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京东物流(2618.HK)季报点评:3Q收入同比高增 海外业务加速布局
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-14 20:02
Core Viewpoint - JD Logistics reported strong revenue growth in Q3 2025, driven by increased retail income, new food delivery services, and expansion in overseas markets, although profitability declined due to higher resource investments in new businesses and rising short-term costs [1][2]. Revenue Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 reached 55.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.1% [1] - Revenue from JD Group increased by 65.8% year-on-year to 21.2 billion yuan, accounting for 38.5% of total revenue [1] - External customer revenue was 33.88 billion yuan, up 7.2% year-on-year, representing 61.5% of total revenue [1] Business Segmentation - Integrated supply chain business revenue was 30.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.8%, making up 54.7% of total revenue [1] - External integrated supply chain customer revenue was 8.93 billion yuan, up 13.5% year-on-year, with the number of external customers increasing by 12.7% to 67,000 [1] Profitability Analysis - Gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin for Q3 2025 were 9.1% and 3.7%, respectively, down 2.6 percentage points and 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Employee compensation and benefits increased by 49.8% year-on-year to 21.8 billion yuan due to the addition of full-time delivery personnel [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its global strategy, focusing on the Middle East and Asia-Pacific markets [2] - JD Logistics has expanded its cooperation with a well-known electric vehicle brand to provide comprehensive logistics services in the Middle East [2] - A new air freight route from Shenzhen to Singapore was launched to enhance the logistics network in the Asia-Pacific region [2] Financial Forecast - The company maintains its net profit forecast for 2025 at 6.9 billion yuan and Non-IFRS profit at 8.34 billion yuan [3] - Slight downward adjustments were made for 2026 and 2027 net profit estimates due to anticipated cost increases [3] - The target price is maintained at 16.7 HKD, based on a PE ratio of 14.8x for 2025E, which is below the average of comparable companies [3]