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三维化学(002469):三季度业绩承压,在手订单将逐步确认收入
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-29 15:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.941 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 14.63% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 153 million yuan, up 5.14% year-on-year [2][6]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 692 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.61%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 33 million yuan, down 46.18% year-on-year and down 51.90% quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. - The company has a contract asset of 190 million yuan in Q3 2025, which is a 102.8% increase compared to the beginning of the year, mainly due to the confirmation of income from various engineering projects [13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.941 billion yuan, with a net profit of 153 million yuan. The Q3 revenue was 692 million yuan, with a net profit of 33 million yuan [2][6]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 250 million yuan, 370 million yuan, and 500 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22.8X, 15.3X, and 11.3X [13]. Market and Industry Analysis - The chemical sector is under pressure, with the average market price of normal propanol around 7070 yuan/ton in Q3 2025, down 1.9% quarter-on-quarter [13]. - The company is advancing coal chemical projects and refining transformation projects, supported by national policies aimed at enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [13]. Product and Technology Development - The company is the largest producer of normal propanol in China and is focusing on optimizing production processes for various aldehydes and alcohols [13]. - The high-end cellulose products are expected to benefit from domestic substitution trends, with a significant production capacity upgrade planned for acetate butyrate cellulose [13].