欧元兑美元在周一于1.1650区域受阻后，仍维持在1.1600上方 全球债券抛售推升美国国债收益率，为美元提供一定支撑 衡量美元兑六种主要货币汇率的美元指数（DXY）周一获得支撑，尽管美国ISM制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）疲软——该数据表明制造业活动连续第九个 月萎缩，新订单和就业岗位减少，通胀压力上升。 日本央行行长植田和男周一引发市场震荡，暗示可能在12月加息。此番言论触发全球债券市场抛售潮，推升美国国债收益率，为疲软美元提供支撑。 周二早间日本国债拍卖反响良好，在一定程度上缓解了市场担忧，但风险偏好仍显疲软。今日美国经济数据清淡，市场焦点仍将集中于周三公布的ISM服务 业PMI及ADP就业变化报告。 周一公布的美国ISM制造业PMI显示，11月制造业活动进一步收缩，指数从10月的48.7降至48.2，远低于预期值48.6。新订单指数从49.4跌至47.4，就业指数 从10月的46降至11月的44。支付价格指数从58.0升至58.5，凸显贸易关税引发的通胀压力。 欧元区制造业数据同样令人失望。最终版HCOB制造业PMI从10月持平于50.0的水平，经下修后降至11月五个月低点49.6（初值为49.7）。 ...

Group 1 - The euro is currently trading around 1.1426 against the US dollar, showing a decline of 0.12% from the previous close of 1.1439 [1] - This week is significant for euro traders due to the release of two high-impact financial data points: the preliminary harmonized consumer price index (HICP) for May and the revised GDP for the first quarter [2] - A slowdown in the HICP data could weaken the euro, indicating reduced inflationary pressure in the eurozone, which may increase the likelihood of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) [2] Group 2 - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut from the ECB, but actual actions may not sufficiently weaken the euro, as another cut is expected by year-end [2] - Political instability within Europe, particularly related to Ukraine and Palestine, continues to be a concern for euro traders [2] - Any progress in ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine could positively impact the euro, while easing trade tensions between the EU and the US may also support the euro [2] Group 3 - The initial support level for the euro against the dollar is at the 55-day moving average of 1.1175, with further support levels at the May low of 1.1064 and the psychological level of 1.1000 [2] - If these levels are breached, the euro may test the critical 200-day moving average support at 1.0815 [2] - Momentum indicators show divergence, with the average directional index (ADX) around 20 indicating weakening trend strength, while the relative strength index (RSI) breaking above 60 suggests increasing bullish momentum [2]