Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 mid-year results, showing a decline in revenue but a slight increase in net profit, indicating resilience amid challenging market conditions [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 13.185 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.082 billion yuan, an increase of 1.1% [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 6.766 billion yuan, down 3.6% year-on-year, and net profit of 638 million yuan, up 3.3% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for the power generation business improved by 4.92 percentage points to 18.63% in H1 2025, despite a 6.2% decline in revenue from this segment [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The power generation segment generated revenue of 10.453 billion yuan, accounting for 79% of total revenue, while the coal business contributed 2.370 billion yuan, representing 18% of total revenue [1]. - The average price of coal at Qinhuangdao port was 620 yuan/ton, a decrease of 26.9% year-on-year, and the annual long-term electricity price in Anhui fell by 0.023 yuan/kWh [1]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - The company is leveraging the electricity demand advantage in Anhui province and the "Xinjiang Electricity into Anhui" strategy to expand its operations [2]. - By the end of 2024, the company will have a controlling share of 23.7% of the province's thermal power installed capacity, the highest in Anhui [2]. - The economic growth in Anhui, with a 5.8% increase in GDP, supports robust electricity demand, driven by emerging industries such as high-tech manufacturing and new energy vehicles [2]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.373 billion yuan, 2.466 billion yuan, and 2.616 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 15.0%, 3.9%, and 6.1% respectively [3]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are 7, 7, and 6, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating based on Anhui's economic advantages [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the decline in revenue has been offset by a decrease in costs, resulting in a gross profit margin increase of 4.92 percentage points to 18.63% for the power generation business [7] - The company benefits from the declining coal prices, which have decreased by 26.9% year-on-year, helping to mitigate the impact of falling electricity prices [7] - The report emphasizes the strong electricity demand in Anhui province, supported by economic growth and the development of emerging industries, which is expected to drive future electricity consumption [7] - The company is positioned as a leading power operator in Anhui, with a significant share of the province's thermal power generation capacity [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 27,867 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.26% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is expected to be 1,430 million yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 186.37% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.63 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.59 [1] - For 2025, the net profit is projected to reach 2,373 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 15% [7] - The report forecasts a decrease in total revenue for 2025 to 28,046 million yuan, a decline of 6.80% compared to 2024 [1]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is a leading player in the Anhui thermal power sector, benefiting from the support of its controlling shareholder, with a steady increase in equity installed capacity [2][19]. - The company is strategically expanding its operations in Xinjiang while maintaining a strong foundation in Anhui, with a focus on enhancing profitability through efficient power generation [3][41]. - The company is accelerating its energy transition by actively developing renewable energy, energy storage, and pumped storage projects, which are expected to significantly boost its future growth [4][76]. Summary by Sections 1. Anhui Thermal Power Leader, Dual Control Progress - The company is the core platform of the Anhui Energy Group, with a focus on integrating power assets and developing its power business [13]. - As of Q1 2025, the company has a total installed capacity of 14.66 GW, with a significant portion from coal-fired power [19][41]. - The company holds a 23.7% share of the provincial thermal power capacity in Anhui, leading the market [19]. 2. Solid Foundation in Thermal Power, Strategic Layout in Xinjiang - The company has a total of 14.07 GW of thermal power in operation, primarily in Anhui and Xinjiang [3][41]. - The company is leveraging the "Electricity from Xinjiang to Anhui" initiative to enhance its operational efficiency and profitability [42]. - The expected increase in electricity demand in Anhui supports the utilization hours of the company's power generation units [46]. 3. Green Energy Initiatives and Accelerated Energy Transition - The company plans to increase its renewable energy capacity to 1.25 million kW by 2025, representing a 724% year-on-year growth [4][83]. - The company has established a chemical energy storage project and is actively pursuing pumped storage projects [4][77]. - The controlling shareholder has committed to injecting renewable energy assets into the company, further enhancing its growth potential [76]. 4. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 32.09 billion, 30.72 billion, and 30.29 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.18 billion, 2.34 billion, and 2.44 billion yuan [4][80]. - The report anticipates a steady growth in earnings, with a projected PE ratio of 7.7, 7.2, and 6.9 for the next three years [4][80].