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碳酸锂数据日报-20250924
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-09-24 06:11
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Report's Core View - Demand side: The traditional peak season for new energy vehicles is approaching, and the demand for energy storage is strong. The continuous reduction of lithium carbonate social inventory supports the futures price [3]. - Supply side: The overall increase in production is the main factor suppressing the futures price [3]. - Market speculation: Attention should be paid to whether the market will hype supply - side issues again due to demand improvement and environmental problems in Qinghai salt lakes [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 73,850 yuan/ton, SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 71,600 yuan/ton, and the difference between them is 2,250 yuan/ton [1][2]. - Futures contract closing prices and their changes: Lithium carbonate 2605 at 73,780 yuan/ton with a - 0.67% change; 2606 at 73,540 yuan/ton with a - 0.86% change; 2607 at 73,440 yuan/ton with a - 0.73% change; 2608 at 73,620 yuan/ton with a - 0.65% change; 2609 at 73,500 yuan/ton with a - 0.7% change [1]. Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) (Li20: 5.5% - 6%) is 860 yuan/ton [1]. - Lithium mica prices vary by grade: 1165 yuan/ton for (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%), 1900 yuan/ton for (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) [2]. - Phosphorus - lithium - aluminum stone prices also vary by grade: 6130 yuan/ton for (Li20: 6% - 7%), 7265 yuan/ton for (Li20: 7% - 8%) [2]. Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 33,710 yuan/ton [2]. - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 147,450 yuan/ton with a 200 - yuan change; 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 120,350 yuan/ton with a 150 - yuan change; 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 125,000 yuan/ton with a 150 - yuan change [2]. Inventory - Total inventory (weekly, tons) is 137,531 tons with a - 981 - ton change; smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 34,456 tons with a - 1757 - ton change; downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 59,495 tons with a 1216 - ton change; other inventory (weekly, tons) is 43,580 tons with a - 440 - ton change; registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 39,449 tons with a 540 - ton change [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 75,536 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 2759 yuan/ton [3]. - The cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is 79,306 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 8521 yuan/ton [3]. Environmental Issue - Qinghai Chaidamu Xinghua Lithium Salt Co., Ltd. was reported for illegally burying a large amount of industrial hazardous waste, and a national special rectification action on illegal dumping and disposal of solid waste has been launched [3].