美国11月消费者信心指数跌至88.7 创7个月来最低值 美国商务部当天公布数据显示，9月零售销售额环比增长0.2%，增速较8月数据有所放缓，低于市场预 期。该数据因此前联邦政府"停摆"延迟发布。 经济学家认为，今年第三季度美国经济预计增长3%，第四季度增速会放缓，超过一个月的政府"停 摆"是拖累第四季度经济增长的主要因素。(完) 来源：中国新闻网 中新社华盛顿11月25日电 (记者 沙晗汀)世界大型企业联合会(Conference Board)当地时间25日公布数据 显示，美国11月消费者信心指数跌至88.7，创7个月来最低值，低于市场预期。 数据显示，11月美国消费者信心指数为88.7，较10月修正数据下降6.8。具体来看，基于消费者对当前商 业和劳动力市场状况评估的现状指数为126.9，较10月数据下降4.3。基于消费者对收入、商业和劳动力 市场状况短期展望的预期指数为63.2，较10月数据下降8.6。通常情况下，如果该指数低于80，则预示着 接下来将进入衰退。 数据还显示，11月35岁以下消费者信心指数有所上升，35岁及以上消费者信心指数出现下降，55岁及以 上消费者信心指数降幅最大。按收入来看，年收入 ...

Core Insights - The U.S. consumer confidence index dropped from a revised 95.6 in September to 94.6 in October, indicating growing consumer concerns amid the ongoing federal government shutdown [1] Group 1: Consumer Confidence Index - The consumer confidence index's components show a mixed picture, with the assessment of current business and employment conditions rising by 1.8 points to 129.3, while the expectations index fell by 2.9 points to 71.5, significantly below the recession threshold of 80 [1] - The improvement in the assessment index suggests a slight recovery in consumer perceptions of current business conditions and the job market, marking the first improvement in employment market assessment since December 2024 [1] Group 2: Consumer Sentiment Factors - Consumers' written responses to the survey highlighted concerns primarily related to prices and inflation, which remain significant factors influencing their views on the U.S. economy [1] - There was a notable increase in mentions of U.S. politics in consumer feedback, with the ongoing federal government shutdown being a major concern [1]

Core Insights - The ongoing federal government "shutdown" has led to increased consumer concerns, resulting in a decline in the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index from a revised 95.6 in September to 94.6 in October [1] Group 1: Consumer Confidence Index - The Consumer Confidence Index's components show a rise in the assessment of current business and employment conditions by 1.8 points to 129.3 [1] - The consumer expectations index, reflecting short-term income prospects and business conditions, fell by 2.9 points to 71.5, significantly below the recession threshold of 80 [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The improvement in the assessment index indicates a slight recovery in consumer views on current business conditions and the job market, marking the first improvement since December 2024 [1] - All three components of the expectations index weakened, suggesting a pessimistic outlook among consumers regarding future job opportunities and business conditions, along with a decline in optimism about future income [1] Group 3: Consumer Concerns - Consumers' written responses to the survey highlighted concerns about prices and inflation, which remain significant topics affecting their views on the U.S. economy [1] - There was a notable increase in mentions of U.S. politics in consumer feedback, with the ongoing federal government "shutdown" being a primary concern [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the US consumer confidence index fell to 94.2 in September, marking a five-month low and below market expectations [1][2] - The consumer confidence index decreased by 3.6 from the revised data of August, with the present situation index at 125.4, down by 7 from August [1] - The expectations index, which reflects consumers' short-term outlook on income, business, and labor market conditions, dropped to 73.4, a decline of 1.3 from August [1] Group 2 - The consumer confidence index for individuals under 35 increased, while it decreased for those aged 35 and above [2] - The current assessment of the business and labor market conditions saw the largest drop in a year, with the employment situation index declining for nine consecutive months [2] - Inflation and prices emerged as the primary concerns for consumers in September, with many linking tariffs to rising prices [2] - The average inflation expectation for the next 12 months is 5.8%, down from 6.1% in August but still above the approximately 5% expected by the end of 2024 [2]