Core Viewpoint - Analysts from Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) predict that silver futures may rise to $46 per ounce or higher by the second quarter of 2026, driven by upward risks due to a declining dollar and increasing structural safe-haven demand for silver [1] Group 1 - The upward risk for silver prices is attributed to the declining risk of the dollar [1] - Strong safe-haven demand for silver is contributing to its price being at a 14-year high [1] - The inverse relationship between silver and the dollar is a significant factor in the current pricing dynamics [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in silver prices are influenced by U.S. economic data, particularly jobless claims and employment reports, which are shaping market expectations for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3][4]. Group 1: Silver Market Analysis - As of September 5, London silver is trading below $40.78, with a current price of $40.72, reflecting a 0.25% increase [1]. - The highest price reached today was $40.84, while the lowest was $40.52, indicating a short-term bullish trend in the silver market [1]. - The market is awaiting the monthly employment report, which is expected to significantly impact silver prices depending on the employment growth figures [3]. Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - Recent jobless claims data showed an increase to 237,000, exceeding the expected 230,000, indicating a cooling labor market [3]. - The ADP national employment report revealed that private sector jobs increased by only 54,000 in August, well below the anticipated 65,000, with July's figures revised upward to 106,000 [3]. - These indicators suggest a gradual slowdown in the U.S. labor market, which may enhance the safe-haven appeal of silver while raising concerns about a potential economic recession [3]. Group 3: Trading Strategies - The trading strategy for silver includes holding positions with stop-loss orders set at $39.95 and targeting price levels of $40.5, $40.7, and $41-$41.2 [4]. - The market sentiment is cautious ahead of the non-farm payroll report, with traders adjusting their positions based on the anticipated data [4].