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汽车行业投资节奏
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如何把握汽车行业的投资节奏?
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-18 13:47
Market Overview - The report indicates that the easing of tariff risks between China and the US has not changed the market's oscillating pattern, with the primary concern being economic expectations [4][5][15]. - Economic data for April shows signs of weakening, with external demand expectations declining and internal demand needing support [4][15]. Industry Configuration - The report highlights that the configuration value of the banking and insurance sectors has further increased, with a recommendation for a balanced investment strategy leaning towards these sectors [6][38]. - The automotive sector is experiencing a strong internal demand but weak external demand, leading to a "strong but not strong, weak but not weak" market condition [21][24]. Automotive Industry Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has proposed new regulations requiring all passenger vehicles to be equipped with automatic emergency braking systems, positively impacting the automotive parts and passenger vehicle sectors [21][22]. - The automotive index is expected to maintain a range-bound pattern, with upward resistance and downward support due to the current economic conditions [21][24]. - As of May 16, the automotive sector index has risen to 7179.8 points, nearing the upper limit of its historical range, indicating a decrease in configuration value as it approaches previous highs [24]. Public Fund Regulations - New public fund regulations are expected to impose stricter constraints on performance benchmarks, which may lead to significant shifts in market behavior, particularly affecting equity funds [25][27]. - The report notes that the current allocation in the bond market is significantly lower than its benchmark, while the equity market allocation exceeds its benchmark [25][27].