复工积极性显著好转,3月固投有望改善 键第一篇 ■ 证券研究报告 因 投资评级:看好(维持) 最近 12 月市场表现 分析师 十字 SAC 证书编号: S0160526020003 wangtao01@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《厚积固根本,乘新拓远疆》 2025- 11-28 2. 《"十五五"规划出台，建筑板块哪些方 向值得关注 》 3. 《"高切低"风格转换下建筑板块如何布 局》 2025-10-20 请阅读最后一页的重要声明! 建筑板块大幅跑赢大盘,专业工程及园林工程领涨。本周建筑指数上涨 � 6.08%，沪深 300 板块上涨 2.67%，建筑板块跑赢大盘 3.41pct。专业工 程、园林工程板块涨幅靠前。我们认为，部分区域基建存在回暖预期，结合股 息率,推荐高分红地方国企品种,同时重点挖掘高景气赛道的建筑相关品种, 如洁净室、化工工程、矿产等方向。重点关注中小建企转型及重组预期。此 外，国际地缘冲突下能源安全战略诉求强化，重点关注煤化工板块。 ❖ 复工数据同比好转,资金到位改善或显拐点。据百年建筑调研,截至２月 25 日(农历正月初九)，全国 10692 个工地开复工率为 8.9%，农历 ...

中信证券预计，短期1个月内北港5500大卡动力煤价或涨至800元/吨以上，二季度均价或在750元/吨以 上。研报表示："目前叠加印尼煤炭减量带来的出口扰动，国内煤价预期有望持续向好。我们推荐有煤 化工业务的低估值公司以及化工煤销量占比相对高的公司，同时可关注在印尼有煤炭资源布局的公 司。" 研报进一步分析了油煤价格的联动机制。从历史比价来看，油煤价格在长周期内趋势同向变动，近两年 油煤价格比值维持在2至3的稳定区间，短期内两者存在联动基础。在煤化工传导路径上，由于煤化工主 流产品与石化路线产品价格趋同，原油涨价将推升石化产品成本，煤化工盈利空间随之扩大，进而带动 装置开工率和耗煤量提升。值得注意的是，中东区域是中国甲醇进口的主要来源地，据海关总署数据， 2025年进口来源占比超过70%。研报认为，若冲突导致区域物流受阻，国内煤制甲醇需求量或进一步增 加。 除地缘因素外，印尼煤炭供给收缩也是当前煤价的重要支撑。研报称，印尼官方年初以来持续缩减煤炭 产量配额，多数矿山压缩了现货煤炭出口，导致中国进口煤供应趋紧，并带动澳煤进口价格上涨。目前 国内电厂远期到港的进口煤招标价格已普遍倒挂，对淡季煤价形成托底。 声明：市 ...

中信证券研报表示，中东地缘冲突升级，若油价上涨，或有效推涨煤价；同时，甲醇等化工品贸易物流 若受到影响，国内煤化工耗煤需求也有望增加，对煤价形成利好。目前叠加印尼煤炭减量带来的出口扰 动，国内煤价预期有望持续向好。我们推荐有煤化工业务的低估值公司以及化工煤销量占比相对高的公 司，同时可关注在印尼有煤炭资源布局的公司。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） 中信证券研报表示，中东地缘冲突升级，若油价上涨，或有效推涨煤价；同时，甲醇等化工品贸易物流 若受到影响，国内煤化工耗煤需求也有望增加，对煤价形成利好。目前叠加印尼煤炭减量带来的出口扰 动，国内煤价预期有望持续向好。我们推荐有煤化工业务的低估值公司以及化工煤销量占比相对高的公 司，同时可关注在印尼有煤炭资源布局的公司。 ...

磷化工板块金正大4连板，小金属板块章源钨业3连板。一图速览今日连板股>> | 股票名称 | 连板天数 | 所属概念 | | --- | --- | --- | | 豫能控股 | 7 | 电力 | | 金正大 | 4 | 礎化工 | | *ST海钦 | 4 | 煤化工 | | *ST松发 | 3 | 船舶制造 | | 章源钨业 | 3 | 小ぞ属 | | 赣能股份 | 3 | 电力 | | 洋米股份 | 3 | 跨境电商 | | *ST海非 | 3 | 机械设备 | | *ST艾艾 | 3 | 基础化工 | | 北京科锐 | 2 | 储能 | | 泰嘉股份 | 2 | 商业航天 | | 华银电力 | 2 | 电力 | | 神马电力 | 2 | 电网设备 | | 长源东谷 | 2 | 汽车零部件 | 2月27日，Wind数据显示，A股市场共计92只个股涨停。其中电力股豫能控股收获7连板，磷化工板块金 正大4连板，小金属板块章源钨业3连板。一图速览今日连板股>> 第 则经 HERR 2.27 t 2017 雷斯波语 ...

2月24日，申能股份盘中上涨2.18%，截至13:05，报8.42元/股，成交1.15亿元，换手率0.28%，总市值 412.08亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入1175.18万元，特大单买入1205.60万元，占比10.52%，卖出125.72万 元，占比1.10%；大单买入1576.50万元，占比13.75%，卖出1481.20万元，占比12.92%。 申能股份今年以来股价涨8.23%，近5个交易日涨0.60%，近20日涨3.95%，近60日涨0.48%。 资料显示，申能股份有限公司位于上海市虹井路159号5楼，成立日期1993年2月22日，上市日期1993年4 月16日，公司主营业务涉及从事电力、石油天然气的开发建设和经营管理,从事电力、石油、天然气项 目的勘探开发、投资建设、运营维护以及节能环保技术、燃料贸易等业务。主营业务收入构成为：煤电 业务43.09%，气电业务18.92%，油气管输业务13.34%，风电业务11.88%，煤炭销售8.06%，光伏发电业 务4.54%，其他(补充)0.17%。 申能股份所属申万行业为：公用事业-电力-火力发电。所属概念板块包括：天然气、煤化工、甲醇概 念、油气 ...

万华化学今年以来股价涨13.02%，近5个交易日跌0.41%，近20日涨5.17%，近60日涨34.77%。 资料显示，万华化学集团股份有限公司位于山东省烟台市经济技术开发区三亚路3号，成立日期1998年 12月16日，上市日期2001年1月5日，公司主营业务涉及各种异氰酸酯产品及其衍生产品的开发、生产、 经营、应用;各种聚氨酯系统料及其助剂的开发、生产、经营。主营业务收入构成为：聚氨酯系列 40.58%，石化系列38.43%，精细化学品及新材料系列17.19%，其他12.46%，其他(补充)0.40%。 万华化学所属申万行业为：基础化工-化学制品-聚氨酯。所属概念板块包括：环氧丙烷、化学原料概 念、POE胶膜、煤化工、装配建筑等。 2月24日，万华化学盘中上涨2.00%，截至09:49，报86.66元/股，成交5.88亿元，换手率0.22%，总市值 2712.87亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入1508.52万元，特大单买入6947.62万元，占比11.81%，卖出7618.65万 元，占比12.95%；大单买入1.68亿元，占比28.59%，卖出1.46亿元，占比24.88%。 截至9月30日，万华化 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights ShanGu Power (601369) as a leading company in energy conversion equipment, emphasizing its strong cash dividend policy and collaborative development in manufacturing, operation, and services [5][6]. - ShanGu Power has been deeply engaged in the energy conversion equipment sector for nearly 60 years, achieving internationally advanced technology levels and benefiting from the recovery of downstream heavy industries [5][6]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The report notes significant growth in the domestic compressed air energy storage market, with installed capacity expected to reach 73.76 million kilowatts by the end of 2024. ShanGu Power's air compressor units have a comprehensive efficiency of 88% and a manufacturing capability ranging from 10MW to 660MW [6][8]. - The coal chemical industry is experiencing expansion, with ShanGu Power positioned as a core equipment supplier, benefiting from projects in coal-to-oil and coal-to-gas production, which are projected to reach capacities of 9.31 million tons/year and 74.55 million cubic meters/year by 2024 [7][8]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The report projects ShanGu Power's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.074 billion yuan, 1.110 billion yuan, and 1.182 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17.41, 16.84, and 15.82 [8]. - The company maintains a robust financial position, with cash reserves reaching 10.969 billion yuan by Q3 2025 and a dividend payout ratio exceeding 60% from 2019 to 2024 [5][8]. Group 4: Employment and Economic Indicators - The report discusses the U.S. job market, noting that in January 2026, non-farm employment increased by 130,000, significantly above the expected 70,000, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3% [10][12]. - The increase in employment is attributed to strong growth in the education and healthcare sectors, influenced by the extension of the Affordable Care Act, which is expected to continue supporting job growth in these areas [12][14].

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the semiconductor industry, driven by increased capital expenditure from major cloud companies and a robust demand for AI infrastructure [22][24][25] - The electric power sector is expected to benefit from a significant increase in installed capacity, with a focus on renewable energy sources such as solar and wind [27][28][29] - The food and beverage sector shows mixed performance, with certain sub-sectors like prepared foods and snacks performing well, while others face challenges [19][20] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,134.02, with a slight increase of 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.86% to 14,283.00 [4] - The A-share market has shown resilience, with average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext at 16.91 and 53.15, respectively, indicating a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [10][11] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 experienced declines of 0.67% and 0.45%, respectively, reflecting a cautious global market sentiment [5] Industry Analysis - The semiconductor industry saw a strong performance in January 2026, with a 18.63% increase in the domestic semiconductor index, significantly outperforming the broader market [22][23] - The electric power sector's installed capacity reached 38.9 billion kilowatts by the end of 2025, marking a 16.1% year-on-year increase, with solar and wind energy contributing significantly to this growth [27][28] - The food and beverage sector's sales in January 2026 showed a slight increase of 0.11% year-on-year, with a notable decline in month-on-month sales due to policy changes [19][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI and high-end manufacturing, while also considering opportunities in consumer sectors [10][11][15] - In the semiconductor space, investors are encouraged to look at companies benefiting from AI demand and increased capital expenditures from cloud providers [24][25][26] - For the electric power sector, a "barbell strategy" is recommended, focusing on stable, high-dividend companies as well as growth opportunities in renewable energy [27][29]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 蓝焰控股 (Blue Flame Holdings) has experienced fluctuations in its stock price and financial performance, with a notable increase in stock price year-to-date but a decline in recent trading days [1][2] - As of February 11, 蓝焰控股's stock price rose by 2.07% to 7.88 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 7.624 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 19.21%, but a recent decline of 1.13% over the last five trading days [1] Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, 蓝焰控股 reported a revenue of 1.609 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 10.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 268 million CNY, down 11.16% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 252 million CNY distributed over the past three years [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for 蓝焰控股 decreased by 10.94% to 43,200, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 12.29% to 22,409 shares [2]