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迈克尔·格林:身为美国人,我的人生是一场谎言
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 01:14
这个数字看似与政治无关,而是政府部门的专家根据事实精心测算得出的客观数据。几十年前,有人划定了这条界限,用来界定在美国谁是"穷人"、谁又 是"中产阶级",以及谁该获得援助。换句话说,它是美国基本福利的提供标准——无形无迹、不容置疑、举足轻重。 这周我在看GDP数据,忽然感到疑惑:明明美国GDP增长健康、失业率也在G7国家中处于中等偏低的水平,美国中产阶级怎么会年年感觉越来越穷? 【文/迈克尔·格林】 我是一名资产管理公司的首席策略师,毕业于宾夕法尼亚大学。但今天我不想讨论市场走势,尽管目前信贷压力持续加剧,科技板块(尤其"人工智能"领 域)尤为明显。 我认为,民众的通胀担忧(衡量市场表现的缺失指标)将再次让美联储陷入停滞。政策制定者将陷入死胡同(Zugzwang,国际象棋术语),任何走法都 将导致困境。 而这一切都与美国的贫困线有关。我相信许多左翼读者会说,"贫困问题我们已经讨论很多年了!"确实,你们中的许多人意识到了这一点,但你们仅关注 前端、情绪化的数据(如维持基本生计的工资),而非真正用数据说话。 贫困线:一个失灵的基准如何悄然崩坏美国 我在职业生涯中始终对显而易见的事物持怀疑态度。市场、流动性、要素模 ...
有了YU7的雷军能避免“摩西陷阱”吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 16:29
Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of charismatic leaders in technology and innovation, comparing figures like Edwin Land, Steve Jobs, and Lei Jun, highlighting their ability to create groundbreaking products that transform industries [1][4][29] - Polaroid's sales grew from less than $1.5 million in 1948 to $1.4 billion in 1978, showcasing its dominance in instant photography for 30 years [3] - Lei Jun's Xiaomi YU7 achieved remarkable success, with 240,000 units sold within 18 hours, indicating a new era in the automotive industry in China [4][29] Group 2 - The concept of the "Moses Trap" is introduced, where leaders overly rely on visionary ideas without practical strategies, potentially leading to failure [8][14] - The article emphasizes the need for a balance between creativity and execution within organizations, suggesting that leaders should act as gardeners rather than authoritarian figures [12][22] - The principles of "phase separation," "dynamic balance," and "systemic thinking" are outlined as essential for fostering innovation while maintaining operational efficiency [19][24][27]