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上汽集团(600104):2025年中报点评:2Q25业绩表现稳健,尚界H5上市在即
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-02 08:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][8]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 299.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.2% year-on-year [2][8]. - The second quarter of 2025 showed a robust performance with sales reaching 1.11 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 12% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17% [8]. - The company is optimistic about the upcoming launch of the 尚界 H5 model, which has already received a positive market response with over 50,000 pre-orders within 18 hours of its announcement [8]. - The company is undergoing a transformation with a focus on both fuel and new energy vehicles, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [8]. Financial Summary - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards to 665.1 billion yuan, 761.0 billion yuan, and 818.5 billion yuan respectively [8]. - The net profit forecast for the same period has also been revised to 14.3 billion yuan, 17.3 billion yuan, and 20.0 billion yuan respectively, indicating significant growth potential [8]. - The company is expected to achieve a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.4 times in 2025, with a target price set at 24.84 yuan, representing a potential upside of 30% [8].