Group 1: Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 81.04 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 12.36 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.0% [1] - The growth in performance was primarily driven by increased sales prices and volumes of aluminum alloy and alumina products, along with a decrease in electricity costs due to falling thermal coal prices [1] Group 2: Product Sales and Margins - Aluminum alloy products (electrolytic aluminum) saw sales volume of 2.906 million tons, up 2.4% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 17,853 RMB/ton, a 2.7% increase [1] - Alumina products achieved a sales volume of 6.368 million tons, a 15.6% increase year-on-year, with an average selling price of 3,243 RMB/ton, up 10.3% [1] - Aluminum alloy processing products had a sales volume of 392,000 tons, increasing by 3.5% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 20,615 RMB/ton, a 2.9% rise [1] Group 3: Strategic Acquisitions and Share Buybacks - The company acquired the remaining 25% stake in Yunnan Hongtai, increasing its ownership to 100%, which is expected to enhance its electrolytic aluminum capacity by 484,000 tons [2] - A new share buyback plan was announced, with a minimum amount of 3 billion HKD, and the company has already repurchased 10.151 million shares for cancellation, accounting for 0.11% of total issued shares [2][3] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had repurchased 1.87 million shares for a total of 2.6 billion HKD, all of which were canceled [3] Group 4: Future Outlook and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to see significant profit growth due to increased equity capacity and a new supply-demand balance in the electrolytic aluminum market, with revised net profit forecasts of 24.5 billion RMB, 25.5 billion RMB, and 26.5 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by its integrated advantages in electrolytic aluminum production and high self-sufficiency in alumina and electricity [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a 35% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by higher sales prices and volumes of aluminum alloy and alumina products, along with a decrease in electricity costs due to falling coal prices [7]. - The acquisition of the remaining 25% stake in Yunnan Hongtai is expected to enhance the company's electrolytic aluminum capacity by 484,000 tons, significantly boosting future net profits [7]. - A new share buyback plan has been announced, with a minimum repurchase amount of HKD 3 billion, reflecting the company's confidence in its future performance [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at RMB 160.76 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.9% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to reach RMB 24.53 billion in 2025, representing a 9.7% increase from the previous year [6][8]. - Earnings per share are expected to be RMB 2.55 in 2025, with a return on equity of 20.8% [6][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for China Hongqiao [6][5][16] Core Views - The company's mid-year performance for 2025 shows a significant increase in net profit by 35% year-on-year, driven by higher sales prices and increased sales volume of aluminum alloy and alumina products [6][5] - The acquisition of the remaining 25% stake in Yunnan Hongtai is expected to enhance the company's equity capacity by 484,000 tons, which could substantially increase net profit [6][5] - A new share buyback plan of at least HKD 3 billion reflects the company's confidence in its future performance [6][5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 133.624 billion, with a growth rate of 1%, and is expected to reach RMB 160.760 billion by 2025, reflecting a 2.9% increase [5][7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from RMB 11.461 billion in 2023 to RMB 24.533 billion in 2025, representing a 9.7% increase [5][7] - Earnings per share are expected to rise from RMB 1.21 in 2023 to RMB 2.55 in 2025 [5][7] - The company's return on equity is projected to remain strong, with rates of 20.8% in 2025 [5][7]