智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，维持航空油运增持评级。航空超级周期或将开启，客座率创 新高而票价处低位，票价市场化且供给低增，需求增长将驱动盈利上行。看好2026年需求增长驱动票价 盈利上行，建议逆向布局超级周期。油运运价维持高位，俄乌和谈影响或有限，看好未来景气超预期上 升。机场免税方面，期待内外资龙头竞争，助力免税销售额增长。 机场免税：上海机场新一轮免税合同模式调整，期待内外资龙头竞争驱动销售增长 国泰海通主要观点如下： 根据中国招标投标公共服务平台，近日上海机场公示新一轮免税中标：浦东T1+S1 由杜福睿中标(月固 定费用3141元/平米，提成比例8%-24%);浦东T2+S2 由中国中免中标(3090元，8%-24%)，虹桥标段由中 国中免中标(2827 元，8%-22%)。1)不同以往"保底销售提成与实际销售提成两者取高"，本次改为"固定 费用+实际销售提成"。该行估算固定费用与2023 年协议保底销售提成较为接近，提成比例区间有所下 调。按照提成比例中值16%静态测算，新旧模式机场免税收入基本持平;若实际综合提成比例高于中 值，新合同将提升机场免税收入。2)免税商由之前日上独家变更为国内 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the transportation industry [7]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is experiencing a rebound in public and business demand, with expectations for ticket price profitability to rise by 2026, suggesting a strategic investment during this super cycle [3][7]. - In the oil shipping sector, freight rates remain high, and the potential impact of Russia-Ukraine negotiations is expected to be limited, indicating a positive outlook for future market conditions [3][7]. - The airport duty-free segment anticipates increased competition among leading domestic and foreign companies, which is expected to drive growth in sales [3][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Aviation - Recent recovery in public and business demand is noted, with a focus on state-owned enterprises reducing "involution" competition. The aviation sector entered a traditional off-peak season from September, with public and business demand being a key factor influencing ticket prices. Ticket prices have shown a year-on-year increase due to the release of suppressed demand from the summer travel season [7]. - The report forecasts that by December, public and business passenger flow will increase, with ticket prices expected to continue rising year-on-year, although the growth rate may narrow. The report anticipates a significant reduction in losses by Q4 2025, with a full-year turnaround expected [7]. - Recommendations include major airlines such as Air China, Juneyao Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [7]. Oil Shipping - Freight rates are expected to maintain a high level, with the impact of U.S. sanctions on shadow fleets being a significant factor. The report highlights that recent increases in oil production from the Middle East and South America have driven VLCC TCE rates to rise, with Q4 2025 profits projected to reach a ten-year high [7]. - The report suggests that while seasonal factors may affect short-term freight rates, the overall upward trend for the year remains intact. The global increase in oil production is expected to drive demand for oil shipping beyond expectations [7]. - Recommended companies in this sector include COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, China Merchants Jinling, and China Ship Leasing [7]. Airport Duty-Free - The report discusses a new round of duty-free contract adjustments at Shanghai Airport, anticipating that competition among leading domestic and foreign companies will drive sales growth. The new bidding results indicate a shift in the contract model, which may stabilize or enhance airport duty-free revenues [7]. - The introduction of foreign competitors and a revised commission structure are expected to improve the operational enthusiasm of duty-free operators, potentially leading to increased sales [7]. - Recommendations include Shanghai Airport and Beijing Capital International Airport [7].