地区有小雨局部中雨。 北风，沿海地区4～5级阵风6～7级，其他地区4级阵风5～6级。 夜间最低气温：鲁西北和鲁中山区12℃左右，其他地区14℃左右。 最高气温：菏泽、聊城、德州和鲁中山区16℃左右，南部沿海地区20℃左右，其他地区18℃左右。 13日白天到夜间，鲁南和南部沿海地区天气阴有小雨局部中雨，鲁西北地区天气多云，其他地区天气阴 局部有小雨转多云。北风，南部沿海地区4级阵风5～6级减弱到3～4级，其他地区3～4级。 上述部分地区伴有短时强降水（最大小时降雨量20～30毫米，局地可超过40毫米），局地有雷暴大风等 强对流天气。 10日，山东省中北部地区出现明显降 ...

| 呼和浩特市水务局 | | --- | | 呼和浩特水文水资源分中心 | | 呼和浩特市气象局 | | 联合发布 | | 山洪灾害气象风险预警 | 呼和浩特市水务局、呼和浩特水文水资源分中心、呼和浩特市气象局 2025年10月7日联合发布山洪灾害气象风险预警: 预计8日凌晨至9日上午,武川北部25毫米以内,武川南部、土左、市四 区、托县北部、和林北部25-50毫米,托县南部、和林南部、清水河可达50- 80毫米,最大小时雨强为10-20毫米。 今天是寒露节气，作为秋季的第五个节气，此时鸿雁南飞，雀鸟匿迹，菊绽金黄，正是万物收敛、秋意最浓的时节。寒露至，昼暖夜凉，天地悄然染上深 秋的韵味，正是登高望远、踏秋寻幽的好时机。寒露，内蒙古的天气也十分应景，阴雨湿冷的天气与"寒露"节气相得益彰。在这连阴多雨的天气里，气温 将继续走低，我们将逐渐走出秋天，迫近那冻人的寒冬。 八天的长假在今天终止，雨水却拉开架势，给本就拥堵的归程增添难题，让城市和乡野复归了潮湿。近几日20℃的气温，被迫走低，向着15℃以下，局地 10℃以下，一路下跌不抬头。 预计未来三天，鄂尔多斯东部、呼和浩特市南部、乌兰察布市南部累计雨量大，可能引发 ...

我省再迎降雨整体雨势平缓 需防范对秋收秋种等影响 记者10月3日从省气象台了解到，受切变线影响，预计4日下午到6日夜间，我省有一次降雨过程， 鲁中地区雨量较大，降雨主要集中在4日夜间到6日白天。全省累积平均降水量35～45毫米，其中，聊 城、德州、济南、淄博、潍坊、泰安、菏泽、济宁北部、临沂北部和日照40～70毫米局部100～150毫 米；滨州、东营、青岛、烟台、济宁南部和枣庄北部25～35毫米局部50毫米以上；其他地区5～15毫 米。最大小时降水量10～30毫米。 详细预报来看，4日下午到5日白天，德州、聊城、济南、泰安、淄博、潍坊、菏泽、济宁、枣庄、 临沂和日照有中到大雨局部暴雨，其他地区有小到中雨局部大雨。 5日夜间到6日白天，德州、聊城、滨州、东营、济南、泰安、淄博、潍坊、临沂北部、青岛、烟台 和威海有中到大雨局部暴雨，其他地区有小到中雨局部大雨。 6日夜间，全省有小雨。 气象部门提醒，此次降雨过程以稳定性降水为主，整体雨势平缓，但降雨持续时间长，累积雨量较 大，需防范对秋收秋种、交通出行、旅游等的不利影响。叠加前期降雨，需防范山洪、地质灾害、城市 暴雨积涝、农田渍涝等次生灾害，做好地质脆弱地区风险排 ...

Core Insights - The National Disaster Reduction Committee and various ministries have assessed the natural disaster risk for October 2025, highlighting significant risks from floods, typhoons, forest fires, geological disasters, and droughts during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [1][2][3] Flood and Storm Risk - High risks of floods and storm damage are anticipated in regions such as North China, South China, and Northwest China, with potential for short-term heavy rainfall and severe weather events [1] - Specific river basins, including the Yellow River and Yangtze River, may experience flood levels exceeding warning thresholds [1] Typhoon Risk - An expected 3 to 5 typhoons may form in the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea in October, which is above the average of 3.5 typhoons for this period, with 1 to 2 potentially making landfall in China [2] Forest and Grassland Fire Risk - Areas including northern Beijing, northern Hebei, and parts of Inner Mongolia and Northeast China are facing high forest fire risks, with certain regions experiencing extreme fire danger levels [2] Geological Disaster Risk - Regions such as Northwest Shanxi, Southern Zhejiang, and parts of Guangdong and Sichuan are identified as having a high risk of geological disasters due to rainfall and other factors [2] Drought Risk - Moderate meteorological drought conditions are present in parts of Hunan and Jiangxi, with expectations of high temperatures and low rainfall potentially exacerbating drought conditions in East and Central China [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - A significant weather event is expected in the province from September 15 to 17, characterized by heavy rainfall, strong winds, and temperature drops, with warnings issued for potential natural disasters [1][2]. Weather Forecast - The province will experience a large-scale rain and wind event from the afternoon of September 15 to the daytime of September 17, with rainfall primarily concentrated on the night of September 16 [1]. - Cumulative average precipitation is expected to be between 30 to 50 millimeters, with certain areas like Jinan, Taian, and others potentially receiving 40 to 70 millimeters, and localized areas could see up to 200 millimeters [1]. Wind and Temperature Changes - Northeastern winds are forecasted with gusts reaching 7 to 8 levels in the Bohai Sea and surrounding areas, and a temperature drop of 6 to 8 degrees Celsius is anticipated [2]. - The minimum temperature across the province is expected to be around 16 degrees Celsius on the morning of September 18 [2]. Flood and Disaster Warnings - A joint warning for mountain flood disasters has been issued, indicating a high possibility of such events in areas like Zaozhuang and Linyi from the evening of September 15 to the evening of September 16 [2]. - Areas under yellow and blue warning levels have been specified, highlighting the risk of secondary disasters such as urban flooding and geological hazards [2].

Group 1 - The Guangxi Hydrology Center predicts significant water level rises of 2 to 8 meters in rivers such as the Gui River, Xiang River, Zi River, He River, Luo Qing River, and Liu River, with potential for exceeding warning levels in certain areas [1] - The Guangxi Meteorological Bureau forecasts heavy rain to torrential rain from August 14 to 15, with localized extreme weather events expected, particularly during the night of August 14 to the daytime of August 15 [1] - A four-level emergency response for flood prevention has been activated by the Guangxi Flood Control and Drought Relief Command on August 14 at 19:00 [1] Group 2 - A yellow warning for geological disasters has been issued by the Guangxi Natural Resources Department, indicating a high risk of geological disasters in several cities and counties from August 14 to 15 [2] - Specific areas at risk include Liuzhou, Guilin, Wuzhou, Guigang, Yulin, Hezhou, and several autonomous counties, highlighting the widespread nature of the geological risk [2]

Group 1 - The Central Meteorological Administration predicts heavy rainfall and severe convective weather in various regions including Jianghan, Jianghuai, Chongqing, Guizhou, and Hunan from the night of August 11 to August 12 [1] - An orange flood disaster meteorological warning and geological disaster meteorological risk warning were jointly issued by the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources, and the China Meteorological Administration [1] - There is a high possibility of mountain flood disasters in parts of southwestern Hubei, northwestern Hunan, eastern Chongqing, and northwestern Yunnan from 20:00 on August 11 to 20:00 on August 12 [1] Group 2 - On August 7, a mountain flood disaster occurred in Ma Po Township, Yuzhong County, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province due to heavy rainfall [2] - A total of 856 personnel, 142 vehicles, 16 boats, and 11 dogs from the national comprehensive fire rescue team were dispatched for rescue operations [2] - As of 19:00 on August 11, the rescue teams had successfully rescued 8 individuals and evacuated 479 trapped individuals [2]

Group 1 - A significant rain belt along the Yangtze River has caused frequent rainfall in the Sichuan-Chongqing and Jiangsu-Anhui regions, with rainfall intensity varying greatly and localized heavy downpours observed [1] - Monitoring data indicates that from the 9th, areas in eastern Sichuan, Chongqing, and Hubei experienced rainfall between 50 to 100 millimeters, with localized areas in Chengdu and Deyang reaching 253 to 349 millimeters [1] - Meteorological experts predict that from the 11th to the 12th, the rain belt will persist, with parts of Sichuan, Chongqing, northern Guizhou, northern Yunnan, Hubei, northern Hunan, Anhui, and Jiangsu expected to experience heavy to extremely heavy rainfall [1] Group 2 - Different types of rainfall can trigger geological disasters, with short-duration heavy rainfall leading to rapid surface runoff that can cause mudslides and shallow landslides due to soil saturation [2] - Continuous rainfall allows water to seep into deeper soil layers, increasing the weight of the rock and soil, which can lead to deep landslides when the friction between layers is weakened [2] - The risk of landslides does not cease immediately after rainfall, as water continues to infiltrate the soil, potentially leading to landslides days after the rain has stopped [2]

Group 1 - The autonomous region's water conservancy and meteorological departments issued a mountain flood disaster weather warning, indicating a high possibility of such disasters in northern Liuzhou and eastern Hechi from 20:00 on August 6 to 20:00 on August 7 [1] - Since August 4, the eastern and southern regions of Guangxi have been experiencing continuous heavy rainfall, with some areas facing extreme downpours. For instance, the town of Zhaikou recorded a total rainfall of 436.1 millimeters from 08:00 on August 5 to 08:00 on August 6, with a peak hourly rainfall of 124.7 millimeters [1] - Monitoring by hydrological departments indicated that strong rainfall caused two rivers to exceed warning levels by 0.09 to 0.71 meters, although water levels in major rivers had receded below warning levels by 20:00 on August 6 [1] Group 2 - Meteorological forecasts predict a reduction in rainfall on August 7, with cumulative rainfall in northern Guangxi and coastal areas expected to reach 80 to 200 millimeters, and localized areas exceeding 250 millimeters [2] - The risk of disasters such as urban flooding, small river floods, and landslides remains high due to overlapping heavy rainfall areas [2] - Following the rainfall, there is a potential for high temperatures to develop in central and northern Guangxi, with a gradual expansion of high-temperature areas [2]

Summary of Key Points - The weather forecast indicates that Beijing will experience scattered showers or thunderstorms in the coming days, with significant rainfall expected around August 4 [1][2] - The temperature in Beijing has slightly decreased, with a maximum of 30.3°C recorded recently, but the humidity will make it feel hot during the day [1][2] - The Beijing Meteorological Station predicts that the weather will transition from sunny to cloudy, with varying temperatures and conditions over the next few days, including thunderstorms and rain [2] - Public safety measures are advised due to the potential for geological disasters from accumulated rainfall, particularly in mountainous and valley areas [2]