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券商晨会精华 | 对于弱美元逻辑的过度依赖将意味着牛市行进中需要一次换挡
智通财经网· 2025-10-09 00:19
国盛证券:整体资金预计将继续保持宽松 在今天的券商晨会上,国金证券表示,对于弱美元逻辑的过度依赖将意味着牛市行进中需要一次换挡; 国盛证券提出,整体资金预计将继续保持宽松。 国金证券:对于弱美元逻辑的过度依赖将意味着牛市行进中需要一次换挡 国金证券指出,过去,全球投资人认为美元是财政扩张与科技繁荣下唯一买单者,美元继续走弱成为了 所有资产过去一段时间交易的核心主线。然而,历史经验诉我们,中国牛市往往依赖于"中国故事";对 于弱美元逻辑的过度依赖将意味着牛市行进中需要一次换挡,建议投资者无论从全球的驱动逻辑和国内 的变化上,都做好更多准备。 整个9月,市场走出先扬后抑走势,总体呈现震荡上行态势,三大指数月线均收涨,其中创业板指本月 累计涨超12%创三年多新高,科创50指数涨超11%创近四年新高。节前最后一个交易日,沪深两市成交 额2.18万亿,较上一个交易日放量200亿。市场热点题材反复活跃,有色金属、存储芯片板块涨幅居 前,白酒、大金融等板块跌幅居前。截至当日收盘,沪指涨0.52%,深成指涨0.35%,创业板指平收。 国盛证券表示,按照往年经验,国庆长假后首周资金价格或有季节性回落,且整个10月资金也未有明显 ...
十月策略及十大金股:为牛市换挡
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-28 13:06
Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes a transition towards a bull market, driven by recovering demand for physical assets amidst supply constraints, particularly in the copper market [3][9][12] - Recent disruptions in copper supply, notably from the Grasberg mine, are expected to create price elasticity for future manufacturing demand recovery [9][12] - The report highlights a shift from a focus on financial assets to physical assets, indicating a potential new cycle for resource commodities [4][12] Group 2: Key Companies and Industries - **Engineering Machinery: Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH)** is positioned for growth due to increased overseas demand and domestic infrastructure projects, with a favorable outlook for its core business [14] - **Non-Banking Financial: Sichuan Shuangma (000935.SZ)** is transitioning to an innovative drug CDMO model, with significant growth potential from its investment projects and pharmaceutical capacity expansion [15][16] - **Food and Beverage: Angel Yeast (600298.SH)** is expected to benefit from overseas expansion and improved domestic demand, with a favorable cost environment [17] - **Transportation: Juneyao Airlines (603885.SH)** is set to gain from industry supply-demand improvements and reduced interest expenses, with positive short-term catalysts from seasonal demand [18] - **Retail: Gu Ming (1364.HK)** is leveraging a unique store expansion strategy in the competitive milk tea market, with significant growth potential in coffee products [19] - **Media and Internet: Tencent Holdings (0700.HK)** is integrating AI across its ecosystem, enhancing its competitive edge and driving growth through high-margin businesses [20][21] - **Electronics: Lante Optics (688127.SH)** is experiencing strong demand in various sectors, with supply constraints on production equipment [22] - **Computing: Hikvision (002415.SZ)** is seeing a recovery in operating quality and profitability, with a focus on AI-driven products [23] - **Pharmaceuticals: Innovent Biologics (9969.HK)** is a leader in hematology and autoimmune therapies, with significant growth potential from its core products [24] - **Defense and Military: Guobo Electronics (688375.SH)** is positioned to benefit from growth in military and satellite internet sectors, with a strong market outlook [25]