2026 年 1 月 14 日下午，中国汽车工业协会信息发布会在北京召开。本次发布会内容主 要包括 2025 年 12 月及全年汽车产销数据及经济运行情况、 2026 年汽车市场预测情况 等。中国汽车工业协会副秘书长陈士华、杨中平，中国汽车工业经济技术信息研究所副总经 理朱孔源出席本次发布会。中国汽车工业协会副秘书长柳燕主持发布会。 同时，在本次发布会上，中国汽车工业协会副秘书长杨中平和中国汽车工业经济技术信息 研究所副总经理朱孔源发布了《 2025 城市 NOA 汽车辅助驾驶研究报告》。 2025 年，汽车产销累计完成 3453.1 万辆和 3440 万辆，产销量再创历史新高，连续 17 年稳居全球第一。其中，乘用车市场稳健增长，作为汽车消费的核心组成部分，有效拉动 汽车市场的整体增长；商用车市场回暖向好，产销实现 10% 以上增长，回归 400 万辆以 上；新动能加快释放，新能源汽车产销超 1600 万辆，国内新车销量占比超 50% ，成为我 国汽车市场主导力量；对外贸易呈现出较强韧性，汽车出口超 700 万辆，新能源汽车出口达 261.5 万辆，出口规模再上新台阶。 2026 年，我国经济工作坚持稳中求 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive trajectory of China's automotive market in the first half of 2025, driven by government policies and consumer demand, while also acknowledging the challenges posed by competition and external uncertainties [2][3]. Economic Performance - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP growth reached 5.3%, indicating a stable economic environment that supports the automotive market [2]. - The automotive market experienced a retail growth of 10.8% for passenger vehicles and 33.3% for new energy vehicles from January to June [2]. Market Predictions - The Passenger Car Association predicts the following for 2025: - Retail sales of passenger cars to reach 24.35 million units, a 6% increase, with an upward revision of 300,000 units from previous forecasts [2]. - Exports of passenger cars to hit 5.46 million units, a 14% increase, with a revision of 160,000 units from earlier estimates [2]. - Wholesale of new energy passenger cars to reach 15.48 million units, a 27% increase, with a slight decrease in forecast from June [2]. - Total automotive wholesale to be 34.04 million units, an 8% increase, with a 5 percentage point increase from earlier predictions [2]. Market Dynamics - The automotive market is characterized by a "recovery growth, structural adjustment, and profit pressure" trajectory [2]. - The first half of 2025 saw a strong retail performance, with a cumulative retail of 10.91 million units, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth [6]. Production Insights - Passenger car production in June 2025 was 2.41 million units, a 13% year-on-year increase, but showed signs of slowing growth compared to earlier months [7][9]. - The production for the first half of 2025 totaled 13.24 million units, also reflecting a 13% year-on-year increase [9]. Export Performance - In the first half of 2025, China exported 3.48 million vehicles, an 18% year-on-year increase, with June exports reaching 620,000 units, a 28% increase year-on-year [10]. - The export market has shown strong growth, with a notable increase in competitiveness of Chinese automotive products in international markets [9][10].