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舍得酒业(600702):2025年半年报点评:大众价位带增长,期待利润端持续修复
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-25 09:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 2.701 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 443 million yuan, down 24.98% [1] - The company is focusing on a strategy of "strong sales, promoting opening bottles, and destocking" to navigate through the current market challenges, with expectations for a gradual recovery in profit margins [3] - The company anticipates achieving net profits of 496 million yuan, 671 million yuan, and 909 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 43.5%, 35.2%, and 35.4% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.125 billion yuan, with a net profit of 97 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease in revenue of 3.44% but a significant increase in net profit of 139.48% [1] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 65.71%, down 3.73 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.41%, a decrease of 1.66 percentage points [3] Product and Market Strategy - The company is diversifying its product offerings with a focus on both high-end and low-end products, including the launch of a new low-alcohol product expected to contribute to growth in the second half of the year [2] - The company plans to enhance its market presence by focusing resources on key markets to improve its overall risk resilience in the white liquor sector [2] Sales Channels and Distribution - In Q2 2025, the company reported a decline in wholesale revenue by 7.80% to 8.45 billion yuan, while e-commerce sales increased by 23.83% to 1.31 billion yuan, indicating a shift in sales strategy [2] - The number of distributors decreased by 36 to a total of 2,585 by the end of Q2 2025, reflecting adjustments in the distribution network [2]