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提振居民消费:从政策驱动到内生动力的转型之路
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-08 13:25
现阶段我国居民消费市场呈现出结构升级与驱动乏力并存的鲜明阶段性特征。 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(下称《建议》)明确重提"居民消费率明显提 高",该表述清晰传递出未来五年我国着力提振居民消费、释放消费潜力的核心政策导向,为消费市场高质量发展划定 核心主线。相较于笼统表述或者具体量化目标,本次目标设定更具科学性与务实性——既充分兼顾我国经济转型升级 阶段的客观实际,避免设定过高过急的发展任务;又保留充足的任务约束性,倒逼各项促消费政策落地见效、形成协 同发力格局。 当前,我国居民消费提振正处于历史性关键转折期,消费增长驱动模式正逐步脱离以往依赖国补、消费券等短期刺激 性政策拉动的传统路径,转向培育收入支撑、消费意愿、场景供给等内生动力的长效发展模式。这一转型的核心是通 过分配端改革,破解居民"不敢花、不愿花、没钱花"的深层制约,最终实现居民消费从"被动响应"向"主动参与"、 从"不敢花"向"放心花、愿意花"的根本性跨越。 居民消费率由居民平均消费倾向(居民消费支出占可支配收入的比重)与居民可支配收入占GDP比重两大核心维度共 同决定,两大维度相互关联、互为支撑、缺一不可——前者 ...
二季度经济运行开局如何?国家统计局权威解读
证券时报· 2025-05-19 04:29
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that China's economy is showing signs of stable growth, with various economic indicators improving in the first four months of the year, despite external uncertainties. The industrial sector, in particular, has demonstrated robust performance, driven by policy support and innovation [1][5]. Economic Indicators - In April, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.1% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.9 percentage points [3][4]. - From January to April, the total value of goods imports and exports grew by 2.4% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter [7]. - Retail sales of consumer goods rose by 4.7% year-on-year in the same period, with service retail sales increasing by 5.1% [7][8]. Industrial Performance - In April, 36 out of 41 major industries reported year-on-year growth, indicating a broad-based recovery in industrial production [4]. - High-tech manufacturing saw a significant increase, with added value growing by 10% year-on-year, driven by sectors such as integrated circuit manufacturing and optoelectronic device manufacturing, which grew by 21.3% and 19%, respectively [4]. - Production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries surged by 38.9% and 61.8%, respectively, showcasing the growth of industrial new momentum [4]. Employment Situation - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in April was 5.1%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a stable employment environment [9]. - The average urban surveyed unemployment rate from January to April was 5.2%, consistent with the same period last year [9]. Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 147,024 billion yuan, growing by 4.0% year-on-year, with a notable 8.0% increase when excluding real estate development [8]. - The article emphasizes the potential for industrial upgrades and the positive development of emerging industries, such as high-end equipment and artificial intelligence [8].