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时代电气(3898.HK):轨交业务平稳释放 看好反内卷政策下新兴业务发展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-04 11:50
Core Insights - The company reported a steady performance in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 18.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.72 billion yuan, up 10.9% year-on-year [1] - The company’s gross profit margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 32.4%, primarily due to changes in revenue structure [1] Business Segments - The rail transit business generated revenue of 10.31 billion yuan, growing by 9.2% year-on-year, while the emerging equipment business achieved revenue of 8.43 billion yuan, an increase of 22.3% [1] - Within the emerging equipment segment, revenue from basic components was 3.84 billion yuan, up 30.4%, and revenue from new energy generation was 1.59 billion yuan, increasing by 25.3% [1] - The automotive electric drive segment reported revenue of 1.87 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Market Trends - The rail transit business is experiencing stable growth, with maintenance services accounting for approximately 22% of rail transit revenue, indicating a significant increase compared to the same period last year [1] - The company is expanding into new areas within the rail transit sector, with rapid growth in communication signals and other rail transit equipment, which is expected to form new growth drivers [1] Future Outlook - The new semiconductor factory in Yixing reached full production capacity of 30,000 pieces per month, contributing to significant revenue growth [2] - The independent operation of the new energy generation division has achieved slight profitability, with future business expansion expected through collaborations with CRRC and Zhuzhou Institute in photovoltaic and energy storage sectors [2] - The automotive electric drive segment has established partnerships with major car manufacturers, with notable increases in delivery volumes in Q3 2025 [2] Financial Projections - The company maintains a buy rating with a target price of 55.0 HKD, projecting revenues of 27.8 billion, 30.9 billion, and 34.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with growth rates of 11.7%, 11.1%, and 12.0% respectively [2] - Net profits are expected to be 4.1 billion, 4.58 billion, and 5.06 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 10.7%, 11.8%, and 10.4% respectively [2]
第一上海:维持时代电气(03898)“买入”评级 目标价55港元
智通财经网· 2025-11-03 07:05
Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Times Electric (03898) with a target price of HKD 55.0, projecting revenue growth from 27.8 billion to 34.6 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with net profit increasing from 4.1 billion to 5.1 billion RMB during the same period [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 18.83 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.72 billion RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit reached 2.61 billion RMB, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 30.9% [1] - The overall gross margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 32.4%, primarily due to changes in revenue structure [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The rail transit business generated revenue of 10.31 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the emerging equipment business achieved revenue of 8.43 billion RMB, up 22.3% [1] - Within the emerging equipment segment, the revenue from basic components was 3.84 billion RMB, growing by 30.4%, and revenue from new energy generation reached 1.59 billion RMB, increasing by 25.3% [1] - The automotive electric drive segment reported revenue of 1.87 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - The rail transit business is experiencing stable growth, with maintenance services accounting for approximately 22% of rail transit revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a significant increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The demand for rail maintenance is expected to rise due to high passenger volumes and the replacement of old diesel locomotives, creating continuous incremental demand [2] - The semiconductor new factory has reached full production capacity of 30,000 pieces per month, contributing to rapid revenue growth [3]