Workflow
班科体系
icon
Search documents
美债破38万亿,政府停摆风波升级!债务滚雪球,美国信用会崩盘吗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 11:06
Core Insights - The total U.S. national debt has officially surpassed $38 trillion, increasing by $1 trillion in just two months, indicating an average daily debt increase of $16 billion and nearly $70,000 per second [1][10][21] - The dominance of the U.S. dollar in global transactions remains strong, with its share in foreign exchange trading reaching 89.2%, significantly higher than the euro at 28.9% and the yuan at 8.5% [3][4][5] Debt Dynamics - The U.S. national debt has shown unprecedented growth, with projections indicating that interest payments alone could reach $1.2 trillion in 2024, leading to a total of $14 trillion in interest payments over the next decade [10][21] - The structure of U.S. debt holdings has revealed vulnerabilities, with the Cayman Islands emerging as the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, surpassing traditional holders like China and Japan [12][16] Global Trust and Currency Dynamics - The decline in the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves to 57.74% from 68% a decade ago highlights a shift in global asset allocation, with central banks reducing their holdings of U.S. debt while increasing gold reserves [6][14] - The recent surge in gold prices and the reversal of the traditional correlation between U.S. debt yields and the dollar index signal growing concerns over the dollar's credibility [14][22] International Monetary System - The ongoing attempts by various countries to reduce reliance on the dollar, including the establishment of local currency settlement mechanisms, indicate a gradual shift in the international monetary landscape [16][22] - The potential for a new international monetary system, possibly inspired by Keynes' Bancor concept, is being explored as a means to address the inherent contradictions of reserve currencies [19][22]