但现实很骨感，低度酒从来没有真正带领行业走出过低谷，拯救行业的往往是高端化。 如果低度酒真能救行业，那茅台最大的对手或许是江小白。 低度酒救不了行业，要从白酒这门生意的本质说起。 白酒是披着C端外衣的B端/G端生意。 俗话说"烟铺路、酒搭桥"，高端白酒绝大部分消费来自商务场景：茅台商务接待占比 50%，礼品占比 30%，宴会占10%，剩余才是自饮等需求。 历史是个轮回，尤其对白酒而言。 从1989年亚洲金融危机到2012年八项规定再到如今的需求下行+最严禁酒令，每逢白酒遇到危机，行业 总会出现低度化风潮。 逻辑看似很完美：低度酒可以在不伤害品牌的情况下降价，吸引更多消费者。 而商务场景又由经济周期和产业结构决定，白酒的供给端创新显然无法撬动商务场景。 低度酒救市逻辑不通，又有历史的前车之鉴。由此，部分投资人质疑酒企集体押注低度酒，并非战略主 动调整，而是来自股东压力——面对持续"不乐观"的业绩和低迷股价，管理层"必须做点什么"。 调整是否来自股东压力暂且不论。 但行业想要走出下行趋势更务实的做法是，卸下业绩包袱，放弃压货换增长的打法，牺牲短期业绩去创 造更健康的行业环境。 / 01 /白酒降度是悖论 曾被视为 ...

Group 1 - The core idea of the article is that Shede Liquor is innovating its product offerings to attract younger consumers while maintaining its traditional old liquor strategy [1][2] - The newly launched "马上有舍得" series of small liquor blind boxes targets young consumers with a playful design and a lower price point of 98 yuan per 100ml bottle, making it more accessible [1][4] - Shede's "舍得自在" product, priced at 329 yuan for 500ml, features a lower alcohol content and aims to provide a comfortable choice for consumers, expanding the boundaries of old liquor consumption [2][4] Group 2 - Shede Liquor is focusing on e-commerce as a key sales channel, with significant growth in online sales, achieving 336 million yuan in e-commerce revenue, a year-on-year increase of 31.38% [5][4] - The company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with JD.com to enhance its online presence and is actively pursuing new sales channels, including live-streaming e-commerce [4][5] - Internationally, Shede has expanded its market presence, with a 50% year-on-year increase in sales revenue in Southeast Asia and operations in 40 countries and regions [6][5] Group 3 - Shede Liquor is investing in a joint venture for a "liquor tourism integration project" with a total investment of 1.2 billion yuan, aiming for an internal rate of return of 8.5% over an estimated payback period of 11.47 years [8][8] - The company is actively addressing inventory pressure, with a total inventory of 5.603 billion yuan as of mid-2025, and is continuing its production expansion projects with a total investment of 7.054 billion yuan [10][10] - As of the report period, Shede has invested 1.05 billion yuan in its expansion project, with a cumulative investment of 1.762 billion yuan, indicating a progress rate of approximately 31% [10][10]

Core Insights - Tuo Pai has partnered with Meituan Shanguo to enhance its marketing strategy for the upcoming double festival, focusing on an O2O (online-to-offline) marketing loop that combines online exposure and offline consumption experiences [1][2][3] Group 1: Marketing Strategy - The collaboration aims to provide consumers with an "average 30 minutes delivery" experience, aligning with Tuo Pai's main IP activities to boost brand presence and market penetration [2][3] - Tuo Pai is implementing a dual-channel strategy by integrating online and offline resources, with a focus on five major cities to enhance sales conversion during the double festival [3][4] - The marketing campaign includes a special promotion in selected restaurants, targeting young consumers and enhancing brand engagement through immersive experiences [4][6] Group 2: Consumer Trends - The white liquor industry is witnessing a shift from "planned stockpiling" to "immediate consumption," with instant retail reshaping consumer behavior [3][6] - According to Guoxin Securities, the instant retail market for alcoholic beverages is projected to reach a scale of 600-900 billion yuan by 2030, with an annual growth rate of 10%-17% [3] Group 3: Brand Engagement - The upgraded "Jiu Zhuo Ge Shen" IP focuses on creating emotional connections with consumers through music and social interactions, enhancing brand recall and purchase intent [7][10] - Tuo Pai's marketing efforts are designed to resonate with younger demographics and penetrate lower-tier markets, leveraging high interactivity and social attributes [7][12] Group 4: E-commerce Performance - Tuo Pai's parent company, Shede Liquor, has also seen significant growth in e-commerce, with a reported sales increase of 31.68% year-on-year in the first half of the year [10][12] - The strategic partnership with JD.com and the launch of a new low-alcohol product have contributed to a strong market response, indicating a successful expansion into e-commerce channels [10][12]

Industry Overview - The liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with the white liquor sector facing high channel inventory and price inversion, while leading companies like Moutai and Wuliangye continue to grow [6][11] - The beer industry is performing well, with major players like China Resources, Tsingtao, and Yanjing showing revenue and profit growth, driven by high-end products [5][6] - The overall liquor market structure remains largely unchanged, with leading companies gaining more advantages while different liquor categories face unique challenges and opportunities [6][10] Key Insights on Liquor Segments - The second and third-tier sauce liquor brands are struggling with inventory buildup and price inversion, necessitating a shift from scale competition to value competition, focusing on brand positioning and quality upgrades [3][4] - The beer industry is experiencing a transformation with a focus on high-end products, craft beers, and innovative distribution channels, which are becoming key profit growth points [5][6] - The low-alcohol liquor market is projected to reach 74 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 25%, as younger consumers drive the trend towards "light drinking" and social consumption [13][14] Brand Dynamics - Wuliangye reported a revenue of 52.771 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.19%, showcasing the resilience of industry leaders [16] - Luzhou Laojiao achieved a revenue of 16.454 billion yuan and a net profit of 7.663 billion yuan, focusing on market penetration and product innovation to adapt to changing consumer demands [20] - Moutai is launching new products to enhance market reach, emphasizing consumer needs and personalized offerings during the adjustment period [7][8] Consumer Trends - The industry is witnessing a shift towards lower alcohol content and personalized products, with companies like Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao introducing low-alcohol options to cater to younger consumers [13][29] - The focus on emotional value and social attributes in consumption is becoming increasingly important, as brands adapt to the preferences of younger demographics [9][21] - The online sales of aged liquor are growing, with the market expected to exceed 130 billion yuan by 2024, driven by younger consumers and the demand for unique experiences [14][19] Strategic Initiatives - Companies are increasingly adopting cross-industry strategies to attract younger consumers, with brands like Moutai and Luzhou Laojiao exploring collaborations with non-alcoholic sectors [11][12] - The emphasis on cultural experiences and community engagement is becoming a key strategy for brands to build loyalty and enhance consumer connections [25][26] - The introduction of innovative products and marketing strategies is essential for brands to navigate the competitive landscape and meet evolving consumer expectations [22][30]

Core Viewpoint - The white liquor industry is experiencing a "low-degree competition" as several companies, including Wuliangye and Gujinggongjiu, have launched low-degree liquor products to attract younger consumers and adapt to changing market dynamics [1][5]. Industry Trends - Since late August, multiple liquor companies have introduced low-degree white liquor, indicating a shift in consumer preferences and market strategies [1]. - The overall number of large-scale liquor enterprises in China has decreased, with 887 companies reported in mid-2025, down over 100 from the previous year [4]. - The production of white liquor has declined by 5.8% year-on-year, with sales revenue slightly increasing by 0.19% to 330.42 billion yuan, while profits fell by 10.93% to 87.69 billion yuan [4]. Market Response - Retailers have been cautious about stocking new low-degree products, with many still focusing on high-degree liquor, which dominates the market [2][3]. - The current market for low-degree liquor is primarily driven by local brands, with only a small percentage of low-degree options available in stores [2][3]. Consumer Insights - The primary consumer base for liquor remains middle-aged and older individuals, with younger consumers showing a preference for purchasing low-degree liquor through online channels or convenience stores [3]. - A survey indicated that only 19% of young consumers prefer white liquor, while 52% favor beer and 29% prefer foreign or fruit wines [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Major liquor companies are launching low-degree products as a strategy to engage younger consumers and expand into casual drinking scenarios [5]. - Companies like Gujinggongjiu and Wuliangye have recently introduced new low-degree products, indicating a competitive push in this segment [5]. Challenges - The definition of low-degree liquor varies, complicating market positioning and consumer understanding [6]. - The industry faces challenges in establishing consumption habits and market recognition for low-degree liquor, as traditional consumption scenarios remain dominated by high-degree products [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry is shifting from a "business necessity" to a "lifestyle enjoyment" approach, with many companies launching lower-alcohol products to attract younger consumers and enhance market vitality [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - Several major liquor companies, including Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and Shui Jing Fang, are actively introducing lower-alcohol products, indicating a trend towards product diversification and market adaptation [2][3]. - The market for low-alcohol liquor is projected to grow significantly, from approximately 20 billion yuan in 2020 to about 57 billion yuan in 2024, with an expected compound annual growth rate of 30% [4]. Group 2: Consumer Demographics - The primary consumer demographic for liquor is shifting, with older generations gradually exiting the market, while younger consumers, particularly those born after 1985, are becoming the main growth drivers [3][4]. - The younger generation prefers personalized, lower-alcohol, and social drinking experiences, which necessitates a strategic shift for liquor companies to engage this demographic effectively [3][5]. Group 3: Marketing and Sales Strategies - Companies need to adopt innovative marketing strategies, utilizing new media and experiential marketing to resonate with younger consumers and stimulate brand engagement [5][6]. - The current market faces challenges, including a lack of consumption scenarios for low-alcohol products and limited channel profitability, which may hinder sales unless companies implement supportive policies [5][6]. Group 4: Future Directions - Lowering alcohol content is seen as a starting point for companies to connect with younger consumers, but deeper engagement with consumer preferences and behaviors is essential for long-term success [6]. - The industry is entering a new era characterized by rational consumption attitudes, where understanding and responding to the needs of younger consumers will be crucial for driving growth [6].

白酒正在放下"商务刚需"的架子，朝着"生活悦己"的方向发展。9月16日，北京商报记者统计，目前包 括五粮液、泸州老窖、水井坊及舍得酒业等多家白酒上市公司推出低度化产品，主动为白酒产品 降"度"。在这股低度风潮下，不仅有酒企为拓展年轻消费群体深耕存量市场的思考，同时也有通过低度 产品实现与核心主品牌的价值区隔与互补。事实上，酒企想要获得年轻消费者的青睐，不仅是推出产品 那么简单，未来若想要真正成为"年轻人的第一口白酒"，仍需要酒企切实贴近消费者需求。 白酒从业者表示，无论年轻消费群体的潜力，还是市场增速的可观性，其背后不仅蕴藏巨大的增量市 场，同时也为酒企深耕存量市场提供了机会。但目前低度酒市场仍面临诸多挑战，如何真正贴近年轻消 费群体并非是一款产品就能解决的，而是需要企业从战略、产品、渠道以及营销策略全方位布局。 尽管当下低度酒产品相继发布，但若想要真正切入年轻消费市场却并非仅有产品这么简单。纵观当下消 费市场，低度酒仍面临着消费场景缺失的问题，且市场认知与饮用习惯并未建立。目前，白酒消费场景 主要以商务宴请与礼赠等为主，其主要产品以高度、高端白酒产品为主。而在居家自饮、朋友聚会等场 景中，精酿啤酒、预调酒等 ...

Group 1 - The "Double Festival" period, which includes both Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, is traditionally a peak consumption period for the liquor industry, but this year, sales are significantly lower compared to previous years [1][2] - Sales volume has decreased by approximately 30% year-on-year, with many retailers reporting slow pre-festival consumption and a focus on clearing existing inventory [1][2] - Consumers are exhibiting more rational purchasing behavior, with daily sales reported to be only a few dozen bottles, and new customer orders are scarce [1][2] Group 2 - Despite the upcoming festivals, the liquor market is experiencing a "peak season not booming" trend, with prices remaining low and promotional activities being widespread [2][3] - High-end liquor prices are also declining, with the price of a 500ml bottle of Feitian Moutai dropping from around 2400 yuan last year to 1820 yuan this year [3] - The trend of rational consumption is evident, with consumers prioritizing value for money and practicality, leading to a reduction in high-end liquor demand [3][4] Group 3 - In response to the current market conditions, liquor companies are exploring new growth avenues, such as launching low-alcohol products to attract consumers [4] - There is still some optimism among merchants regarding potential consumption increases in the latter half of September, as they anticipate a slight recovery in sales during the "Double Festival" [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively launching new products and strategies to adapt to the changing market dynamics in the liquor industry, particularly focusing on low-alcohol beverages and leveraging cultural IP for brand positioning [2][3][11]. Product Launches - The company has introduced new high-end liquor products, including "舍得·万木争春" and "舍得坛装酒·舍得智慧人物," marking its first celebrity collaboration in the premium liquor segment [2]. - The new low-alcohol product "舍得自在," priced at 329 yuan, is positioned as a "low-alcohol drinking type" liquor, utilizing a blend of aged spirits [3][4]. Market Trends - The low-alcohol liquor market is experiencing significant growth, with a projected market size exceeding 740 billion yuan and a compound annual growth rate of approximately 25% over the past five years, compared to the overall liquor industry's growth of 2%-3% [3]. - The company aims to target diverse consumer scenarios, including social gatherings and home consumption, with its low-alcohol offerings [4]. Sales Performance - The pre-sale of the new products on JD.com saw rapid consumer interest, with 20,000 people adding items to their carts within 24 hours and over 12,000 orders placed in 36 hours [5]. - The company's overall revenue for the first half of the year was 2.701 billion yuan, with a net profit of 443 million yuan, showing signs of recovery in the second quarter [13]. Strategic Focus - The company is implementing a strategy centered on "old liquor, multi-brand matrix, youthfulness, and internationalization," focusing on enhancing brand value while expanding its market reach [9]. - The management plans to establish "舍得" as the leading brand in the old liquor category and "沱牌" as a cost-effective mass-market brand [11]. Financial Health - The company reported a 31.38% year-on-year increase in e-commerce sales, amounting to 336 million yuan in the first half of the year, indicating a successful shift towards online sales channels [17]. - The company is actively managing inventory and pricing strategies to stabilize its financial performance, with a slight decrease in contract liabilities and an increase in inventory levels [16][14].

Core Insights - Luzhou Laojiao has announced that well-known stand-up comedian Xu Zhisheng will endorse its Erqu Guangping liquor, indicating a trend of celebrity endorsements in the liquor industry aimed at attracting younger consumers [1][3] Group 1: Market Trends - The liquor industry is experiencing significant changes in consumption patterns among younger generations, with a shift in drinking scenarios such as "drinking, gifting, and collecting" compared to previous generations [4] - Young consumers, particularly those born after 1985, are becoming the primary target for liquor companies, leading to a focus on personalized, lower-alcohol, and aesthetically appealing products [4][5] - The trend of "youthification" in the liquor market is evident, with companies actively seeking to engage younger consumers and break traditional consumption barriers [5] Group 2: Product Strategy - Luzhou Laojiao has introduced a new packaging for its Erqu liquor (2025 version), promoting a 42-degree product with a suggested retail price of 65 yuan per 500ml bottle, alongside promotional activities [3][7] - The company is responding to the demand for lower-alcohol and healthier options by innovating and developing new drinking methods, such as the upcoming 28-degree Guojiao 1573 [6] - Luzhou Laojiao is focusing on the light bottle liquor segment as a key area for growth, aiming to solidify its position in the mainstream market [7]