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水井坊:公司事件点评报告:中档产品带动增长,整体表现符合预期-20250509
Huaxin Securities· 2025-05-09 06:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance is in line with expectations, driven by growth in mid-range products [1][5] - The company is focusing on high-end brand development and consumer cultivation in key markets [8] Financial Performance - In 2024, total revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 52.17 billion and 13.41 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 5% and 6% [5] - For Q1 2025, revenue and net profit were 9.59 billion and 1.90 billion yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 3% and 2% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 83%, with a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 26%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points [5] - The sales expense ratio improved significantly, while the management expense ratio remained stable [5] Product and Channel Analysis - In 2024, revenue from high-end and mid-range products was 47.64 billion and 2.64 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 2% and 29% [6] - The company is focusing on the 300-800 yuan price range for its main brand and the above 800 yuan market for its premium brand [6] - New channels saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 184.44% in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [6] Earnings Forecast - The company expects EPS for 2025-2027 to be 2.90, 3.16, and 3.50 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 15, and 14 times [8] - The forecasted revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 3.4%, 6.7%, and 8.7% respectively [10]
水井坊(600779):公司事件点评报告:中档产品带动增长,整体表现符合预期
Huaxin Securities· 2025-05-09 05:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance is in line with expectations, driven by growth in mid-range products [1][5] - The company is focusing on high-end brand development and consumer cultivation in key markets [8] Financial Performance - In 2024, total revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 52.17 billion and 13.41 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 5% and 6% [5] - For Q1 2025, revenue and net profit were 9.59 billion and 1.90 billion yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 3% and 2% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 83%, with a net margin of 26% [5] - The sales expense ratio improved significantly, while the management expense ratio remained stable [5] Product and Channel Analysis - In 2024, revenue from high-end and mid-range products was 47.64 billion and 2.64 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 2% and 29% [6] - The company is expanding its mid-range brand "Tianhao Chen" and focusing on the 300-800 yuan price segment [6] - New channels saw significant revenue growth, with a 184.44% increase in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [6] Earnings Forecast - The company expects EPS of 2.90, 3.16, and 3.50 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 15, and 14 times [8][10]