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县城零售,冰火两重天
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-23 10:01
Core Viewpoint - The retail landscape in county-level cities is experiencing a stark contrast, with discount stores thriving while traditional supermarkets and convenience stores struggle to survive [2][11][30]. Group 1: Retail Performance Disparity - In a county commercial street, a well-established cooked food store is thriving, selling around 500 kg of cold dishes daily, while nearby stores face poor sales [3][6][8]. - Discount stores are attracting significant customer traffic, with one store reporting daily sales of 5,000 yuan in its first month and reaching over 10,000 yuan during peak periods [15][17]. - Traditional supermarkets are witnessing a drastic decline in sales, with one store's weekend sales dropping from 7,000-8,000 yuan to 3,000-4,000 yuan, reflecting a nearly 50% decrease in revenue over two years [19][21]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior Changes - Consumers in county areas are increasingly price-sensitive, with 71% prioritizing cost-effectiveness in their shopping decisions, significantly higher than the 58% in first- and second-tier cities [17][30]. - The shift towards online shopping is notable, with the proportion of online purchases in county areas rising from 32% in 2019 to 58% in 2024 [32]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Challenges - The number of discount stores is rapidly increasing, with a projected growth of 67% in 2024, particularly in county markets where over 55% of new stores are located [17][30]. - Convenience stores are facing high closure rates, with an 18% closure rate in county areas, compared to 12% in first- and second-tier cities [24]. - The restaurant industry is also struggling, with a closure rate of 16% in county markets, indicating a challenging environment for many dining establishments [28]. Group 4: Structural Changes in Retail - The retail industry is shifting from a "big and comprehensive" model to a "small and specialized" approach, with businesses focusing on niche markets to enhance competitiveness [34][36]. - Rising operational costs, particularly in rent and labor, are reshaping the industry landscape, making it difficult for traditional supermarkets to maintain profitability [36][37]. - Capital investment is increasingly favoring growth-oriented sectors like discount stores and specialty shops, leaving traditional retail formats with limited funding opportunities [37][38].