开泰研究中心预计，2026年泰国对主要出口市场的出口增长趋向放缓，主要商品的出口均趋于萎缩。 中新社曼谷1月9日电泰国开泰研究中心9日发布报告称，预计2026年泰国出口总值将萎缩1.2%，主要因 素是美国关税措施可能进一步扩大，同时全球贸易前景趋于放缓。 农产品：预计2026年泰国农产品出口值将萎缩1.4%，主要源于价格相对稳定以及全球市场竞争加剧， 尤其是大米出口仍面临印度持续扩大出口的压力。同时，农产品产量也呈下降趋势，因为气候从2025年 水量充沛、更有利于支持农业生产的拉尼娜状态转为中性状态，导致农业用水可能出现不足。 涉农工业产品：预计2026年泰国涉农工业产品出口值仍可保持增长，但增速将放缓至1.0%。(完) 电子产品：预计2026年泰国电子产品出口值将在上年强劲增长后萎缩约3.1%，主要源于对美国市场出 口面临压力，尤其是集成电路和半导体产品面临被美国依据232条款加征进口关税的风险，其他电子产 品如硬盘驱动器、手机零部件等也将在此前出口加速之后出现放缓。 家用电器：预计2026年泰国家用电器出口值将萎缩1.5%，主要由于空调机和电冰箱出口放缓，部分原 因是某些电器生产基地从泰国转移至越南。 汽 ...

Core Insights - Thailand's export value is projected to grow by 5.7% year-on-year in 2025, with an expected growth rate of 5.8% in August 2025, aligning with forecasts [1][2] - Significant growth in exports of electronic products, particularly computers and integrated circuits, with a 12.8% year-on-year increase in exports to the United States in August [1] - Gold exports continue to rise, with over 50% of gold exported to Switzerland [1] - Agricultural exports have decreased by 13.5% year-on-year, notably due to a significant drop in rice exports, influenced by India's new rice export policies and the appreciation of the Thai baht [1] Export Performance - The total export value for the first eight months of the year increased by 13.3% year-on-year, but a significant reduction is expected for the remainder of the year due to anticipated impacts from U.S. tariff policies and a slowdown in electronic product exports to the U.S. [1] - Potential increases in import tariffs on semiconductor products by the U.S. could adversely affect Thailand's semiconductor and related electronic equipment exports, significantly impacting overall export performance [1] Currency Impact - From early 2025 to September 23, the Thai baht appreciated by approximately 7%, affecting exporters more than the reduction in order volumes, as export goods are typically priced in U.S. dollars [2] - Exporters relying on domestic raw materials, such as rubber, plastics, and food industries, are more adversely affected by the baht's appreciation compared to other sectors [2]

泰国商务部长：泰国6月出口料将表现良好。 ...