电解铝产能提升
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申万宏源:上调中国宏桥(01378)盈利预测 维持“增持”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-04 05:38
Core Viewpoint - The company has raised its profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, expecting net profits of 245, 255, and 265 billion RMB respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][6]. Group 1: Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 123.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 35.0% [2]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 810.4 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.1% [2]. - The growth in performance was primarily driven by increased sales prices and volumes of aluminum alloy and alumina products, along with a decrease in electricity costs due to falling coal prices [2]. Group 2: Product Performance - Sales volume of aluminum alloy products reached 2.906 million tons, up 2.4% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 17,853 RMB/ton, a 2.7% increase [3]. - Alumina product sales volume was 6.368 million tons, up 15.6% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 3,243 RMB/ton, a 10.3% increase [3]. - Sales volume of aluminum alloy processing products was 392,000 tons, up 3.5% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 20,615 RMB/ton, a 2.9% increase [3]. Group 3: Capacity and Investment - The company increased its stake in Yunnan Hongtai to 100%, enhancing its equity capacity by 48.4 thousand tons, which is expected to significantly boost net profits [4]. - The company announced a new share buyback plan of at least 3 billion HKD, demonstrating confidence in its future performance [5]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company had repurchased 1.87 million shares for a total of 2.6 billion HKD, all of which were canceled [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company maintains a strong integrated advantage in electrolytic aluminum production, with a leading position in overseas bauxite resources and high self-sufficiency in alumina and electricity [6]. - The expected increase in profits due to enhanced equity capacity, combined with a new supply-demand balance in the domestic electrolytic aluminum market, supports a positive outlook for aluminum prices [6].
中国宏桥(01378.HK):权益产能提升有望增利 新一轮回购彰显信心
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 02:48
Group 1: Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 81.04 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 12.36 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.0% [1] - The growth in performance was primarily driven by increased sales prices and volumes of aluminum alloy and alumina products, along with a decrease in electricity costs due to falling thermal coal prices [1] Group 2: Product Sales and Margins - Aluminum alloy products (electrolytic aluminum) saw sales volume of 2.906 million tons, up 2.4% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 17,853 RMB/ton, a 2.7% increase [1] - Alumina products achieved a sales volume of 6.368 million tons, a 15.6% increase year-on-year, with an average selling price of 3,243 RMB/ton, up 10.3% [1] - Aluminum alloy processing products had a sales volume of 392,000 tons, increasing by 3.5% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 20,615 RMB/ton, a 2.9% rise [1] Group 3: Strategic Acquisitions and Share Buybacks - The company acquired the remaining 25% stake in Yunnan Hongtai, increasing its ownership to 100%, which is expected to enhance its electrolytic aluminum capacity by 484,000 tons [2] - A new share buyback plan was announced, with a minimum amount of 3 billion HKD, and the company has already repurchased 10.151 million shares for cancellation, accounting for 0.11% of total issued shares [2][3] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had repurchased 1.87 million shares for a total of 2.6 billion HKD, all of which were canceled [3] Group 4: Future Outlook and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to see significant profit growth due to increased equity capacity and a new supply-demand balance in the electrolytic aluminum market, with revised net profit forecasts of 24.5 billion RMB, 25.5 billion RMB, and 26.5 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by its integrated advantages in electrolytic aluminum production and high self-sufficiency in alumina and electricity [3]