今年以来，我国消费市场在政策支持和内生动力的共同作用下呈现出"总体平稳、结构优化"的发展态势。 据国家统计局数据，7月社会消费品零售总额3.88万亿元，同比增长3.7%，增速比去年同期高1个百分点。1-7月，社会消费品零售总额28.42万亿元，同比增 长4.8%，服务零售额同比增长5.2%，商品和服务零售合并同比增长5%左右。 7月整体消费增速环比有所放缓，但政策驱动型消费却表现强劲。商务部表示，7月份限额以上单位家电、家具、通讯器材、文化办公用品零售额同比分别增 长28.7%、20.6%、14.9%和13.8%。受访专家认为，这种分化显示当前消费增长动力正在向政策引导、结构性托举型转变的深层逻辑。 8月22日召开的国务院常务会议提出，大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策，在稳投资、扩消费、促转型、惠民生等方面取得明显成效，要进一步强化财 税金融等政策支持。 | 指标 | 当期値 | | --- | --- | | 家用电器和音像器材类 | 978 | | 家具类 | 170 | | 通讯器材类 | 657 | 今年以来，以旧换新政策持续发力，涉及产品越来越多。在政策带动下，消费活力持续释放，效果显著。国家统计 ...

今年以来，我国消费市场在政策支持和内生动力的共同作用下呈现出"总体平稳、结构优化"的发展态势。 据国家统计局数据，7月社会消费品零售总额3.88万亿元，同比增长3.7%，增速比去年同期高1个百分点。1-7月，社会消费品零售总额28.42万亿元，同比增 长4.8%，服务零售额同比增长5.2%，商品和服务零售合并同比增长5%左右。 7月整体消费增速环比有所放缓，但政策驱动型消费却表现强劲。商务部表示，7月份限额以上单位家电、家具、通讯器材、文化办公用品零售额同比分别增 长28.7%、20.6%、14.9%和13.8%。受访专家认为，这种分化显示当前消费增长动力正在向政策引导、结构性托举型转变的深层逻辑。 8月22日召开的国务院常务会议提出，大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策，在稳投资、扩消费、促转型、惠民生等方面取得明显成效，要进一步强化财 税金融等政策支持。 在汽车消费方面，新能源车表现亮眼。据中国汽车流通协会乘联会数据，7月份乘用车零售量同比增长6.3%，其中新能源乘用车零售量增长12.0%，渗透率 达54%。 今年前七月，全国乘用车市场累计零售1272.8万辆，同比增长10.1%，其中7月乘用车零售182. ...

一汽集团与零跑汽车的资本合作浮出水面。据报道，一汽集团正在筹划入股零跑汽车，持有10%左右股 份，成为继斯泰兰蒂斯集团之后的重要股东。 在东风、中国长安的重组以各自单飞作结后，三大汽车央企间的新排位赛正式开始。与东风力推岚图与 奕派科技、中国长安押宝阿维塔与深蓝等新能源品牌相比，一汽集团旗下红旗、奔腾的新能源布局稍逊 一筹。当前，国内新能源汽车渗透率已阶段性跨越50%分界线，一汽集团仅凭现有的技术资源和常规打 法，很难有较大的突破。直接入股甚至收购一家造车新势力，被认为是其在新能源赛道上实现赶超的捷 径。 此次一汽集团欲入股零跑汽车，并非毫无征兆。今年3月初，一汽集团与零跑汽车在长春举行《战略合 作谅解备忘录》签署仪式。双方表示，将充分发挥各自在研发领域的技术积累，共同开展新能源乘用车 联合开发及零部件合作，通过双方的技术融合共同提升产品竞争力；同时，探讨了深化资本合作的可行 性。 零跑汽车刚刚发布的上半年财报披露，目前公司与一汽集团首个合作开发车型项目已经落地，后续工作 正在积极推进中。双方还将进一步探讨深化资本合作的可行性，实现全产业链资源协同。这也间接证实 了两者资本联姻的可能性。 大众与小鹏牵手，堪称 ...

北京商报讯(记者刘晓梦)8月22日，据中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会初步推算的数据显 示，今年8月狭义乘用车零售量约194万辆，环比增长6.2%，同比增长2%。其中，新能源乘用车零售量 约110万辆，渗透率56.7%。 ...

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 最新厂商调研数据显示，零售量占总市场近八成的头部厂商本月零售目标环比增长约5%，同比持平微 增。综合估算，本月狭义乘用车零售总市场预计为194万辆左右，环比增长6.2%，同比增长2.0%，其中新能源 零售可达110万左右，渗透率有望再创新高至56.7%。 二、周度走势推算 8月第一周受厂商高温假以及补贴阶段性中止影响，月初市场略有回落，日均零售4.52万辆，同比-3.8%， 环比5.6%。第二周随着补贴的恢复，车市恢复，日均零售达5.91万辆，同比增长8.2%，环比增长10.1%。第三 周日均零售6.67万辆，同比增长18.0%，环比增长5.9%。第四周预计日均销量可达8.47万，受去年同期高基数 影响同比-7.1%，环比4.4%；综合估算8月终端零售总市场可达到194万辆左右。 | 单位: 万辆 | 主要厂商 | 主要厂商 | 主要厂商 | 主要厂商 | 零售市场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 第一周 | 第二周 | 第三周预计 | 第五周预计 | 全月预计 | | 8 月主要厂商日均零售 | 4.52 | 5.91 ...

周度报告——新能源汽车 smingfTable_Title] 新能源乘用车周度销量报告 2025 年第 33 周（8 月 11 日-8 月 17 日） | . . | | --- | | 期 | | 日 . | | ﻟﻠ D | | 非 | ★ 周度乘用车市场概述 2025 年第 33 周（8 月 11 日至 8 月 17 日），国内乘用车和 新能源乘用车销量环比上升。乘用车零售 43.2 万辆，同比增长 7.6%；新能源乘用车零售 24.6 万辆，同比增长 13.7%；新能源渗 透率为 57.0%，处于历史较高水平。 今年以来，乘用车累计零售 1,337.4 万辆，同比增长 6.6%； 新能源乘用车累计零售 687.1 万辆，同比增长 25.4%；累计新能 源渗透率为 51.4%。 能 ★ 重点新能源车企销量分析 新能源与新材料-新能源汽车-周度报告 2025-8-21 源 与 新 材 料 车企层面，比亚迪新能源乘用车周销量 7.1 万辆、吉利汽车 3.3 万辆、上汽通用五菱 1.7 万辆、长安汽车 1.2 万辆、奇瑞汽车 0.9 万辆，以及特斯拉（中国）销量 1.4 万辆、鸿蒙智行 0.9 万辆。 新势力 ...

Revenue Insights - In July, general public budget revenue reached 2.03 trillion, marking a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, the first positive growth since the beginning of the year[3] - Monthly revenue growth rebounded significantly by 3.0 percentage points to a new high of 2.6%[3] - Tax revenue increased by 4.0 percentage points to 5.0%, the highest monthly figure since December of the previous year[3] Tax Contributions - The contribution of stamp duty saw a notable improvement, significantly influenced by favorable capital market performance in July[3] - Non-tax revenue continued to decline, with a year-on-year drop of 12.9%, exacerbating the overall revenue growth pressure[3] - Value-added tax contribution fell by 0.1 percentage points, highlighting ongoing domestic demand weakness and low inflation impact on corporate revenues[3] Fiscal Expenditure and Gaps - Fiscal expenditure in July rose by 2.7 percentage points to 3.0%, with most major expenditure areas showing varying degrees of increase[12] - The budget revenue-expenditure gap narrowed slightly to 2.49 trillion, but remains substantial, necessitating continued government bond financing[12] - Cumulative fiscal deficit from January to July expanded by 1.83 trillion, with government debt financing reaching 67.1% of the annual plan, significantly higher than the previous two years[26] Real Estate and Land Revenue - Government fund budget revenue fell sharply by 11.9% year-on-year to 8.9%, primarily due to a 14.7% drop in land transfer revenue[18] - The contribution of land transfer revenue to government fund budget revenue decreased by 11.1 percentage points to 5.3%[18] - The real estate market remains unstable, with significant imbalances in housing price-to-income ratios in major cities, affecting land market activity[18] Future Outlook - If domestic and external demand continues to decline, there is a pressing need for the central government to adopt a more aggressive fiscal expansion strategy[26] - The potential impact of new tariffs from the U.S. on exports necessitates ongoing monitoring of economic indicators[26] - The overall economic environment suggests that substantial improvements in fiscal revenue are unlikely in the coming months[3]

8月20日，据智通财经消息，中国一汽正在筹划收购零跑汽车10%左右股份，成为其战略股东。"目前该 方案已经在一汽内部相关部门流转推进"。 同时，业内人士认为，一汽收购零跑10%的股份后，零跑可借助一汽获得强大的资金支持与渠道网络。 零跑在零部件采购等方面的议价能力也将大幅提升，有助于降低成本，增强产品价格竞争力。 根据财报，上半年零跑营收达到242.5亿元，净利润为0.3亿元，实现扭亏为盈。截至2025年6月30日止六 个月，零跑汽车持有的自由现金流为8.6亿元，引入一汽的资金能进一步充实资金链，助力研发投入与 产能扩张。 今年3月3日，中国一汽与零跑汽车签署《战略合作谅解备忘录》。根据备忘录，战略合作分两个维度， 一是双方充分发挥各自在研发领域的技术积累，共同开展新能源乘用车联合开发及零部件合作，通过双 方的技术融合共同提升产品竞争力；二是双方进一步探讨深化资本合作的可行性，通过资本合作，使双 方实现全产业链资源协同。 值得注意的是，零跑与一汽此前的合作已有部分收入被计入。财报中，零跑汽车上半年的非汽车销售业 务为其带来了近11亿元的收入，零跑管理层在业绩电话会上分析称，其中政府补贴5亿元，碳积分收入2 — ...

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry represents China's automotive manufacturing sector becoming a global leader in technology output, with overseas market contributions expected to create a new market equivalent to China within 3-5 years [4]. Group 1: Driving Factors for the Bus Cycle - Timing: The bus industry aligns with the national strategy of "China's Special Valuation" and is a strong advocate of the "Belt and Road" initiative, leveraging over a decade of international experience to follow national strategies and promote Chinese manufacturing abroad [4]. - Location: The technology and products of the bus industry have reached world-class standards, with China leading in new energy buses and being competitive in traditional buses in terms of cost-effectiveness and service [4]. - Human Factors: The end of the price war in the domestic market is expected to resonate positively, with demand recovering due to tourism and public transport renewal needs, potentially returning to 2019 levels [4]. Group 2: Profitability Outlook for the Bus Industry - The absence of price wars domestically, an oligopolistic market structure, and higher profit margins in overseas markets for both new energy and traditional buses are expected to drive profitability [5]. - The continuous decline in lithium carbonate costs will further support profitability [5]. Group 3: Market Capitalization Potential - The short-term goal is to challenge the market capitalization peak from 2015-2017, while the long-term goal is to establish a new ceiling, witnessing the emergence of a true global bus leader [6]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Yutong Bus is highlighted as a "model student" with high growth and dividend attributes, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 4.63 billion, 5.52 billion, and 6.68 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12%, 19%, and 21% [7]. - King Long Motor is noted as the "fastest improving student," with a significant profit rebound expected, projecting net profits for 2025-2027 at 440 million, 640 million, and 830 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 182%, 45%, and 28% [8].

Group 1: Market Overview - From August 1 to 17, the retail sales of new energy vehicles in the national passenger car market reached 502,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 9% and a month-on-month increase of 12% [1] - The retail penetration rate for new energy vehicles in the national passenger car market is 58.0%, with cumulative retail sales of 6.958 million units this year, up 28% year-on-year [1] - The wholesale of new energy vehicles by manufacturers reached 474,000 units from August 1 to 17, marking an 18% year-on-year increase and a 10% month-on-month increase [1] Group 2: Passenger Car Sales - The total retail sales of passenger cars from August 1 to 17 amounted to 866,000 units, showing a 2% year-on-year increase and an 8% month-on-month increase [4] - Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 13.611 million units, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth [4] - The wholesale of passenger cars by manufacturers was 841,000 units during the same period, with a year-on-year increase of 20% and a month-on-month increase of 7% [7] Group 3: Economic and Policy Context - The economic growth rate in China for the first half of the year was 5.3%, which has alleviated the pressure for stable growth in various regions [4] - Recent promotional policies in the automotive market have been steadily advancing, with the third batch of subsidy funds distributed in late July [4] - The "trade-in" policy has been gradually restarted, and the subsidy methods have become more diversified, which is expected to improve sales growth in August [4]