小米 (01810) 近日連環出招：10 月 23 日晚才發布 Redmi K 90 系列手機，覆蓋 2599 元至 5499 元價段，仲要搞首銷減價同延長保修優惠；24 號又宣布推新 能源車購置稅差額補貼，對 11 月底前鎖單、因廠方原因跨年交付嘅車主兜底，預計投入超 20 億元。而小米上日（24 日）走勢依舊橫盤震盪，股價全日收 報 45.92 元，單日跌 1.75%，成交額達 79.18 億元，延續咗近期嘅整理格局。 上日我哋【港股播報】中都有點評小米：能看到小米跌幅比較大，從之前接近 60 元的高位（曾達到 59.9 元），一路下跌到上日（24 日）收盤價 45.9 元。 坦白說，這幾天小米股價算是處於橫盤整理狀態，不像前幾天那樣像下樓梯一樣一步步下跌。收盤價和前幾天差不多，算是暫時穩住了。但整體走勢還是不 太理想。 短期支撐位大概在 44.5 元，如果股價跌破 44.5 元，大概會下探到 40 元。要是股價跌到 40 元左右，那其實會跌破保力加通道的底部，這未必是最理想的情 況。而從最新數據睇，阻力位則要先攻 49.7 元，突破後有望挑戰 56 元高位。 技術面呈現明顯分歧，總結信號係強力買入，強度 ...

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group (01810) is showing a strong technical trend, with the stock price reaching a high of 57 HKD and currently at 56.6 HKD, reflecting an increase of 0.8% [1] - The stock has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 56.8 HKD, indicating bullish momentum [1] - Technical indicators such as RSI at 63 suggest a healthy bullish zone, while moving averages (MA10 at 55.02 HKD, MA30 at 53.57 HKD, MA60 at 55.29 HKD) are converging, indicating a search for a clear direction in the short term [1][3] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Xiaomi, with a target price set at 65 HKD [1] - Despite the stochastic indicator showing overbought conditions, MACD and Bollinger Bands are signaling buy opportunities, supporting a bullish outlook [3] - Recent support levels are identified at 54.7 HKD and 53.1 HKD, with resistance at 57.2 HKD; a breakout above this level could target 59.7 HKD [3] Group 3 - Derivative products related to Xiaomi have performed well, with notable gains observed on September 11 when the stock rose by 2.84% [3] - Specific derivatives such as Morgan Stanley's bull certificates (53165) and UBS's bull certificates (57477) recorded increases of 21% and 23% respectively, indicating significant excess returns in a clear upward trend [3] - Investors optimistic about Xiaomi's future can consider specific call options like the Morgan Stanley call (16984) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 7.8 times, or the UBS call (14816) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD and a leverage of 7.7 times [6] Group 4 - For bearish investors, options such as the Bank of China put (17904) or the Societe Generale put (17868) with strike prices around 54 HKD are recommended for short-term trading strategies [6] - In terms of bull and bear certificates, UBS's bull certificate (55351) with a redemption price of 53.5 HKD and a leverage of 15.6 times is highlighted for bullish strategies, while HSBC's bear certificate (59572) is suggested for bearish positions [8]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi has seen significant inflows in the warrant market, ranking third in capital inflow with approximately 12 million HKD, indicating investor interest despite a recent lack of news [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of 13:32, Xiaomi's stock price was reported at 53.95 HKD, with a daily increase of 1.31% and a trading volume of 2.783 billion HKD [1] - The stock is currently in a consolidation phase, with key technical indicators showing a neutral to slightly bullish signal [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53, indicating a balanced market between buyers and sellers [1] Group 2: Support and Resistance Levels - Initial support is identified at 52.3 HKD, with stronger support at 51 HKD [2] - The key resistance level is at 56.2 HKD, and if this is surpassed, the next target would be 57.4 HKD [2] - The stock is trading above the 10-day moving average (52.92 HKD) but near the 30-day and 60-day moving averages, indicating an unclear medium-term trend [2] Group 3: Derivative Instruments - Two notable call warrants are highlighted: UBS call warrant (14816) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD and a leverage of 7.2 times, and Morgan Stanley call warrant (18099) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 6.9 times [7] - For bearish investors, HSBC put warrant (14333) offers a leverage of 3.9 times with a strike price of 46.45 HKD, while Bank of China put warrant (14387) provides a leverage of 3.3 times with the same strike price [9] Group 4: Technical Analysis - Xiaomi is at a critical decision point, with both bulls and bears contesting the current price level [12] - Investors should monitor whether the stock can maintain support at 52.3 HKD or break through resistance at 56.2 HKD, as this will dictate short-term price direction [12] - The momentum oscillators indicate potential buying signals, suggesting accumulating upward momentum [1]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, with intense competition between bulls and bears around the 115.7 HKD mark, reflecting a potential turning point in market sentiment [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is showing mixed signals, with the RSI at 52 indicating a neutral zone, while MACD and Bollinger Bands suggest a buy signal. However, the Williams indicator indicates a sell signal, highlighting a potential major shift in market direction [3]. - The 10-day moving average (MA10) is at 118.43 HKD and the 30-day moving average (MA30) is at 112.71 HKD, indicating a golden cross and a positive medium-term trend, but a short-term breakout above 118 HKD is needed to confirm an upward trend [3]. Support and Resistance Levels - Strong support is identified at 111.2 HKD, with a potential drop to 107.3 HKD if this level is breached. Resistance is noted at 120.1 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge of 124.2 HKD [4]. - The stock price is approaching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase. Notably, trading volume has increased by 12% compared to the average of the previous five days, indicating a potential warning sign for investors [4]. Derivative Products - For bullish investors, Société Générale's call option (16079) offers a leverage of 6.5 times with a strike price of 132.1 HKD, while HSBC's call option (16089) provides 6.8 times leverage with the same strike price [7]. - For bearish investors, Bank of China’s put option (17704) offers 4.1 times leverage with a strike price of 96.95 HKD, and Morgan Stanley's put option (14371) provides 5.3 times leverage with a strike price of 117.18 HKD [10].

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group's stock price is currently experiencing a volatile consolidation pattern, trading at 56.65 HKD, down 1.31% as of 13:46 [1] - The stock is below the 10-day moving average (57.49 HKD) but above the 30-day (56.96 HKD) and 60-day (54.55 HKD) moving averages, indicating short-term adjustment pressure while the medium-term trend remains intact [1] - Technical indicators show divergence, with multiple moving averages signaling "sell," while MACD and Bollinger Bands also indicate selling pressure; however, RSI at 54 is in a neutral zone, suggesting a lack of consensus in market direction [1] Group 2 - Key support levels for Xiaomi are at 55.2 HKD (Support 1) and 53.6 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 58.4 HKD (Resistance 1) and 60.3 HKD (Resistance 2) [1] - If the stock can regain 57.5 HKD, it may challenge the 58.4 HKD resistance; conversely, a drop below 55.2 HKD could lead to a decline towards 53.6 HKD [1] Group 3 - On July 24, when Xiaomi's stock fell by 2.82%, related derivative products performed well, with Societe Generale's bear certificate (57008) rising by 16% and JPMorgan's bear certificate (56964) soaring by 30% [3] - Put options from JPMorgan (16863) and UBS (17706) recorded gains of 10% and 11%, respectively, showcasing the leverage effect of derivative instruments in trending markets [3] Group 4 - Various derivative options are available for bullish investors, including HSBC's call options (14677) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD, offering 5.9x leverage and the lowest implied volatility, or another call option (18005) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and the lowest premium [6] - For bearish investors, JPMorgan's put option (16863) has a strike price of 53.99 HKD and 4.8x leverage, while other options like UBS's put (17904) and Societe Generale's bear certificate (54560) offer varying leverage and strike prices [10]