Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - For crude oil, SC rose 0.21% on Friday night. Concerns about supply disruptions due to geopolitical factors and potential interest - rate cuts may boost oil demand. US crude and product inventories decreased last week, and subsequent attention should be paid to OPEC's production increase [3]. - For methanol, it fell 0.89% on Friday night. The domestic methanol overall plant operating rate decreased slightly, while the coal - to - olefins plant operating rate increased. Coastal methanol inventory is at a high level but the accumulation rate has slowed, and methanol is short - term bullish [3]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Crude Oil - Price changes: SC near - month rose 0.85% (4.0 yuan), SC next - month rose 0.73% (3.5 yuan), WTI near - month rose 0.72% (0.46 dollars), WTI next - month rose 0.69% (0.44 dollars), Brent near - month fell 0.22% (- 0.15 dollars), Brent next - month fell 0.28% (- 0.19 dollars) [2]. - Volume and open interest: SC near - month volume was 98,327, open interest was 31,938 with a decrease of 3904; SC next - month volume was 193,074, open interest was 294,186 with a decrease of 10952; WTI near - month volume was 106,713, open interest was 199,459 with an increase of 1571; WTI next - month volume was 105,363, open interest was 159,322 with a decrease of 49565; Brent near - month volume was 330,931, open interest was 607,763 with an increase of 19824 [2]. - Spreads: SC near - month - SC next - month spread was - 8.2 yuan (previous - 8.7 yuan), SC near - month - WTI near - month spread was 18.9 yuan (previous 18.2 yuan), SC near - month - Brent near - month spread was - 8.2 yuan (previous - 13.2 yuan), WTI near - month - WTI next - month spread was 3.92 dollars (previous 3.78 dollars), Brent near - month - Brent next - month spread was 0.66 dollars (previous 0.62 dollars) [2]. Methanol - Price changes: 01 contract fell 0.51% (- 12.0 yuan), 05 contract fell 0.46% (- 11.0 yuan), 09 contract fell 0.94% (- 21.0 yuan) [2]. - Volume and open interest: 01 contract volume was 419,697, open interest was 821,019 with an increase of 35186; 05 contract volume was 16,487, open interest was 95,958 with an increase of 3509; 09 contract volume was 26,306, open interest was 12,902 with a decrease of 16307 [2]. Spot Market Crude Oil - International market: OPEC basket crude price was 69.65 dollars (previous 69.75 dollars), Brent DTD was 67.51 dollars (previous 67.38 dollars), Russian ESPD was 64.60 dollars (previous 64.15 dollars), Oman was 69.81 dollars (previous 69.43 dollars), Dubai was 69.98 dollars (previous 69.45 dollars), Cinta was 65.46 dollars (previous 65.20 dollars) [2]. - Domestic market: Daqing was 64.90 dollars (previous 64.71 dollars), Shengli was 65.11 dollars (previous 65.10 dollars), China gasoline wholesale price index was 7,919 yuan/ton (previous 7,929 yuan/ton), China diesel wholesale price index was 6,811 yuan/ton (previous 6,820 yuan/ton), FOB naphtha (Singapore) was 63.75 dollars (previous 63.31 dollars), aviation kerosene ex - factory price was 5,605 yuan/ton (previous 5,676 yuan/ton) [2]. Methanol - Port price was 257 dollars, East China was 2245 yuan, North China was 2220 yuan, South China was 2247 yuan, with price decreases in all regions [2]. Comment and Strategy Crude Oil - Geopolitical factors such as India - US tariff issues and Russia - Ukraine attacks on energy infrastructure have raised supply concerns. Interest - rate cut expectations may stimulate oil demand. US crude and product inventories decreased last week, and OPEC's production increase situation should be monitored [3]. Methanol - As of August 28, the domestic methanol overall plant operating rate was 72.19% (down 0.82 percentage points month - on - month but up 0.81 percentage points year - on - year), and the coal - to - olefins plant operating rate was 82.24% (up 0.83 percentage points month - on - month). Coastal methanol inventory was 129.95 tons (up 5.1 tons from August 21, a 4.08% increase and 19.71% higher year - on - year), and the estimated import volume from August 29 to September 14 is 94.05 - 95 tons. Methanol is short - term bullish [3].

Report Summary - **Report Industry Investment Rating**: Not provided - **Core View of the Report**: The night - session prices of both crude oil and methanol rose. Crude oil prices were affected by US CPI data, inventory changes, and strategic reserve adjustments. Methanol is expected to be short - term bullish, with开工 load and inventory conditions influencing its price [3] Futures Market Crude Oil - The previous day's closing prices of SC near - month, SC next - month, WTI near - month, WTI next - month, Brent near - month, and Brent next - month were 479.5, 470.5, 61.96, 61.53, 66.60, and 66.10 respectively. The price changes were - 2.8, - 2.1, 0.90, 0.95, 1.61, and 1.55, with corresponding percentage changes of - 0.58%, - 0.44%, 1.47%, 1.57%, 2.48%, and 2.40% [2] - The trading volumes were 77,046, 52,260, 290,296, 223,289, 417,955, and 270,581 respectively, and the open interests were 15,073, 24,340, 200,444, 280,659, 494,806, and 422,865 respectively. The changes in open interests were - 2650, 863, - 18975, 9999, - 32629, and - 513 respectively [2] - The current spreads of SC near - month - SC next - month, SC next - month - SC next - next - month, SC near - month - WTI near - month, SC near - month - Brent near - month, WTI near - month - WTI next - month, and Brent near - month - Brent next - month were 9.0, 470.5, 33.7, 0.3, 3.10, and 0.50 respectively, with previous values of 9.7, 182.6, 43.0, 14.7, 3.46, and 0.44 respectively [2] Methanol - The previous day's closing prices of 01, 05, and 09 contracts were 2354, 2380, and 2291 respectively. The price changes were 20.0, 42.0, and 21.0, with percentage changes of 0.86%, 1.80%, and 0.93% respectively [2] - The trading volumes were 52,758, 990, and 766,446 respectively, and the open interests were 163,172, 3,319, and 764,051 respectively. The changes in open interests were 6087, - 542, and 6569 respectively [2] - The spot prices in the port (in US dollars), East China, North China, and South China were 260, 2465, 2230, and 2395 respectively, with price changes of 3, 10, 5, and 13 respectively [2] Market Commentary and Strategy Crude Oil - The night - session oil prices continued to rise. The US April CPI increased by 2.3% year - on - year, and the month - on - month data turned from - 0.1% to 0.2%, lower than the market expectation of 2.4% [3] - The API data showed that last week, US commercial crude oil inventories increased by 4.287 million barrels, gasoline inventories decreased by 1.374 million barrels, distillate inventories decreased by 3.675 million barrels, and Cushing crude oil inventories decreased by 850,000 barrels. The US strategic petroleum reserve increased by 500,000 barrels to 39.96 million barrels [3] Methanol - The night - session price of methanol rose by 2.1%. The average operating load of domestic coal (methanol) to olefin plants was 75.99%, a decrease of 2.08 percentage points compared to the previous period [3] - As of May 8, the overall operating load of domestic methanol plants was 75.65%, an increase of 1.22 percentage points compared to the previous period and 5.77 percentage points higher than the same period last year [3] - As of May 8, the coastal methanol inventory was 619,000 tons (at a historical low), an increase of 1,000 tons or 0.16% compared to April 30, and a decrease of 0.75% year - on - year. The estimated available methanol supply in the coastal area was around 212,000 tons [3] - According to incomplete statistics from Zhuochuang Information, the expected arrival volume of imported methanol ships from May 9 to May 25 is between 700,000 and 710,000 tons. Methanol is expected to be short - term bullish [3]