Workflow
碳排考核
icon
Search documents
欧洲专题:碳排考核叠加车型周期,欧洲新能源车迎来拐点
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-09 15:28
Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][1] Core Insights - The European new energy vehicle market is reaching a turning point driven by stringent carbon emission assessments and the cyclical nature of vehicle models [2] - The EU's policies, including the ban on fuel vehicles and tiered carbon reduction targets, are creating rigid constraints that push for electrification [2][8] - Major automakers are accelerating their electric vehicle (EV) strategies to meet upcoming carbon targets, with significant growth in battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales [3][19] Policy and Market Dynamics - The EU's tightening carbon reduction policies are compelling automakers to expedite their transition to new energy vehicles [7] - The EU has set ambitious carbon emission targets, including a ban on new fuel vehicles by 2035 and specific CO2 emission limits for new cars starting in 2025 [8][11] - The introduction of the ZLEV coefficient incentivizes manufacturers to increase the share of zero and low-emission vehicles in their fleets [15] Automaker Performance - Volkswagen delivered 465,500 BEVs globally in the first half of 2025, with a significant contribution from Europe, achieving a year-on-year growth of 89% [3][32] - Stellantis has improved its market share in Europe, ranking first in the hybrid market and second in the BEV market, supported by a multi-platform strategy [3][33] - Renault's BEV sales in Europe increased by 88% in Q1 2025, with a focus on affordable models and a strong platform strategy [3][42] Supply Chain and Component Manufacturers - Companies like Minth and Weimars are benefiting from the growth in the new energy vehicle supply chain, with significant revenue increases projected [4][49] - Minth's battery box business is expected to generate 5.338 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, reflecting a 50.96% year-on-year growth [4][48] - Weimars is positioned as a leading supplier in the domestic market, with a market share of 29.41% in the third-party vehicle charging market [4][52] Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in the European new energy vehicle market, driven by regulatory pressures and technological advancements [2][19] - The performance of key players in the supply chain is expected to improve as the demand for new energy vehicles rises [4][59]