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从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟踪-20250901
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-01 02:39
证券研究报告·金融工程·金工定期报告 金工定期报告 20250901 从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟踪 202509 2025 年 09 月 01 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 报告要点 证券分析师 高子剑 执业证书:S0600518010001 021-60199793 gaozj@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 凌志杰 执业证书:S0600525040007 lingzhj@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《从微观出发的五维行业轮动 月度跟踪 202508 2025-08-01 东吴证券研究所 1 / 9 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 模型多空对冲绩效:以 2015/01/01-2025/08/31 为回测区间,五维行业轮 动模型在申万一级行业中,六分组多空对冲的年化收益率为 21.44%,年 化波动率为 10.84%,信息比率为 1.98,月度胜率为 71.95%,历史最大 回撤为 13.30%;多头对冲全市场行业等权组合的年化收益率为 10.52%, 年化波动率为 6.58%,信息比率为 1.60,月度胜率 70.49%,历史最大回 撤为 9.36%。 ◼ ...
从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟踪-20250801
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-01 03:34
- Model Name: Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model; Model Construction Idea: Based on the Dongwu Financial Engineering multi-factor stock selection system, the model is constructed from the micro-level of individual stocks, dividing micro-factors into five categories: volatility, fundamentals, trading volume, sentiment, and momentum[6]; Model Construction Process: The model uses style indicators to classify stocks within industries, constructing intra-industry dispersion and traction indicators to synthesize final industry factors. The five-dimensional industry rotation model includes volatility, fundamentals, trading volume, sentiment, and momentum factors[6]; Model Evaluation: The model effectively captures industry style differences and integrates multiple factors to enhance industry rotation strategies[6] - Model Name: Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model for CSI 300 Index Enhancement; Model Construction Idea: The model applies the five-dimensional industry rotation model to enhance the CSI 300 index by selecting top and bottom industries monthly[21]; Model Construction Process: At the end of each month, the top five industries are selected as enhanced industries, and the bottom five industries are excluded. The weights of excluded industries are proportionally reassigned to the enhanced industries, forming a new CSI 300 enhanced portfolio with monthly rebalancing[21] Model Backtest Performance - Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model, Annualized Return: 22.01%, Annualized Volatility: 10.78%, IR: 2.04, Monthly Win Rate: 73.55%, Maximum Drawdown: 13.30%[11][15] - Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model (Long-Only), Annualized Return: 10.71%, Annualized Volatility: 6.59%, IR: 1.63, Monthly Win Rate: 71.07%, Maximum Drawdown: 9.36%[15][16] - Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model for CSI 300 Index Enhancement, Annualized Return: 8.61%, Annualized Volatility: 7.41%, IR: 1.16, Monthly Win Rate: 68.85%, Maximum Drawdown: 12.65%[22] Factor Backtest Performance - Volatility Factor, Annualized Return: 11.57%, Annualized Volatility: 10.12%, IR: 1.14, Monthly Win Rate: 60.32%, Maximum Drawdown: 14.27%[15] - Fundamentals Factor, Annualized Return: 6.80%, Annualized Volatility: 12.14%, IR: 0.56, Monthly Win Rate: 56.35%, Maximum Drawdown: 26.32%[15] - Trading Volume Factor, Annualized Return: 8.83%, Annualized Volatility: 11.72%, IR: 0.75, Monthly Win Rate: 60.32%, Maximum Drawdown: 18.40%[15] - Sentiment Factor, Annualized Return: 8.01%, Annualized Volatility: 12.86%, IR: 0.62, Monthly Win Rate: 64.29%, Maximum Drawdown: 14.79%[15] - Momentum Factor, Annualized Return: 11.54%, Annualized Volatility: 10.67%, IR: 1.08, Monthly Win Rate: 60.80%, Maximum Drawdown: 13.52%[15]