Group 1 - The article discusses Trump's attempts to manipulate economic data to present a more favorable view of the economy, which could backfire and damage his presidency more than any real data would [1][2] - The latest employment report shows a significant slowdown in hiring, leading to the dismissal of the BLS chief economist by Trump, who accused the agency of "manipulating" employment data [1][2] - The BLS's employment survey quality has been questioned, with budget cuts and complex methodologies increasing the probability of errors, but data revisions are meant to enhance accuracy [1][2] Group 2 - Trump's administration is seen as trying to control government agencies, including those that should operate independently, to produce favorable economic statistics [2] - The article highlights the potential for adverse economic data to emerge as tariffs and immigration policies continue to negatively impact the economy [2][3] - The bond market is signaling concerns about the "Trump economy," with a risk premium indicating investor fears about future inflation and policy uncertainty [3][4] Group 3 - Even if Trump successfully pressures the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, long-term rates may rise due to increased inflation expectations, contradicting his goals [4] - The manipulation of economic data could exacerbate market uncertainty and increase risk premiums, potentially leading to significantly higher mortgage rates [4] - The article suggests that the real issue for the American public is the perception of economic mismanagement and a sense of lost prosperity, rather than the potential for recession [5]

【文/观察者网 王一】股市、GDP（国内生产总值）等种种美国经济正朝着不好的方向前进的迹象，让 选民们对总统特朗普处理经济的方式感到愈发不满。而对于一切指责，特朗普的态度是：经济的"好部 分"应该归功于他，"坏部分"则都怪前总统拜登。 在美国全国广播公司（NBC）当地时间5月4日播出的"会见媒体"节目中，主持人克里斯汀·维尔克 （Kristen Welker）向特朗普提问道，"什么时候才是特朗普经济"？ "我认为好的部分是特朗普经济，坏的部分是拜登的经济，"特朗普"嘶"了一声后回答道，"因为他做得 很糟糕，他把所有事情都做得很糟糕，从他的自动笔——我敢肯定他对此一无所知，还有一些他本应签 署的东西。" 当地时间5月4日，特朗普接受美国全国广播公司（NBC）"会见媒体"节目采访。 视频截图 美国"政客新闻网"4日指出，特朗普没有详细说明他如何区分特朗普经济和拜登经济，但他上任100天以 来，一直致力于颠覆全球经济和贸易格局，对包括盟友在内的国家征收高额关税，试图将制造业迁回美 国。 特朗普最终暂缓90天对部分国家征收"对等关税"，但消费者信心已大幅下降，美国经济在2025年第一季 度出现了萎缩，与2024年最后 ...

机构评非农数据：这不是白宫想要的非农数据 金十数据5月2日讯，分析师Chris Anstey指出，关于这份非农报告反映的是"拜登经济"还是"特朗普经 济"，已经有很多讨论。从分项上看，总体政府工作岗位增加了1万个，医疗保健和和教育类就业岗位增 加了7万个，这几乎占了4月非农就业增长的近一半。而这些类别的就业岗位并不是特朗普团队所追求 的。他们所追求的工厂就业岗位有所萎缩，因此这对白宫来说确实不是一份理想的非农月度报告。 ...