各位朋友，今天有个大消息要和大家聊聊。美国突然宣布，从明天零点开始，对所有印度进口商品加征50%的关税！这可不是开玩笑，连印度的药品、纺 织品、IT服务都不放过，这波操作到底想干嘛？ 老美这次出手这么狠，可能是想逼印度在贸易谈判上让步，或者是转移国内经济压力。但这么高的关税，对双方都没好处，印度肯定会反击，一场贸易 战怕是在所难免了。 这事儿对咱们投资者有啥影响呢？首先，印度对美出口的主要商品，像药品、纺织品、汽车零部件这些行业，利润肯定会受压。比如说，印度是美国仿 制药的主要供应国，占65%的市场份额，关税一加，美国药品价格可能上涨，印度药企的利润空间就被压缩了。 再看纺织品，美国是印度最大的出口市场，占印度出口额的18%。50%的关税一加上去，印度纺织品在美国市场的价格优势就没了，订单可能会转移到越 南、孟加拉国这些国家。印度服装制造商已经叫苦不迭，说新订单根本接不到，现有订单只能亏本发货。 不过，也有一些行业暂时不受影响。比如电子产品，美国豁免了智能手机、电脑这些产品的关税，所以印度的电子代工企业，像苹果在印度的生产线， 暂时还能松口气。但长期来看，美国可能还是想把制造业迁回国内，所以这些企业也不能掉以 ...

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 08 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：债市独立日 8 月 25 日，权益市场放量大涨，成交额创 2024 年 10 月 9日以来新高，同时隐含波动率大幅上升，指向市场 情绪高涨的同时，投机需求明显升温；然而在权益市场依然强势的背景下，债市走出了独立行情，各期限国债收 益率迎来修复，全线下行。 跨月周开启，资金情绪逆势回暖。今日 6000 亿 MLF 续作落地，同时逆回购维持净投放 219 亿元，合计实现 净投放 6219 亿元。在此背景下，全天资金面相对宽松，非银隔夜利率开于 1.50%-1.53%，其后回落至 1.40%， 并持续至尾盘；今日拆借 7 天资金可跨月，非银 7 天资金开于 1.60%较高点位，但随着 MLF 和 OMO 续作，资金 价格降至 1.55%-1.56%水平。加权来看，时隔一周 R001 重回 OMO 利率以下，较前一交易日下行 6bp 至 1.39%，R007 则受跨月影响，环比上行 8bp 至 1.56%。不过，存单一级发行价格并没有随之下行，仍在高位波 动，据各银行报价，1 年期国股行各 ...

那就后果不堪设想。这让我想到了2024年10月8日，当天的成交，就是历史天量，随后开盘就是巅峰， 维持不到2分钟便一泻千里。 在人越多、越吵闹的地方，我们越要保持自己的理性，如果放任自己随大流，那么收益也只能够大众 化。 A股持续大涨，然而，这波上涨，却不是普遍式的，而是局部高位，部分的确甚至下跌，所以有人说在 长江DL里面躲牛市。 翻看了自己的能力圈，今天有部分涨上来了，不过却是冲高回落，我依旧兴致了了，不去参与。 第二：白酒反攻 上周回落的白酒，今天再度反攻，舍得涨停、酒鬼涨幅超6%，逐步成为引领白酒反攻的情绪龙。 至于龙头茅子，还是稳扎稳打，跌不破1400，可能要反攻。猜对，但不做，因为不到信心最足的时刻。 第三：半导体冲高回落 上周五最牛的半导体，今天依旧相当牛，不过却走出了冲高回落的趋势。搞不好是，很多场外的朋友进 场，然后场内自己快速离场的切换手段。 反正这个人位置这么高，也轮不到我来玩了，大家开心就好。 至于粉丝们，怎么玩，大家亲自决定！ 板块上： 第一：稀土永磁大涨 此轮贸易摩擦，成为推动稀土永磁大涨的信号，然后持续反攻。稀土内部几个龙头，均已翻倍，大背景 是稀土价格持续走高。 不过我并没有参 ...

Core Points - The EU and the US announced a new trade agreement detailing tariffs and market access, with the US imposing a 15% tariff on most EU goods while exempting certain products [1] - The EU committed to eliminating tariffs on US industrial goods and providing preferential market access for US seafood and agricultural products [1] - The EU plans to purchase $750 billion worth of US liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear products by 2028, along with $40 billion in US AI chips [1][2] Group 1 - The US will impose a 15% tariff on most EU imports, while certain natural resources, aircraft, and generic drugs are exempt [1] - The EU will eliminate tariffs on US industrial products and provide preferential access for US seafood and agricultural goods [1] - The EU aims to significantly increase its procurement of US military and defense equipment [1] Group 2 - The agreement has raised concerns about fairness, with critics arguing it disproportionately favors the US [4][8][16] - There are unresolved issues regarding steel and aluminum tariffs, with no clear solution provided in the agreement [9] - The digital regulatory divide remains a significant point of contention, with no substantial progress made in this area [11] Group 3 - The agreement has been described as a "terrible, complete surrender" by some EU officials, highlighting the lack of reciprocity [8] - Concerns have been raised about the potential negative impact on European growth and employment due to the perceived imbalance in the agreement [16] - The agreement lacks legal binding, raising questions about its long-term viability and enforcement [20][23] Group 4 - The EU is expected to initiate legislation to ensure the US commits to reducing auto tariffs retroactively [23] - The agreement is seen as a "loss control document" for the EU, reflecting its dependency on the US [23][25] - Future negotiations are anticipated to address a fair and balanced trade agreement, although skepticism remains about the EU's leverage [25]

证监许可【2011】1288号 报告 债市跟随股市起舞 2025年8月23日 更多精彩内容 请关注 格林大华期货 官方微信 研究员：刘洋 联系方式：liuyang18036@greendh.com 期货从业资格证号：F3063825 期货交易咨询号：Z0016580 国债期货一周行情复盘 本周国债期货主力合约周一跳空低开后大幅下跌，周二横向波动，周三大幅下跌，周四探底反弹，周五略有回落， 全周30年国债跌1.05%，10年国债跌0.52%，5年国债跌0.28%，2年国债跌0.03%。 数据来源：wind，格林大华 国债现券到期收益率曲线变动 8月22日收盘国债现券到期收益率曲线与8月15日相比表现整体平行上移。2年期国债到期收益率从8月15 日的1.40%上行3个BP至8月22日的1.439% ；5年期国债到期收益率从8月15日的1.59%上行4个BP至8月22日 的1.63% ；10年期国债到期收益率从8月15日的1.75%上行3个BP至8月22日的1.78% ；30年期国债到期收 益率从8月15日的2.05%上行3个BP至8月22日的2.08% 。 7月份，全国一般公共预算收入20273亿元，同比增长2. ...

格隆汇8月21日丨密封科技(301020.SZ)在互动平台表示，公司业务目前暂不涉及光刻机、半导体相关领 域。 ...

江西的稀土磁铁企业 中国7月份对美出口稀土磁铁619吨，同比增长5%。环比增长76%，创半年来高点。受中美磋商影响， 中国方面推进了稀土磁铁对美出口的正常化。从国家和地区来看，对美国出口量排在第2位…… 中国7月份对美出口稀土磁铁619吨，同比增长5%。环比增长76%，创半年来高点。受中美磋商影响， 中国方面推进了稀土磁铁对美出口的正常化。 中国调查公司"铁合金在线"基于中国海关总署的数据进行了汇总。中国7月稀土磁铁整体出口量为5577 吨，同比增长6%。环比增长75%，回到与上年相当的水平。 从国家和地区来看，对美国出口量排在第2位。排在第一的是对德国出口量，为1115吨，同比减少3%。 环比增长46%，基本回到与上年相当的水平。 7月稀土磁铁对日本出口232吨。虽然比上月有所增加，但恢复缓慢。日本企业增加了稀土磁铁半成品磁 粉和合金等的进口来生产磁铁，如果包括磁粉和合金等在内，中国7月对日本出口量就恢复到了超过上 年同月水平的686吨。 对印度出口量为418吨，同比增长60%。达到了上月的约2.4倍。印度向中国提出放宽稀土出口限制，据 印度媒体报道，访问印度的中共政治局委员兼外交部长王毅表示将恢复供应。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba proposed the "Indian Ocean-Africa Economic Zone Initiative" aimed at establishing a logistics network connecting Africa and the Indian Ocean, enhancing regional connectivity and creating a free and fair economic zone [2][4]. Group 1: Economic Cooperation and Development - The 9th Tokyo International Conference on African Development (TICAD9) is attended by over 40 African heads of state, with a focus on transitioning from aid to investment in response to Africa's evolving needs [4][8]. - Ishiba emphasized the importance of expanding free trade to enhance regional connectivity, promote trade and investment, and achieve further growth [4][5]. - Japan aims to integrate Africa's vitality into its own development, recognizing Africa as a "growth center" due to its rich natural resources and population growth [5]. Group 2: Investment and Technology - Japan plans to invest in infrastructure, resource energy, and IT sectors in Africa, addressing social issues and creating job opportunities for the youth [5]. - The Japanese government intends to support the development of digital fields, including AI, by collaborating with African universities to train 30,000 AI professionals over three years [5]. Group 3: Strategic Importance of Africa - The conference highlights Japan's strategic focus on Africa, particularly in light of China's increasing influence and the need for transparent development cooperation [6][10]. - Africa is viewed as a key region for economic security, with significant reserves of rare metals and rare earth elements essential for electric vehicles and electronic devices [10].

Group 1 - The Japanese government plans to support domestic companies in expanding overseas markets for critical materials, focusing on sectors like semiconductors, rare earths, and shipbuilding [1] - A legal amendment will be proposed to include overseas business expansion in the Economic Security Promotion Law, aiming for submission at the regular Diet session in January 2026 [1] - The support will cover procurement of essential minerals, ship repair bases, and the promotion of 5G standards, along with collaboration with like-minded countries and local enterprises [1] Group 2 - The government intends to provide subsidies from the research and testing phase to mass production and commercialization over multiple years [1] - Previously, Japanese companies could only receive government subsidies for initial testing phases in emerging and developing countries, but long-term government involvement is expected to reduce risks for these companies [1] - The Economic Security Promotion Law was enacted under Prime Minister Fumio Kishida in 2022, and the upcoming amendment will broaden support beyond stable procurement of materials to include overseas business activities [1]

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Konka by China Resources is expected to alleviate financial pressures and enhance resource integration, although challenges remain in turning around the main business operations [3][4]. Group 1: Company Background and Management Changes - Konka has officially become a business unit under the technology and emerging industries segment of China Resources [3]. - The new management team, led by Chairman Wu Jianjun, has a significant presence of personnel with backgrounds in China Resources, which is expected to maintain operational continuity and leverage resources effectively [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Challenges - Konka's forecast for the first half of 2025 indicates a net loss attributable to shareholders between 360 million to 500 million yuan, with ongoing intense competition in the consumer electronics sector and the semiconductor business still in its early stages [5]. - The global and Chinese television markets have entered a phase of stock competition, leading to profit pressures for Konka as upstream LCD panel industry concentration increases [7]. Group 3: Strategic Implications of the Acquisition - The acquisition is anticipated to create industrial synergies, improving Konka's capital and financial structure while allowing a greater focus on its core business [6]. - Enhancing technological product innovation and accelerating internationalization are critical priorities for Konka following the acquisition [8].